{"id":77794,"date":"2010-11-30T00:00:00","date_gmt":"2010-11-29T23:00:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/electricity-consumption-will-return-to-pre-recession-levels-by-2012\/"},"modified":"2022-05-22T23:33:52","modified_gmt":"2022-05-22T21:33:52","slug":"electricity-consumption-will-return-pre-recession-levels-2012","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/es\/electricity-consumption-will-return-pre-recession-levels-2012\/","title":{"rendered":"Electricity Consumption Will Return to Pre-recession Levels by 2012"},"content":{"rendered":"<h3>Informaci\u00f3n elaborada por AleaSoft, empresa l\u00edder en el desarrollo de modelos de previsi\u00f3n de consumo y precios en mercados energ\u00e9ticos<\/h3>\n<p><b>30 de noviembre de 2010.-<\/b> Los niveles de consumo el\u00e9ctrico anteriores a la crisis no se recuperar\u00e1n hasta el 2012, seg\u00fan datos elaborados por <b>AleaSoft<\/b>, empresa l\u00edder en el desarrollo de modelos de previsi\u00f3n de consumo y precios en mercados energ\u00e9ticos. Esto teniendo en cuenta que en el 2011 comience una discreta recuperaci\u00f3n econ\u00f3mica.<\/p>\n<p>El c\u00e1lculo se ha elaborado mediante un modelo estad\u00edstico, partiendo principalmente de la evoluci\u00f3n de la actividad econ\u00f3mica, que comenz\u00f3 a caer desde principios del 2008 y a crecer a partir del oto\u00f1o del 2009, y de la evoluci\u00f3n hist\u00f3rica del consumo el\u00e9ctrico en los \u00faltimos a\u00f1os.<\/p>\n<p>As\u00ed, el consumo el\u00e9ctrico en 2009 cay\u00f3 a niveles de los a\u00f1os 2005-2006, y desde entonces se ha ido recuperando, aunque lentamente. En 2010 se prev\u00e9 cerrar el a\u00f1o con un consumo el\u00e9ctrico algo superior al de 2006, aunque la demanda no recuperar\u00e1 sus niveles hist\u00f3ricos m\u00e1s altos hasta el a\u00f1o 2012.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/11\/20101130-1-energy-consumption-and-forecast-spain.jpg\"><img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-3191\" src=\"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/11\/20101130-1-energy-consumption-and-forecast-spain.jpg\" alt=\"Evoluci\u00f3n demanda el\u00e9ctrica espa\u00f1ola peninsular\" width=\"606\" height=\"426\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: xx-small;\">Gr\u00e1fico de evoluci\u00f3n demanda el\u00e9ctrica espa\u00f1ola peninsular anual (media horaria): real y estimado [MWh].<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>DEMANDA EN CRECIMIENTO CONSTANTE DESDE 1998 HASTA EL 2007<\/li>\n<li>LA CRISIS PROVOC\u00d3 UNA CAIDA DEL 4,5% EN EL 2009<\/li>\n<li>EL RITMO DE RECUPERACI\u00d3N DE LAS VARIABLE ECON\u00d3MICAS MARCAR\u00c1N EL CRECIMIENTO DE LA DEMANDA QUE SE ESTIMA EN UN 1,5%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>Crecimiento econ\u00f3mico<\/b><\/p>\n<p>Tomando el PIB como la variable representativa de la actividad econ\u00f3mica para modelizar la demanda el\u00e9ctrica y predecir precios a futuro, \u00e9ste indicador no se recuperar\u00eda hasta 2014, alcanzando entonces cifras similares a las de inicios del a\u00f1o 2008.<\/p>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/11\/20101130-2-gdp-growth-historical-and-forecast-spain.jpg\"><img decoding=\"async\" class=\"aligncenter size-full wp-image-3191\" src=\"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2010\/11\/20101130-2-gdp-growth-historical-and-forecast-spain.jpg\" alt=\"Evoluci\u00f3n del PIB\" width=\"606\" height=\"426\" \/><\/a><\/p>\n<p><span style=\"font-size: xx-small;\">Gr\u00e1fico de la evoluci\u00f3n del PIB: real y estimado [base 2000] .<\/span><\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>ESCENARIO DE PIB: DESPU\u00c9S DE LA RECUPERACI\u00d3N SE PRONOSTICA UN CRECIMIENTO ESTABLE DEL 1,2%<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p><b>Situaci\u00f3n Actual:<\/b> La demanda el\u00e9ctrica est\u00e1 creciendo en noviembre del 2010 un 6,81%, y corregido del efecto calendario y temperatura un 3,23%. En lo que llevamos de a\u00f1o el crecimiento acumulado comparado con igual per\u00edodo del a\u00f1o anterior es de 3,42%, y corregido de efecto calendario y temperatura es de 3,21%.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Informaci\u00f3n elaborada por AleaSoft, empresa l\u00edder en el desarrollo de modelos de previsi\u00f3n de consumo y precios en mercados energ\u00e9ticos 30 de noviembre de 2010.- Los niveles de consumo el\u00e9ctrico anteriores a la crisis no se recuperar\u00e1n hasta el 2012, seg\u00fan datos elaborados por AleaSoft, empresa l\u00edder en el desarrollo de modelos de previsi\u00f3n de [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":48434,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[568],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-77794","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO Premium plugin v27.7 (Yoast SEO v27.8) - 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