{"id":77729,"date":"2014-01-14T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2014-01-13T23:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/assessment-of-electrictity-consumption-in-western-europe-for-2013\/"},"modified":"2024-03-13T10:56:25","modified_gmt":"2024-03-13T09:56:25","slug":"assessment-of-electricity-consumption-in-western-europe-for-2013","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/es\/assessment-of-electricity-consumption-in-western-europe-for-2013\/","title":{"rendered":"Evaluaci\u00f3n del consumo de electricidad en Europa Occidental para 2013"},"content":{"rendered":"

Informaci\u00f3n elaborada por AleaSoft, empresa l\u00edder en el desarrollo de modelos de previsi\u00f3n de consumo y precios en mercados energ\u00e9ticos<\/h3>\n

14 de enero de 2014 –<\/b> Las variaciones en la actividad econ\u00f3mica han sido determinantes para la evoluci\u00f3n de la demanda el\u00e9ctrica en 2013 en pa\u00edses mediterr\u00e1neos como Espa\u00f1a o Italia. El consumo de electricidad en estos pa\u00edses durante 2013 ha descendido respecto a 2012, acorde con la situaci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica. En latitudes m\u00e1s altas como en Francia o Gran Breta\u00f1a, la evoluci\u00f3n de la demanda el\u00e9ctrica se ha visto afectada por las temperaturas m\u00e1s extremas adem\u00e1s de la actividad econ\u00f3mica. Se ha registrado una disminuci\u00f3n de la demanda el\u00e9ctrica en Gran Breta\u00f1a debido a que las temperaturas fueron excepcionalmente c\u00e1lidas durante la mayor parte de 2013. En cambio en Francia, el invierno de 2013 ha sido m\u00e1s fr\u00edo que en 2012, provocando un aumento en el consumo el\u00e9ctrico anual.<\/p>\n

\"Balance<\/a>
\nEvoluci\u00f3n de la demanda el\u00e9ctrica mensual en Europa Occidental – 2012 y 2013 – (GWh).<\/span>
\nFuentes: Francia: RTE, Gran Breta\u00f1a: National Grid, Italia: TERNA, Espa\u00f1a: REE.<\/span><\/p>\n

En 2013, el consumo el\u00e9ctrico en Espa\u00f1a<\/b> ha disminuido un 2,2% respecto al a\u00f1o 2012. Sin embargo, en el \u00faltimo trimestre se ha registrado un crecimiento interanual del 1,4% invirtiendo la tendencia del a\u00f1o. La variaci\u00f3n interanual del PIB ha sido negativa para todos los trimestres del a\u00f1o pero con una disminuci\u00f3n cada vez menor hasta llegar a -0,4% el \u00faltimo trimestre (con datos a\u00fan provisionales).<\/p>\n

En Italia<\/b>, la demanda el\u00e9ctrica ha decrecido en todos los trimestres de 2013 respecto a los mismos trimestres de 2012, resultando en un decrecimiento anual del 3,2%. Seg\u00fan datos provisionales, se ha registrado una contracci\u00f3n de la econom\u00eda italiana del 1,9% en el a\u00f1o 2013.<\/p>\n

El consumo el\u00e9ctrico en Francia<\/b> aument\u00f3 en 2013 un 0,8% respecto al a\u00f1o anterior, en consonancia con el incremento de la actividad econ\u00f3mica en un 0,2% seg\u00fan datos provisionales. Tambi\u00e9n un invierno m\u00e1s fr\u00edo que en 2012 ha contribuido a tal aumento.<\/p>\n

En el caso de Gran Breta\u00f1a<\/b>, se registr\u00f3 una disminuci\u00f3n de la demanda del 1,3% a pesar de una variaci\u00f3n positiva del PIB de Reino Unido (1,4% seg\u00fan datos a\u00fan provisionales). Dicha disminuci\u00f3n viene determinada principalmente por la ocurrencia de temperaturas m\u00e1s altas en verano y oto\u00f1o del 2013 respecto al a\u00f1o anterior.<\/p>\n

Previsiones de demanda el\u00e9ctrica en Europa Occidental<\/b><\/p>\n

Hay expectativas de crecimiento de la actividad econ\u00f3mica durante 2014, tanto en el norte como en el sur de Europa Occidental. Por este motivo, las previsiones de demanda el\u00e9ctrica generadas por Aleasoft indican un crecimiento de la demanda respecto a 2013 en todos los pa\u00edses excepto en Francia, donde se espera una ligera disminuci\u00f3n debido a las temperaturas excepcionales en invierno de 2013.<\/p>\n

El incremento anual de la demanda el\u00e9ctrica previsto para Espa\u00f1a<\/b> en 2014 es del 1,6%, asumiendo un crecimiento anual del PIB del 0,5%.<\/p>\n

En Italia<\/b>, se espera que el consumo anual de electricidad aumente un 1,0%, teniendo en cuenta un incremento del PIB del 0,6% respecto al a\u00f1o 2013.<\/p>\n

Las previsiones de demanda el\u00e9ctrica en Francia<\/b> indican un ligero descenso del 0,2% respecto a 2013. Estas previsiones utilizan un escenario de crecimiento anual del PIB del 1,0% y un retorno a las temperaturas medias hist\u00f3ricas del pa\u00eds.<\/p>\n

La demanda el\u00e9ctrica de Gran Breta\u00f1a<\/b> en 2014 se espera un 1,8% superior que en 2013, suponiendo un crecimiento anual del PIB de Reino Unido del 2,4%.<\/p>\n

\"Balance<\/a>
\nEvoluci\u00f3n y previsiones de la demanda el\u00e9ctrica mensual en Europa Occidental – 2012 y 2013 – (GWh).<\/span>
\nFuentes: Francia: RTE, Gran Breta\u00f1a: National Grid, Italia: TERNA, Espa\u00f1a: REE, Previsiones: Fuente propia.<\/span><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Informaci\u00f3n elaborada por AleaSoft, empresa l\u00edder en el desarrollo de modelos de previsi\u00f3n de consumo y precios en mercados energ\u00e9ticos 14 de enero de 2014 – Las variaciones en la actividad econ\u00f3mica han sido determinantes para la evoluci\u00f3n de la demanda el\u00e9ctrica en 2013 en pa\u00edses mediterr\u00e1neos como Espa\u00f1a o Italia. El consumo de electricidad […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":95741,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[568],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-77729","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias"],"yoast_head":"\nEvaluaci\u00f3n del consumo de electricidad en Europa Occidental para 2013 - AleaSoft Energy Forecasting<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/es\/assessment-of-electricity-consumption-in-western-europe-for-2013\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Evaluaci\u00f3n del consumo de electricidad en Europa Occidental para 2013\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Informaci\u00f3n elaborada por AleaSoft, empresa l\u00edder en el desarrollo de modelos de previsi\u00f3n de consumo y precios en mercados energ\u00e9ticos 14 de enero de 2014 – Las variaciones en la actividad econ\u00f3mica han sido determinantes para la evoluci\u00f3n de la demanda el\u00e9ctrica en 2013 en pa\u00edses mediterr\u00e1neos como Espa\u00f1a o Italia. 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