{"id":157066,"date":"2025-05-20T16:12:28","date_gmt":"2025-05-20T14:12:28","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/?p=157066"},"modified":"2025-05-23T06:29:09","modified_gmt":"2025-05-23T04:29:09","slug":"previsoes-importancia-sector-energia","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/pt\/previsoes-importancia-sector-energia\/","title":{"rendered":"A import\u00e2ncia da previs\u00e3o no sector da energia"},"content":{"rendered":"

AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, 20 de maio de 2025. Num sistema el\u00e9trico cada vez mais complexo e descentralizado, as previs\u00f5es da demanda, da produ\u00e7\u00e3o renov\u00e1vel e dos pre\u00e7os do mercado da energia tornaram-se uma ferramenta essencial para um funcionamento eficiente e para a tomada de decis\u00f5es estrat\u00e9gicas. Todos os intervenientes no sector necessitam de cen\u00e1rios fi\u00e1veis para antecipar a volatilidade do mercado, otimizar as suas opera\u00e7\u00f5es e garantir a estabilidade do sistema.<\/strong>
\n

AleaSoft - fotovoltaica eolica almacenamiento energia<\/a><\/div><\/p>\n

Num sistema energ\u00e9tico em constante mudan\u00e7a, a previs\u00e3o<\/strong> tornou-se uma ferramenta essencial para todos os intervenientes no sector da eletricidade. Com o crescimento exponencial das energias renov\u00e1veis<\/strong>, a eletrifica\u00e7\u00e3o<\/strong> de sectores-chave e a incorpora\u00e7\u00e3o de novas tecnologias, como o armazenamento de energia<\/strong> em baterias<\/strong>, os cen\u00e1rios futuros fi\u00e1veis s\u00e3o mais cr\u00edticos do que nunca.<\/p>\n

Os produtores<\/strong>, os retalhistas<\/strong>, os grandes consumidores<\/strong>, os operadores de rede<\/strong>, os gestores de activos de armazenamento<\/strong> e tamb\u00e9m as empresas de distribui\u00e7\u00e3o<\/strong> t\u00eam de antecipar as mudan\u00e7as para otimizar as opera\u00e7\u00f5es, reduzir os riscos econ\u00f3micos e garantir a estabilidade do sistema el\u00e9trico.<\/p>\n

Os distribuidores, por exemplo, necessitam de previs\u00f5es exactas da demanda<\/a> a n\u00edvel local para planear a sua rede, evitar congestionamentos e dimensionar os investimentos. Com a crescente produ\u00e7\u00e3o distribu\u00edda e o autoconsumo<\/strong>, a variabilidade aumenta e as suas decis\u00f5es devem ser apoiadas por previs\u00f5es hor\u00e1rias fi\u00e1veis.<\/p>\n

Por outro lado, os mercados intradi\u00e1rios<\/strong> e os servi\u00e7os de ajustamento<\/strong> est\u00e3o a tornar-se cada vez mais importantes num sistema dominado por fontes incontrol\u00e1veis como a e\u00f3lica e a solar. As previs\u00f5es permitem que os agentes participem ativamente nestes mercados, ajustando a sua posi\u00e7\u00e3o hor\u00e1ria de acordo com a evolu\u00e7\u00e3o da produ\u00e7\u00e3o renov\u00e1vel e da demanda de eletricidade<\/strong>.<\/p>\n

Os mercados intradi\u00e1rios, em que a energia pode ser comprada ou vendida algumas horas antes da entrega, oferecem oportunidades para otimizar a posi\u00e7\u00e3o dos produtores, consumidores e operadores de baterias. Mas para tirar partido destas janelas de oportunidade, s\u00e3o necess\u00e1rias previs\u00f5es actualizadas e precisas.<\/p>\n

Em termos de servi\u00e7os de ajustamento, estes s\u00e3o essenciais para garantir o equil\u00edbrio do sistema em tempo real. As baterias, devido \u00e0 sua capacidade de resposta r\u00e1pida, est\u00e3o cada vez mais presentes nestes servi\u00e7os. A sua gest\u00e3o eficiente exige previs\u00f5es din\u00e2micas<\/a> tanto dos pre\u00e7os como das condi\u00e7\u00f5es da rede, a fim de decidir se devem participar no mercado \u00e0 vista<\/strong>, nos servi\u00e7os de ajustamento ou em ambos.<\/p>\n

A previs\u00e3o n\u00e3o \u00e9 um exerc\u00edcio te\u00f3rico, mas um instrumento pr\u00e1tico ao servi\u00e7o da explora\u00e7\u00e3o e da estrat\u00e9gia. Para os operadores de rede, permite-lhes otimizar o despacho e a programa\u00e7\u00e3o hor\u00e1ria das centrais e das baterias, reduzir os custos de desvio e, a longo prazo, assegurar o equil\u00edbrio t\u00e9cnico e econ\u00f3mico do sistema. Para os operadores de centrais de produ\u00e7\u00e3o e de armazenamento, as previs\u00f5es permitem-lhes tirar partido das oportunidades nos diferentes mercados da eletricidade e avaliar a rentabilidade futura dos projectos de investimento.<\/p>\n

AleaSoft - mibel long term price forecasting<\/a>Previs\u00e3o de pre\u00e7os a longo prazo para o mercado ib\u00e9rico de eletricidade MIBEL realizada no final de outubro de 2010 pela AleaSoft. Fonte: AleaSoft Energy Forecasting.<\/span><\/div>\n

Em artigos futuros, ser\u00e1 abordada com mais profundidade a forma como estas previs\u00f5es s\u00e3o constru\u00eddas, as metodologias utilizadas, os horizontes temporais existentes e a sua aplica\u00e7\u00e3o espec\u00edfica no caso de projectos de armazenamento e hibrida\u00e7\u00e3o de energias renov\u00e1veis.<\/p>\n

An\u00e1lise da AleaSoft Energy Forecasting sobre as perspectivas dos mercados europeus da energia e das baterias<\/h2>\n

Esta quinta-feira, 22 de maio, ter\u00e1 lugar uma nova edi\u00e7\u00e3o dos webinars mensais<\/a> da AleaSoft Energy Forecasting<\/strong>, que chega \u00e0 sua 55\u00aa edi\u00e7\u00e3o. Nesta ocasi\u00e3o<\/a>, Javier Adiego Orera, CEO e cofundador da 7C Energy<\/strong>, ser\u00e1 um dos oradores convidados, para abordar o armazenamento de energia com baterias. Durante o webinar, ser\u00e3o abordados temas como a import\u00e2ncia das previs\u00f5es da demanda e da banda secund\u00e1ria, o impacto do grau de utiliza\u00e7\u00e3o na rentabilidade das baterias, a sua otimiza\u00e7\u00e3o financeira e os aspectos regulat\u00f3rios, incluindo subs\u00eddios e pagamentos por capacidade. Como habitualmente, ser\u00e1 tamb\u00e9m analisada a evolu\u00e7\u00e3o recente dos mercados energ\u00e9ticos europeus e as suas perspectivas.<\/p>\n

A mesa redonda contar\u00e1 ainda com a participa\u00e7\u00e3o de Kiko Maza, diretor-geral da WeMake Consultores<\/strong>, e de Luis Atienza Serna, antigo ministro do Governo espanhol<\/strong> e ex-presidente da Red El\u00e9ctrica<\/strong>. Entre os temas a debater estar\u00e3o as hibrida\u00e7\u00f5es com a energia e\u00f3lica, os servi\u00e7os auxiliares e as redes de transporte e distribui\u00e7\u00e3o.<\/p>\n

Fonte: AleaSoft Energy Forecasting<\/strong>.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, 20 de maio de 2025. Num sistema el\u00e9trico cada vez mais complexo e descentralizado, as previs\u00f5es da demanda, da produ\u00e7\u00e3o renov\u00e1vel e dos pre\u00e7os do mercado da energia tornaram-se uma ferramenta essencial para um funcionamento eficiente e para a tomada de decis\u00f5es estrat\u00e9gicas. Todos os intervenientes no sector necessitam de cen\u00e1rios fi\u00e1veis […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":3,"featured_media":150063,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[7514,7550],"tags":[7555,7560,7669,7565,7655],"class_list":["post-157066","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-noticias","category-opiniao","tag-armazenamento-energia","tag-baterias","tag-gestao-demanda","tag-mercado-capacidade","tag-transicao-energetica"],"yoast_head":"\nA import\u00e2ncia da previs\u00e3o no sector da energia - AleaSoft Energy Forecasting<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"Num sistema el\u00e9trico cada vez mais complexo e descentralizado, as previs\u00f5es da demanda, da gera\u00e7\u00e3o renov\u00e1vel e dos pre\u00e7os do mercado de energia tornaram-se uma ferramenta essencial para uma opera\u00e7\u00e3o eficiente e para a tomada de decis\u00f5es estrat\u00e9gicas.\" \/>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/previsoes-importancia-sector-energia\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"pt_PT\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"A import\u00e2ncia da previs\u00e3o no sector da energia\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Num sistema el\u00e9trico cada vez mais complexo e descentralizado, as previs\u00f5es da demanda, da gera\u00e7\u00e3o renov\u00e1vel e dos pre\u00e7os do mercado de energia tornaram-se uma ferramenta essencial para uma opera\u00e7\u00e3o eficiente e para a tomada de decis\u00f5es estrat\u00e9gicas.\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:url\" content=\"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/previsoes-importancia-sector-energia\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:site_name\" content=\"AleaSoft Energy Forecasting\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:publisher\" content=\"https:\/\/www.facebook.com\/AleaSoft\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:published_time\" content=\"2025-05-20T14:12:28+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"article:modified_time\" content=\"2025-05-23T04:29:09+00:00\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:image\" content=\"https:\/\/aleasoft.com\/wp-content\/uploads\/2024\/10\/iStock-1546822778-filtered-scaled.jpg\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:width\" content=\"2048\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:height\" content=\"1545\" \/>\n\t<meta property=\"og:image:type\" content=\"image\/jpeg\" \/>\n<meta name=\"author\" content=\"AleaSoft Energy Forecasting\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:card\" content=\"summary_large_image\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:creator\" content=\"@AleaSoftEnergy\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:site\" content=\"@AleaSoftEnergy\" \/>\n<meta name=\"twitter:label1\" content=\"Escrito por\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data1\" content=\"AleaSoft Energy Forecasting\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:label2\" content=\"Tempo estimado de leitura\" \/>\n\t<meta name=\"twitter:data2\" content=\"4 minutos\" \/>\n<script type=\"application\/ld+json\" class=\"yoast-schema-graph\">{\"@context\":\"https:\\\/\\\/schema.org\",\"@graph\":[{\"@type\":\"Article\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/previsoes-importancia-sector-energia\\\/#article\",\"isPartOf\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/pt\\\/previsoes-importancia-sector-energia\\\/\"},\"author\":{\"name\":\"AleaSoft Energy Forecasting\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/#\\\/schema\\\/person\\\/e83ba5c714f71473e3096e6f5bffcd61\"},\"headline\":\"A import\u00e2ncia da previs\u00e3o no sector da energia\",\"datePublished\":\"2025-05-20T14:12:28+00:00\",\"dateModified\":\"2025-05-23T04:29:09+00:00\",\"mainEntityOfPage\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/pt\\\/previsoes-importancia-sector-energia\\\/\"},\"wordCount\":842,\"publisher\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/#organization\"},\"image\":{\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/previsoes-importancia-sector-energia\\\/#primaryimage\"},\"thumbnailUrl\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/wp-content\\\/uploads\\\/2024\\\/10\\\/iStock-1546822778-filtered-scaled.jpg\",\"keywords\":[\"Armazenamento energia\",\"Baterias\",\"gest\u00e3o demanda\",\"Mercado capacidade\",\"Transi\u00e7\u00e3o energ\u00e9tica\"],\"articleSection\":[\"Not\u00edcias\",\"Opini\u00e3o\"],\"inLanguage\":\"pt-PT\"},{\"@type\":\"WebPage\",\"@id\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/pt\\\/previsoes-importancia-sector-energia\\\/\",\"url\":\"https:\\\/\\\/aleasoft.com\\\/previsoes-importancia-sector-energia\\\/\",\"name\":\"A import\u00e2ncia da previs\u00e3o no sector da energia - 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