{"id":77746,"date":"2013-07-09T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2013-07-08T22:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/assessment-of-electricity-consumption-in-western-europe-for-the-first-half-of-2013\/"},"modified":"2024-03-14T11:56:48","modified_gmt":"2024-03-14T10:56:48","slug":"assessment-electricity-consumption-western-europe-first-half-2013","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/es\/assessment-electricity-consumption-western-europe-first-half-2013\/","title":{"rendered":"Evaluaci\u00f3n del consumo de electricidad en Europa Occidental durante el primer semestre de 2013"},"content":{"rendered":"

Informaci\u00f3n elaborada por AleaSoft, empresa l\u00edder en el desarrollo de modelos de previsi\u00f3n de consumo y precios en mercados energ\u00e9ticos<\/h3>\n

9 de julio 2013.-<\/b> En el primer semestre del 2013, la demanda de los principales pa\u00edses del sur de Europa ha estado determinada por la actual situaci\u00f3n de crisis econ\u00f3mica, que ha provocado ca\u00eddas interanuales en el consumo de electricidad en pa\u00edses como Espa\u00f1a e Italia. Por otra parte, en pa\u00edses como Francia y Gran Breta\u00f1a, la demanda de este semestre ha aumentado con respecto al mismo semestre del a\u00f1o anterior, debido principalmente a las bajas temperaturas registradas en la primera mitad del a\u00f1o, especialmente en marzo, en que estuvieron entre cuatro y cinco grados por debajo de las registradas en el mismo mes del a\u00f1o anterior.<\/p>\n

\"Demanda<\/a>
\nEvoluci\u00f3n de la demanda el\u00e9ctrica mensual en Europa Occidental-2012 y primer semestre del 2013- (TWh).<\/span>
\nElaboraci\u00f3n propia.Fuentes de datos: Francia \u2013 RTE, Gran Breta\u00f1a \u2013 National Grid, Italia \u2013 TERNA, Espa\u00f1a \u2013 REE.<\/span><\/p>\n

En Espa\u00f1a<\/b>, la demanda del semestre reci\u00e9n finalizado ha sido 3,3% inferior que la del mismo semestre del a\u00f1o 2012. Una vez corregidos los efectos de temperatura y laboralidad, la demanda del primer semestre de este a\u00f1o ha descendido 2,7%. En el segundo trimestre de 2013 el consumo de electricidad en Espa\u00f1a ha disminuido 3,3%. Por su parte, la econom\u00eda espa\u00f1ola registr\u00f3 un retroceso de 2,0% en el primer trimestre del a\u00f1o en curso respecto al mismo trimestre del a\u00f1o anterior.<\/p>\n

En el caso de Francia<\/b>, en el primer semestre de este a\u00f1o la demanda el\u00e9ctrica se ha incrementado en 2,3% en t\u00e9rminos interanuales. En el segundo trimestre la demanda ha sido 0,9% mayor que la del mismo trimestre del a\u00f1o anterior. En cuanto a la econom\u00eda gala, en el primer trimestre del 2013 se ha contra\u00eddo 0,4% en t\u00e9rminos interanuales.<\/p>\n

En Gran Breta\u00f1a<\/b>, la demanda de electricidad ha crecido 0,7% en t\u00e9rminos interanuales en el primer semestre de este a\u00f1o. Sin embargo, en el segundo trimestre de 2013 la demanda ha sido 2,5% menor que la del mismo trimestre del a\u00f1o anterior; este comportamiento ha estado justificado por el incremento de los precios en el mercado mayorista de Reino Unido.<\/p>\n

\"Precios<\/a>
\nEvoluci\u00f3n de los precios del mercado N2EX -2012 y primer semestre del 2013- (\u00a3\/MWh).<\/span>
\nElaboraci\u00f3n propia. Fuentes de datos: N2EX.<\/span><\/p>\n

En el primer trimestre de este a\u00f1o, el PIB del Reino Unido ha sido 0,6% superior al del mismo trimestre del a\u00f1o 2012.<\/p>\n

La demanda el\u00e9ctrica de Italia<\/b> en el primer semestre de este a\u00f1o ha sido 3,4% inferior que la del mismo semestre del a\u00f1o pasado. En el trimestre reci\u00e9n concluido, la demanda ha disminuido 3,9% en t\u00e9rminos interanuales. Por su parte el PIB de Italia ha sufrido una contracci\u00f3n de 2,3% en el primer trimestre del 2013 respecto al mismo trimestre del 2012.<\/p>\n

Previsiones de demanda el\u00e9ctrica en Europa Occidental<\/b><\/p>\n

AleaSoft prev\u00e9 que en el segundo semestre del a\u00f1o la demanda el\u00e9ctrica de Espa\u00f1a<\/b> crecer\u00e1 0,4% respecto al mismo semestre del a\u00f1o anterior. Teniendo en cuenta esta previsi\u00f3n, al finalizar el a\u00f1o 2013 la demanda ser\u00e1 1,5% inferior que la del 2012. Para hacer estas previsiones AleaSoft ha utilizado un escenario de PIB que augura que la econom\u00eda espa\u00f1ola se contraer\u00e1 1,3% en este a\u00f1o 2013 y un escenario medio de temperaturas.<\/p>\n

En el caso de Francia<\/b>, se espera que la demanda en el segundo semestre de este a\u00f1o crezca 1,7% en t\u00e9rminos interanuales. Al cierre de este a\u00f1o, la demanda el\u00e9ctrica francesa para el a\u00f1o 2013 habr\u00e1 crecido 2,0% respecto al a\u00f1o 2012. Se ha utilizado un escenario de PIB para Francia en que la econom\u00eda se contraer\u00e1 0,3% en el 2013 y un escenario medio de temperaturas.<\/p>\n

Para Gran Breta\u00f1a<\/b>, AleaSoft prev\u00e9 que la demanda el\u00e9ctrica en este segundo semestre del 2013 ser\u00e1 0,3% menor que la del mismo semestre del a\u00f1o anterior. En el a\u00f1o 2013 la demanda el\u00e9ctrica ser\u00e1 0,2% superior que la del a\u00f1o 2012. Para hacer estas previsiones se ha utilizado un escenario de crecimiento de PIB de Reino Unido de 0,8% para el a\u00f1o 2013 y un escenario medio de temperaturas.<\/p>\n

Por otra parte, se espera que la demanda el\u00e9ctrica de Italia<\/b> contin\u00fae descendiendo durante este segundo semestre del 2013, en el que se registrar\u00e1 una ca\u00edda de 3,9% en t\u00e9rminos interanuales, cerr\u00e1ndose el a\u00f1o con una disminuci\u00f3n de la demanda anual de 3,6% respecto al a\u00f1o 2012. El escenario de PIB utilizado augura que la econom\u00eda italiana sufrir\u00e1 una contracci\u00f3n de 1,8% en el a\u00f1o 2013; en el caso de las temperaturas se ha utilizado un escenario medio.<\/p>\n

\"Previsiones<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Informaci\u00f3n elaborada por AleaSoft, empresa l\u00edder en el desarrollo de modelos de previsi\u00f3n de consumo y precios en mercados energ\u00e9ticos 9 de julio 2013.- En el primer semestre del 2013, la demanda de los principales pa\u00edses del sur de Europa ha estado determinada por la actual situaci\u00f3n de crisis econ\u00f3mica, que ha provocado ca\u00eddas interanuales […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":50219,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[568],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-77746","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias"],"yoast_head":"\nEvaluaci\u00f3n del consumo de electricidad en Europa Occidental durante el primer semestre de 2013 - AleaSoft Energy Forecasting<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/es\/assessment-electricity-consumption-western-europe-first-half-2013\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Evaluaci\u00f3n del consumo de electricidad en Europa Occidental durante el primer semestre de 2013\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Informaci\u00f3n elaborada por AleaSoft, empresa l\u00edder en el desarrollo de modelos de previsi\u00f3n de consumo y precios en mercados energ\u00e9ticos 9 de julio 2013.- En el primer semestre del 2013, la demanda de los principales pa\u00edses del sur de Europa ha estado determinada por la actual situaci\u00f3n de crisis econ\u00f3mica, que ha provocado ca\u00eddas interanuales […]\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/es\/assessment-electricity-consumption-western-europe-first-half-2013\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"AleaSoft Energy Forecasting\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/AleaSoft\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2013-07-08T22:00:00+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-03-14T10:56:48+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2013\/07\/20130709-1-energy-consumption-2012-western-europe-en.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"552\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"388\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"AleaSoft Energy Forecasting\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@AleaSoftEnergy\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@AleaSoftEnergy\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Escrito por\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"AleaSoft Energy Forecasting\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tiempo de lectura\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"5 minutos\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/es\\\/assessment-electricity-consumption-western-europe-first-half-2013\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/es\\\/assessment-electricity-consumption-western-europe-first-half-2013\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"AleaSoft Energy Forecasting\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/99ee8b0f2ecbd56ba78005c6b7864d67\"},\"headline\":\"Evaluaci\u00f3n del consumo de electricidad en Europa Occidental durante el primer semestre de 2013\",\"datePublished\":\"2013-07-08T22:00:00+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-03-14T10:56:48+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/es\\\/assessment-electricity-consumption-western-europe-first-half-2013\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":810,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/es\\\/assessment-electricity-consumption-western-europe-first-half-2013\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2013\\\/07\\\/20130709-1-energy-consumption-2012-western-europe-en.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Noticias\"],\"inLanguage\":\"es\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/es\\\/assessment-electricity-consumption-western-europe-first-half-2013\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/es\\\/assessment-electricity-consumption-western-europe-first-half-2013\\\/\",\"name\":\"Evaluaci\u00f3n del consumo de electricidad en Europa Occidental durante el primer semestre de 2013 - 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