{"id":77766,"date":"2014-07-03T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2014-07-02T22:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/assessment-of-electricity-consumption-in-western-europe-for-the-first-half-of-2014\/"},"modified":"2024-03-14T12:34:27","modified_gmt":"2024-03-14T11:34:27","slug":"assessment-of-electricity-consumption-in-western-europe-for-the-first-half-of-2014","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/es\/assessment-of-electricity-consumption-in-western-europe-for-the-first-half-of-2014\/","title":{"rendered":"Evaluaci\u00f3n del consumo de electricidad en Europa Occidental durante el primer semestre de 2014"},"content":{"rendered":"

Informaci\u00f3n elaborada por AleaSoft, empresa l\u00edder en el desarrollo de modelos de previsi\u00f3n de consumo y precios en mercados energ\u00e9ticos<\/b><\/h3>\n

3 de julio de 2014 – <\/b>El primer semestre de 2014 se ha caracterizado por una disminuci\u00f3n, en t\u00e9rminos interanuales, del consumo de electricidad en los pa\u00edses de Europa Occidental. Tal disminuci\u00f3n ha sido m\u00e1s relevante en pa\u00edses como Francia o Gran Breta\u00f1a, debido a que el invierno de 2013 fue especialmente fr\u00edo en esas latitudes mientras que el de 2014 ha sido m\u00e1s bien suave. En pa\u00edses mediterr\u00e1neos como Italia o Espa\u00f1a, la disminuci\u00f3n ha sido menor, porque el incremento de temperatura media no ha sido tan importante en la primera mitad del a\u00f1o.<\/p>\n

\"Evoluci\u00f3n<\/a>
\nEvoluci\u00f3n de la demanda el\u00e9ctrica mensual en Europa Occidental -2013 y primer semestre de 2014 (TWh).<\/span>
\nFuentes: Espa\u00f1a: REE, Francia: RTE, Gran Breta\u00f1a: National Grid, Italia: TERNA.<\/span><\/p>\n

La demanda el\u00e9ctrica en Espa\u00f1a<\/b> ha sido en este primer semestre un 1,2% m\u00e1s baja que en el mismo semestre del a\u00f1o 2013, principalmente debido a las temperaturas m\u00e1s altas registradas este a\u00f1o. Sin embargo, corrigiendo el efecto de la temperatura y la laboralidad, la demanda ha aumentado un 0,1% seg\u00fan datos de REE (Red El\u00e9ctrica de Espa\u00f1a). Este hecho se debe al ligero aumento de la actividad econ\u00f3mica (por ejemplo, en el primer trimestre se registr\u00f3 un +0,5% de variaci\u00f3n interanual del PIB).<\/p>\n

En Francia<\/b>, el consumo el\u00e9ctrico ha bajado un 8,5% en el primer semestre de 2014 respecto al mismo semestre del a\u00f1o anterior. Esto es debido principalmente a que en la primera mitad del a\u00f1o 2013 las temperaturas fueron especialmente bajas, provocando una demanda el\u00e9ctrica alta, y en 2014 \u00e9stas han sido altas en promedio respecto a los valores medios hist\u00f3ricos. Por otro lado, la variaci\u00f3n del PIB franc\u00e9s en los primeros tres meses de 2014 respecto a los mismos meses de 2013 ha sido positiva (0,8%).<\/p>\n

De forma parecida, en Gran<\/b> Breta\u00f1a<\/b>, la demanda el\u00e9ctrica del primer semestre ha ca\u00eddo un 6,7% en t\u00e9rminos interanuales. Tambi\u00e9n en ese caso, la causa principal es el incremento de la temperatura media respecto a 2013 cuyo primer semestre fue muy fr\u00edo. El PIB de Reino Unido aument\u00f3 en un 3,2% durante el primer trimestre de 2014 respecto al mismo trimestre del a\u00f1o anterior.<\/p>\n

En Italia<\/b> el consumo el\u00e9ctrico ha disminuido en un 3,0% en la primera mitad de 2014 respecto al mismo periodo de 2013. Esta disminuci\u00f3n se explica por temperaturas ligeramente m\u00e1s altas en el primer semestre de este a\u00f1o. Adem\u00e1s en el primer trimestre el PIB cay\u00f3 un 0,5% respecto al primer trimestre de 2013.<\/p>\n

Previsiones de demanda el\u00e9ctrica en Europa Occidental<\/b><\/p>\n

De cara al segundo semestre de 2014 se espera un crecimiento de la actividad econ\u00f3mica en los cuatro pa\u00edses analizados. Seg\u00fan las previsiones de AleaSoft, esto conllevar\u00eda un aumento generalizado del consumo el\u00e9ctrico respecto al mismo semestre del a\u00f1o 2013, especialmente en Gran Breta\u00f1a. Estas previsiones asumen que las temperaturas tomar\u00e1n valores medios hist\u00f3ricos y diferentes escenarios de crecimiento del PIB durante el a\u00f1o 2014 respecto al a\u00f1o 2013.<\/p>\n

En Espa\u00f1a<\/b> est\u00e1 previsto que se incremente la demanda el\u00e9ctrica, de acuerdo con un escenario de crecimiento del PIB del 1,0%.<\/p>\n

Las previsiones indican que la demanda el\u00e9ctrica en Francia<\/b> aumentar\u00e1 en el segundo semestre de 2014, teniendo en cuenta un incremento del PIB del 0,9%.<\/p>\n

En Gran<\/b> Breta\u00f1a<\/b>, se prev\u00e9 un incremento importante del consumo el\u00e9ctrico, asumiendo un crecimiento del PIB del 3,2%.<\/p>\n

La demanda de electricidad en Italia<\/b> tambi\u00e9n ser\u00e1 mayor en los \u00faltimos seis meses de 2014 respecto al mismo periodo del a\u00f1o anterior seg\u00fan las previsiones de Aleasoft. Estas previsiones suponen un incremento del PIB del 0,5%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

Informaci\u00f3n elaborada por AleaSoft, empresa l\u00edder en el desarrollo de modelos de previsi\u00f3n de consumo y precios en mercados energ\u00e9ticos 3 de julio de 2014 – El primer semestre de 2014 se ha caracterizado por una disminuci\u00f3n, en t\u00e9rminos interanuales, del consumo de electricidad en los pa\u00edses de Europa Occidental. Tal disminuci\u00f3n ha sido m\u00e1s […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":52309,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[568],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-77766","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias"],"yoast_head":"\nEvaluaci\u00f3n del consumo de electricidad en Europa Occidental durante el primer semestre de 2014 - AleaSoft Energy Forecasting<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/es\/assessment-of-electricity-consumption-in-western-europe-for-the-first-half-of-2014\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"es_ES\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Evaluaci\u00f3n del consumo de electricidad en Europa Occidental durante el primer semestre de 2014\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Informaci\u00f3n elaborada por AleaSoft, empresa l\u00edder en el desarrollo de modelos de previsi\u00f3n de consumo y precios en mercados energ\u00e9ticos 3 de julio de 2014 – El primer semestre de 2014 se ha caracterizado por una disminuci\u00f3n, en t\u00e9rminos interanuales, del consumo de electricidad en los pa\u00edses de Europa Occidental. 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