{"id":173407,"date":"2026-11-10T16:53:59","date_gmt":"2026-11-10T15:53:59","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/?p=173407"},"modified":"2026-11-10T17:08:53","modified_gmt":"2026-11-10T16:08:53","slug":"premiere-enchere-cogeneration-rentabilite-industrielle","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/fr\/premiere-enchere-cogeneration-rentabilite-industrielle\/","title":{"rendered":"La premi\u00e8re ench\u00e8re de cog\u00e9n\u00e9ration met l’accent sur la rentabilit\u00e9 industrielle \u00e0 long terme"},"content":{"rendered":"

AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, 10 novembre 2026. Le MITECO a convoqu\u00e9 pour le 23 f\u00e9vrier 2027 la premi\u00e8re ench\u00e8re de cog\u00e9n\u00e9ration \u00e0 haut rendement, qui attribuera 650 MW. Apr\u00e8s des ann\u00e9es de recul de cette technologie en Espagne, cet appel ouvre la voie \u00e0 la modernisation des installations industrielles. La rentabilit\u00e9 des investissements d\u00e9pendra de pr\u00e9visions solides \u00e0 long terme des prix de l’\u00e9lectricit\u00e9, du gaz et du CO2<\/sub>, ainsi que de l’\u00e9valuation de sc\u00e9narios de risque.<\/strong><\/p>\n

AleaSoft - premiere enchere cogeneration rentabilite industrielle<\/a><\/div>\n

Une opportunit\u00e9 pour relancer la cog\u00e9n\u00e9ration industrielle<\/h2>\n

Le minist\u00e8re de la Transition \u00e9cologique et du D\u00e9fi d\u00e9mographique (MITECO<\/strong>) a publi\u00e9 l’appel de la premi\u00e8re ench\u00e8re de cog\u00e9n\u00e9ration \u00e0 haut rendement<\/strong>, qui se tiendra le 23 f\u00e9vrier 2027 et attribuera 650 MW. Les installations laur\u00e9ates b\u00e9n\u00e9ficieront du r\u00e9gime de r\u00e9mun\u00e9ration sp\u00e9cifique<\/strong>. L’op\u00e9rateur du march\u00e9, OMIE<\/strong>, administrera l’ench\u00e8re et la CNMC<\/strong> sera charg\u00e9e de la superviser. Il s’agit du premier appel au titre du d\u00e9cret royal 530\/2026 et de l’arr\u00eat\u00e9 TED\/672\/2026, qui fixent le cadre du renouvellement du parc de cog\u00e9n\u00e9ration de l’industrie espagnole.<\/p>\n

La r\u00e9solution r\u00e9partit la puissance en huit contingents pour les installations au gaz naturel<\/strong>, totalisant 505 MW, et deux contingents pour la biomasse<\/strong>, avec 145 MW. Ce premier appel s’inscrit dans un programme visant \u00e0 renouveler 1200 MW de cog\u00e9n\u00e9ration industrielle<\/strong> \u00e0 haut rendement, au moyen de nouvelles installations ou de la modification d’installations existantes.<\/p>\n

Il s’agira de la premi\u00e8re ench\u00e8re sp\u00e9cifique \u00e0 la cog\u00e9n\u00e9ration \u00e0 haut rendement en Espagne, bien que ces installations aient d\u00e9j\u00e0 b\u00e9n\u00e9fici\u00e9 de m\u00e9canismes de soutien \u00e9conomique. Jusqu’\u00e0 pr\u00e9sent, la r\u00e9mun\u00e9ration \u00e9tait fix\u00e9e au moyen de param\u00e8tres r\u00e9glement\u00e9s, sans proc\u00e9dure d’attribution concurrentielle. La principale nouveaut\u00e9 de cette ench\u00e8re est que la r\u00e9mun\u00e9ration sera d\u00e9termin\u00e9e par un processus concurrentiel. Ce changement vise \u00e0 favoriser l’efficacit\u00e9 \u00e9conomique dans l’attribution des aides et \u00e0 faciliter le renouvellement du parc de cog\u00e9n\u00e9ration.<\/p>\n

L’initiative intervient apr\u00e8s plusieurs ann\u00e9es de perte de poids de cette technologie. Selon les donn\u00e9es de Red El\u00e9ctrica<\/strong>, la cog\u00e9n\u00e9ration a repr\u00e9sent\u00e9 11,4% de la production d’\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 nationale en 2019, tandis qu’en 2025 sa part est tomb\u00e9e \u00e0 5,7%.<\/p>\n

Ce recul touche particuli\u00e8rement l’industrie<\/strong>, o\u00f9 la cog\u00e9n\u00e9ration produit simultan\u00e9ment de l’\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 et de la chaleur utile<\/strong> \u00e0 partir d’un m\u00eame combustible. Son rendement \u00e9lev\u00e9 r\u00e9duit la consommation d’\u00e9nergie primaire<\/strong> et les co\u00fbts d’approvisionnement dans des secteurs tels que la chimie, l’agroalimentaire, le papier ou la c\u00e9ramique.<\/p>\n

Les pr\u00e9visions \u00e0 long terme d\u00e9termineront la viabilit\u00e9 des offres<\/h2>\n

L’arr\u00eat\u00e9 TED\/672\/2026 \u00e9tablit que les participants offriront un pourcentage de r\u00e9duction sur la valeur standard de l’investissement initial de l’installation type de r\u00e9f\u00e9rence, \u00e0 partir duquel sera calcul\u00e9e la r\u00e9mun\u00e9ration de l’investissement<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Remporter l’ench\u00e8re ne garantit pas \u00e0 lui seul la rentabilit\u00e9<\/strong> du projet. La dur\u00e9e de vie utile r\u00e9glementaire sera de 12 ans pour les cog\u00e9n\u00e9rations au gaz naturel et de 20 ans pour celles \u00e0 la biomasse, de sorte que l’offre pr\u00e9sent\u00e9e en f\u00e9vrier conditionnera les r\u00e9sultats \u00e9conomiques de la centrale pendant plus d’une d\u00e9cennie.<\/p>\n

Dans les installations au gaz naturel, les marges d’exploitation d\u00e9pendront de l’\u00e9volution conjointe des prix du gaz<\/strong>, des quotas d’\u00e9mission de CO2<\/sub><\/strong> et des prix de l’\u00e9lectricit\u00e9<\/strong>, ainsi que des besoins thermiques de chaque proc\u00e9d\u00e9 industriel. Une hausse du gaz ne se r\u00e9percute pas toujours dans la m\u00eame proportion sur le prix de l’\u00e9lectricit\u00e9, surtout dans un march\u00e9 qui compte de plus en plus d’heures de production photovolta\u00efque<\/strong> \u00e0 bas prix. En outre, les pics et la volatilit\u00e9 du gaz en 2026 montrent le risque de fonder une d\u00e9cision d’investissement sur un seul sc\u00e9nario central.<\/p>\n

C’est pourquoi les entreprises auront besoin de pr\u00e9visions coh\u00e9rentes des trois prix et de sc\u00e9narios alternatifs avec un gaz et un CO2<\/sub> \u00e9lev\u00e9s, des revenus \u00e9lectriques plus faibles ou des changements dans les heures de fonctionnement. Cette analyse permet de fixer le pourcentage de r\u00e9duction que chaque installation peut offrir sans compromettre sa viabilit\u00e9.<\/p>\n

Renouvelables, stockage et hydrog\u00e8ne renouvelable dans la nouvelle cog\u00e9n\u00e9ration<\/h2>\n

L’avenir de la cog\u00e9n\u00e9ration industrielle d\u00e9pendra \u00e9galement de son int\u00e9gration avec d’autres solutions d’approvisionnement et de gestion de l’\u00e9nergie. La combinaison avec des centrales photovolta\u00efques et le stockage par batteries<\/strong> peut optimiser la consommation d’\u00e9lectricit\u00e9 et apporter de la flexibilit\u00e9 \u00e0 l’exploitation, tandis que la biomasse et l’hydrog\u00e8ne renouvelable<\/strong> permettent de progresser dans la d\u00e9carbonation<\/strong> des proc\u00e9d\u00e9s thermiques. L’arr\u00eat\u00e9 exige que les installations au gaz naturel disposent des \u00e9quipements n\u00e9cessaires pour utiliser du gaz contenant au moins 10% d’hydrog\u00e8ne renouvelable en volume, et que celles qui emploient des combustibles fossiles terminent la p\u00e9riode de perception du r\u00e9gime de r\u00e9mun\u00e9ration avant le 31 d\u00e9cembre 2045.<\/p>\n

La qualit\u00e9 des pr\u00e9visions, un facteur d\u00e9cisif<\/h2>\n

La premi\u00e8re ench\u00e8re permettra de r\u00e9cup\u00e9rer une partie de la cog\u00e9n\u00e9ration industrielle espagnole. Sa contribution \u00e0 la comp\u00e9titivit\u00e9 de l’industrie d\u00e9pendra de la modernisation technologique et de la qualit\u00e9 des d\u00e9cisions d’investissement. AleaGreen<\/strong>, la division d’AleaSoft Energy Forecasting<\/strong> sp\u00e9cialis\u00e9e dans les pr\u00e9visions \u00e0 long terme<\/a>, fournit des courbes de pr\u00e9visions des prix des march\u00e9s de l’\u00e9lectricit\u00e9<\/strong>, du gaz et du CO2<\/sub> avec des bandes de confiance, qui permettent d’\u00e9valuer l’offre \u00e0 l’ench\u00e8re et les revenus de la centrale sur toute sa dur\u00e9e de vie utile r\u00e9glementaire. De son c\u00f4t\u00e9, AleaConsulting<\/strong> \u00e9labore des \u00e9tudes de sc\u00e9narios et de risques<\/a> pour appuyer le financement et les d\u00e9cisions d’investissement des projets industriels.<\/p>\n

Source : AleaSoft Energy Forecasting<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, 10 novembre 2026. Le MITECO a convoqu\u00e9 pour le 23 f\u00e9vrier 2027 la premi\u00e8re ench\u00e8re de cog\u00e9n\u00e9ration \u00e0 haut rendement, qui attribuera 650 MW. Apr\u00e8s des ann\u00e9es de recul de cette technologie en Espagne, cet appel ouvre la voie \u00e0 la modernisation des installations industrielles. La rentabilit\u00e9 des investissements d\u00e9pendra de pr\u00e9visions solides […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":5,"featured_media":173399,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[30,7547],"tags":[7578,7581,7646],"class_list":["post-173407","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-nouvelles","category-opinion","tag-marches","tag-prix-gaz","tag-transition-energetique"],"yoast_head":"\nPremi\u00e8re ench\u00e8re de cog\u00e9n\u00e9ration : rentabilit\u00e9 industrielle<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Ench\u00e8re de cog\u00e9n\u00e9ration du MITECO : 650 MW le 23 f\u00e9vrier 2027. Sa rentabilit\u00e9 d\u00e9pendra des pr\u00e9visions \u00e0 long terme de l'\u00e9lectricit\u00e9, du gaz et du CO2.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/fr\/premiere-enchere-cogeneration-rentabilite-industrielle\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"fr_FR\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"La premi\u00e8re ench\u00e8re de cog\u00e9n\u00e9ration met l'accent sur la rentabilit\u00e9 industrielle \u00e0 long terme\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Ench\u00e8re de cog\u00e9n\u00e9ration du MITECO : 650 MW le 23 f\u00e9vrier 2027. 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