{"id":166475,"date":"2026-04-21T12:34:05","date_gmt":"2026-04-21T10:34:05","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/?p=166475"},"modified":"2026-04-30T04:26:32","modified_gmt":"2026-04-30T02:26:32","slug":"stockage-role-central-marches-electricite-europeens","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/fr\/stockage-role-central-marches-electricite-europeens\/","title":{"rendered":"Le stockage s’impose comme un \u00e9l\u00e9ment cl\u00e9 de l’\u00e9volution des march\u00e9s europ\u00e9ens de l’\u00e9lectricit\u00e9"},"content":{"rendered":"

AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, 21 avril 2026. La table ronde du 65e webinaire mensuel, qui s’est tenu le 16 avril sous le titre \u00ab Perspectives des march\u00e9s de l’\u00e9nergie en Europe. Le r\u00f4le du stockage d’\u00e9nergie \u00bb, a mis en \u00e9vidence le r\u00f4le croissant du stockage sur les march\u00e9s \u00e9lectriques europ\u00e9ens. Dans un contexte caract\u00e9ris\u00e9 par une forte p\u00e9n\u00e9tration des \u00e9nergies renouvelables, la volatilit\u00e9 des prix et l’apparition de signaux structurels tels que la cannibalisation photovolta\u00efque, le stockage s’impose comme un \u00e9l\u00e9ment indispensable \u00e0 la flexibilit\u00e9 du syst\u00e8me \u00e9lectrique.<\/strong><\/p>\n

Le webinaire a r\u00e9uni Ra\u00fal Garc\u00eda Posada, directeur d’ASEALEN, et Oriol Salt\u00f3 i Bauz\u00e0, associ\u00e9 chez AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, et a \u00e9t\u00e9 anim\u00e9 par Antonio Delgado Rigal, PDG d’AleaSoft. Au cours de la session, les participants ont analys\u00e9 l’\u00e9volution r\u00e9cente des march\u00e9s \u00e9lectriques europ\u00e9ens, le contexte \u00e9conomique et g\u00e9opolitique ainsi que le d\u00e9veloppement du stockage, avant de passer \u00e0 une table ronde au cours de laquelle ils ont approfondi la situation actuelle et les perspectives du secteur.<\/p>\n

Cannibalisation photovolta\u00efque et signaux du march\u00e9<\/h2>\n

L’analyse r\u00e9alis\u00e9e lors de la table ronde d’experts a montr\u00e9 que les march\u00e9s de l’\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 envoient des signaux clairs quant \u00e0 la n\u00e9cessit\u00e9 d’augmenter la capacit\u00e9 de stockage d’\u00e9nergie<\/strong>. La croissance de la production photovolta\u00efque<\/strong> a \u00e9t\u00e9 plus rapide que le d\u00e9veloppement de la demande<\/strong>, des r\u00e9seaux et des capacit\u00e9s de stockage, ce qui a entra\u00een\u00e9 des d\u00e9s\u00e9quilibres au sein du syst\u00e8me.<\/p>\n

Ces d\u00e9s\u00e9quilibres se traduisent par des prix captur\u00e9s bas et par l’apparition croissante d’heures \u00e0 4>prix nuls ou n\u00e9gatifs4, en particulier aux heures centrales de la journ\u00e9e. Ce ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne refl\u00e8te une tendance structurelle li\u00e9e \u00e0 la forte p\u00e9n\u00e9tration du photovolta\u00efque.<\/p>\n

AleaSoft - Almacenamiento Protagonismo Mercados Electricos Europeos<\/a><\/div>\n

Volatilit\u00e9 des prix et \u00e9largissement des \u00e9carts<\/h2>\n

Le contexte g\u00e9opolitique a \u00e9galement fait l’objet d’une analyse, en particulier l’impact du conflit en Iran sur la hausse du prix du gaz<\/strong>. Cet effet se refl\u00e8te dans les heures o\u00f9 le gaz d\u00e9termine le prix, notamment lors des pics nocturnes, tandis que les heures solaires restent \u00e0 des niveaux bas.<\/p>\n

En cons\u00e9quence, la volatilit\u00e9<\/strong> intrajournali\u00e8re augmente et les \u00e9carts de prix entre les heures s’\u00e9largissent, ce qui ouvre de nouvelles perspectives en mati\u00e8re de stockage. Ce contexte renforce l’int\u00e9r\u00eat des batteries<\/strong> en tant qu’outil permettant de g\u00e9rer la flexibilit\u00e9 et d’optimiser l’exploitation sur diff\u00e9rents march\u00e9s.<\/p>\n

Financement, r\u00e9glementation et \u00e9volution des contrats<\/h2>\n

La table ronde a \u00e9galement abord\u00e9 le financement des projets d’\u00e9nergies renouvelables<\/strong> et de stockage. Les projets d’\u00e9nergies renouvelables sans stockage rencontrent davantage de difficult\u00e9s en raison de la baisse des prix obtenus et de la faiblesse du march\u00e9 des PPA<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Dans ce contexte, l’hybridation avec des batteries prend de plus en plus d’importance. Cependant, l’analyse \u00e9conomique du stockage est plus complexe, car sa valeur d\u00e9pend de son exploitation sur diff\u00e9rents march\u00e9s, tels que le march\u00e9 journalier, les march\u00e9s intrajournaliers et les services d’\u00e9quilibrage.<\/p>\n

Sur le plan r\u00e9glementaire, des progr\u00e8s ont \u00e9t\u00e9 constat\u00e9s, m\u00eame si certains aspects restent \u00e0 d\u00e9finir, tels que l’acc\u00e8s et le raccordement, les m\u00e9canismes de capacit\u00e9<\/strong> et le d\u00e9veloppement des march\u00e9s de flexibilit\u00e9.<\/p>\n

En ce qui concerne les contrats PPA, il a \u00e9t\u00e9 soulign\u00e9 qu’ils resteront un outil important, m\u00eame s’ils devront \u00e9voluer vers des mod\u00e8les plus sophistiqu\u00e9s int\u00e9grant le stockage et permettant d’adapter les profils de livraison aux besoins des consommateurs.<\/p>\n

Perspectives du syst\u00e8me \u00e9lectrique<\/h2>\n

Les conclusions de la table ronde indiquent que le stockage d’\u00e9nergie s’est impos\u00e9 comme l’un des \u00e9l\u00e9ments indispensables du syst\u00e8me \u00e9lectrique. Les prix bas observ\u00e9s \u00e0 certains moments ne traduisent pas une perte de valeur de l’\u00e9lectricit\u00e9, mais constituent un ph\u00e9nom\u00e8ne transitoire s’inscrivant dans une transformation structurelle.<\/p>\n

L’avenir du syst\u00e8me \u00e9lectrique repose sur une combinaison de production d’\u00e9nergie renouvelable, de stockage, de gestion active de la demande et de pr\u00e9visions \u00e9nerg\u00e9tiques de qualit\u00e9, le photovolta\u00efque associ\u00e9 \u00e0 des batteries jouant un r\u00f4le de premier plan.<\/p>\n

Analyse d’AleaSoft Energy Forecasting sur les perspectives et les opportunit\u00e9s des march\u00e9s europ\u00e9ens de l’\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 et du stockage<\/h2>\n

Le 21 mai 2026 \u00e0 12h00 CET, AleaSoft Energy Forecasting organisera le 66e webinaire de sa s\u00e9rie mensuelle, intitul\u00e9 \u00ab<\/em>March\u00e9s de l’\u00e9nergie en Europe et stockage : perspectives et opportunit\u00e9s<\/em><\/a>\u00bb<\/em>. La session sera consacr\u00e9e \u00e0 l’analyse de l’\u00e9volution et des perspectives des march\u00e9s \u00e9lectriques europ\u00e9ens et de leur impact sur le stockage, ainsi qu’au r\u00f4le des batteries dans le syst\u00e8me, \u00e0 leurs revenus et aux opportunit\u00e9s associ\u00e9es.<\/p>\n

Ce webinaire r\u00e9unira Alejandro Diego Rosell, consultant et sp\u00e9cialiste du secteur de l’\u00e9nergie, ainsi qu’Oriol Salt\u00f3 i Bauz\u00e0, associ\u00e9 chez AleaSoft, et sera anim\u00e9 par Antonio Delgado Rigal, PDG d’AleaSoft. La session comprendra une table ronde au cours de laquelle seront abord\u00e9es les dynamiques actuelles du syst\u00e8me \u00e9lectrique dans un contexte caract\u00e9ris\u00e9 par la p\u00e9n\u00e9tration croissante des \u00e9nergies renouvelables, la volatilit\u00e9 des prix et l’\u00e9volution de la r\u00e9glementation.<\/p>\n

Dans ce contexte, les pr\u00e9visions concernant les prix, la demande et la production d’\u00e9nergie renouvelable sont essentielles \u00e0 la prise de d\u00e9cision. AleaSoft Energy Forecasting<\/a> propose des mod\u00e8les de pr\u00e9vision avanc\u00e9s qui permettent d’estimer les prix sur diff\u00e9rents horizons temporels, d’analyser les revenus g\u00e9n\u00e9r\u00e9s par les batteries sur les march\u00e9s spot, intrajournaliers et de services d’\u00e9quilibrage, d’\u00e9valuer les strat\u00e9gies d’hybridation avec les \u00e9nergies renouvelables et de quantifier les risques selon diff\u00e9rents sc\u00e9narios.<\/p>\n

Ces analyses sont essentielles pour le financement de projets, l’\u00e9laboration de contrats d’achat d’\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 (PPA), l’\u00e9valuation des actifs et la conception de strat\u00e9gies de couverture dans un syst\u00e8me \u00e9lectrique de plus en plus complexe.<\/p>\n

Source: AleaSoft Energy Forecasting<\/strong>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, 21 avril 2026. La table ronde du 65e webinaire mensuel, qui s’est tenu le 16 avril sous le titre \u00ab Perspectives des march\u00e9s de l’\u00e9nergie en Europe. Le r\u00f4le du stockage d’\u00e9nergie \u00bb, a mis en \u00e9vidence le r\u00f4le croissant du stockage sur les march\u00e9s \u00e9lectriques europ\u00e9ens. 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