{"id":147153,"date":"2024-07-02T14:50:13","date_gmt":"2024-07-02T12:50:13","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/?p=147153"},"modified":"2024-07-04T19:39:46","modified_gmt":"2024-07-04T17:39:46","slug":"entrevista-energia-estrategica-oriol-salto-bauza-socio-de-aleagreen","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/pt\/entrevista-energia-estrategica-oriol-salto-bauza-socio-de-aleagreen\/","title":{"rendered":"Entrevista de Energ\u00eda Estrat\u00e9gica a Oriol Salt\u00f3 i Bauz\u00e0, S\u00f3cio Associado de AleaGreen"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t
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AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, 2 de julho de 2024. Entrevista de Milena Giorgi da Energ\u00eda Estrat\u00e9gica Espa\u00f1a com Oriol Salt\u00f3 i Bauz\u00e0, S\u00f3cio Associado da AleaGreen.<\/strong><\/p>

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Coincidindo com os primeiros dias de ver\u00e3o, Milena Giorgi, da Energ\u00eda Estrat\u00e9gica Espa\u00f1a, entrevistou Oriol Salt\u00f3 i Bauz\u00e0, Associate Partner da AleaGreen, para analisar as perspectivas do mercado espanhol da eletricidade nos pr\u00f3ximos meses, bem como o investimento em energias renov\u00e1veis a longo prazo.<\/p>

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Com o in\u00edcio do ver\u00e3o, que tend\u00eancias se esperam no mercado el\u00e9trico espanhol?<\/strong><\/p>

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Tal como prev\u00edamos, a situa\u00e7\u00e3o de pre\u00e7os muito baixos que temos vivido no mercado ib\u00e9rico de eletricidade<\/strong> foi muito favorecida pelas condi\u00e7\u00f5es muito t\u00edpicas da primavera, que \u00e9 a \u00e9poca do ano com menor procura na Pen\u00ednsula Ib\u00e9rica, e com uma produ\u00e7\u00e3o hidroel\u00e9trica<\/strong> muito elevada.<\/p>

\u00c0 medida que entramos no ver\u00e3o, com um aumento da demanda de eletricidade<\/strong> devido a temperaturas mais elevadas e a uma menor produ\u00e7\u00e3o hidroel\u00e9trica e e\u00f3lica<\/strong>, os pre\u00e7os est\u00e3o a subir como esperado. Em junho, o pre\u00e7o m\u00e9dio do mercado da eletricidade em Espanha foi de 56,08 \u20ac\/MWh, em compara\u00e7\u00e3o com 30,40 \u20ac\/MWh em maio e 13,67 \u20ac\/MWh em abril. O pre\u00e7o captado pela energia fotovoltaica tamb\u00e9m aumentou para 34,57 \u20ac\/MWh em junho, em compara\u00e7\u00e3o com 12,74 \u20ac\/MWh em maio e 5,50 \u20ac\/MWh em abril.<\/p>

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Quais s\u00e3o as implica\u00e7\u00f5es das projec\u00e7\u00f5es de temperaturas elevadas?<\/strong><\/p>

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Particularmente nos mercados da parte sul do continente, mas tamb\u00e9m cada vez mais noutros pa\u00edses mais a norte, o aumento das temperaturas no ver\u00e3o conduz a um aumento muito significativo da procura de eletricidade para arrefecimento, com a consequente press\u00e3o ascendente sobre os pre\u00e7os.<\/p>

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Qual poder\u00e1 ser o impacto desta situa\u00e7\u00e3o nos investimentos em energias renov\u00e1veis?<\/strong><\/p>

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A situa\u00e7\u00e3o de pre\u00e7os muito baixos desta primavera alarmou o sector da energia. Mas j\u00e1 t\u00ednhamos avisado na altura que esta situa\u00e7\u00e3o era muito particular \u00e0s condi\u00e7\u00f5es da primavera.<\/p>

Estas foram agravadas, nesta ocasi\u00e3o, pela queda da procura que temos vindo a registar desde 2022 em resultado da crise dos pre\u00e7os da energia.<\/p>

N\u00e3o \u00e9 de excluir que, nas primaveras dos pr\u00f3ximos dois ou tr\u00eas anos, dependendo sobretudo da pluviosidade, possa ocorrer uma situa\u00e7\u00e3o semelhante, at\u00e9 que a procura comece a recuperar firmemente.<\/p>

Isto acontecer\u00e1 \u00e0 medida que todos os sectores da economia forem electrificados e descarbonizados. Mas os investimentos em energias renov\u00e1veis<\/strong> devem ter uma vis\u00e3o a 20-25 anos.<\/p>

Quando olhamos para o longo prazo, a tend\u00eancia dos pre\u00e7os \u00e9 clara e as previs\u00f5es n\u00e3o apontam para uma situa\u00e7\u00e3o recorrente de pre\u00e7os muito baixos como a que vivemos nesta primavera, pelo que os investimentos em energias renov\u00e1veis<\/a> continuam a ser rent\u00e1veis a longo prazo.<\/p>

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Quais s\u00e3o as estimativas de pre\u00e7os para este ver\u00e3o?<\/strong><\/p>

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A tend\u00eancia dos pre\u00e7os j\u00e1 come\u00e7ou a alterar-se como previsto.<\/p>

As temperaturas elevadas, o aumento da procura e o aumento dos pre\u00e7os do g\u00e1s<\/strong> apontam para um ver\u00e3o com valores claramente superiores aos da primavera.<\/p>

As previs\u00f5es<\/a> apontam para pre\u00e7os elevados durante o ver\u00e3o, embora mais baixos do que no ver\u00e3o anterior.<\/p>

\u00c9 muito prov\u00e1vel que os fins-de-semana e os feriados continuem a registar pre\u00e7os negativos ou pr\u00f3ximos de zero, mas, no conjunto dos meses de ver\u00e3o, os pre\u00e7os m\u00e9dios aumentar\u00e3o claramente.<\/p>

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AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, 2 de julho de 2024. Entrevista de Milena Giorgi da Energ\u00eda Estrat\u00e9gica Espa\u00f1a com Oriol Salt\u00f3 i Bauz\u00e0, S\u00f3cio Associado da AleaGreen. Coincidindo com os primeiros dias de ver\u00e3o, Milena Giorgi, da Energ\u00eda Estrat\u00e9gica Espa\u00f1a, entrevistou Oriol Salt\u00f3 i Bauz\u00e0, Associate Partner da AleaGreen, para analisar as perspectivas do mercado espanhol da […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":147043,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7514],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-147153","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias"],"yoast_head":"\nEntrevista de Energ\u00eda Estrat\u00e9gica a Oriol Salt\u00f3 i Bauz\u00e0, S\u00f3cio Associado de AleaGreen - AleaSoft Energy Forecasting<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Entrevista de Milena Giorgi da Energ\u00eda Estrat\u00e9gica Espa\u00f1a com Oriol Salt\u00f3 i Bauz\u00e0, S\u00f3cio Associado da AleaGreen.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/pt\/entrevista-energia-estrategica-oriol-salto-bauza-socio-de-aleagreen\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_PT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Entrevista de Energ\u00eda Estrat\u00e9gica a Oriol Salt\u00f3 i Bauz\u00e0, S\u00f3cio Associado de AleaGreen\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Entrevista de Milena Giorgi da Energ\u00eda Estrat\u00e9gica Espa\u00f1a com Oriol Salt\u00f3 i Bauz\u00e0, S\u00f3cio Associado da AleaGreen.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/pt\/entrevista-energia-estrategica-oriol-salto-bauza-socio-de-aleagreen\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"AleaSoft Energy Forecasting\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/AleaSoft\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2024-07-02T12:50:13+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2024-07-04T17:39:46+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/07\/20240702-AleaSoft-Oriol-Salto-Bauza-Associate-Partner-AleaGreen-1.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"800\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"AleaSoft Energy Forecasting\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@AleaSoftEnergy\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@AleaSoftEnergy\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Escrito por\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"AleaSoft Energy Forecasting\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tempo estimado de leitura\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"3 minutos\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/pt\\\/entrevista-energia-estrategica-oriol-salto-bauza-socio-de-aleagreen\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/pt\\\/entrevista-energia-estrategica-oriol-salto-bauza-socio-de-aleagreen\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"AleaSoft Energy Forecasting\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/e83ba5c714f71473e3096e6f5bffcd61\"},\"headline\":\"Entrevista de Energ\u00eda Estrat\u00e9gica a Oriol Salt\u00f3 i Bauz\u00e0, S\u00f3cio Associado de AleaGreen\",\"datePublished\":\"2024-07-02T12:50:13+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2024-07-04T17:39:46+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/pt\\\/entrevista-energia-estrategica-oriol-salto-bauza-socio-de-aleagreen\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":611,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/pt\\\/entrevista-energia-estrategica-oriol-salto-bauza-socio-de-aleagreen\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/07\\\/20240702-AleaSoft-Oriol-Salto-Bauza-Associate-Partner-AleaGreen-1.jpg\",\"articleSection\":[\"Not\u00edcias\"],\"inLanguage\":\"pt-PT\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/pt\\\/entrevista-energia-estrategica-oriol-salto-bauza-socio-de-aleagreen\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/pt\\\/entrevista-energia-estrategica-oriol-salto-bauza-socio-de-aleagreen\\\/\",\"name\":\"Entrevista de Energ\u00eda Estrat\u00e9gica a Oriol Salt\u00f3 i Bauz\u00e0, S\u00f3cio Associado de AleaGreen - 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