Newsletter June/2026
News on European electricity markets
June/2026
| NEWS |
June 29, 2026
The heat wave drives up demand and prices in European electricity markets in the last week of June
In the fourth week of June, the heat wave shaped European electricity markets by driving up demand and pushing weekly average prices higher, with most markets exceeding €115/MWh. Lower wind energy production in Germany and Italy also contributed to this trend. Germany and Spain set records for solar photovoltaic energy production, while TTF gas futures and Brent futures reached their lowest levels since April and February, respectively.
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June 25, 2026
Batteries and hybridisation will be decisive for capturing value in more volatile electricity markets
The growing volatility of European electricity markets is reinforcing the role of batteries as a tool to capture value, optimise revenues and facilitate the integration of renewable energy. In a context of low prices during solar hours and higher peaks at other times of the day, storage makes it possible to shift energy from lower-price hours to higher-value periods.
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June 23, 2026
Electrification of demand will be key to sustaining renewable energy growth in Spain
The rapid growth of renewable energy production has positioned Spain among the most competitive wholesale electricity markets in Europe. However, for this advantage to translate into more investment, greater industrial competitiveness and increased stability for renewable energy projects, it will be necessary to accelerate the electrification of demand, strengthen grids and transfer the wholesale price signal more efficiently to end consumers.
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June 22, 2026
Summer begins with a heat wave, increased demand and rising prices in European electricity markets
In the third week of June, prices rose in most European electricity markets and exceeded €80/MWh. Higher demand, amid rising temperatures, lower wind energy production and higher CO2 futures supported this trend. The agreement between the United States and Iran pushed Brent and TTF gas futures lower. France and Portugal reached all-time highs in solar photovoltaic energy production, while Spain and Italy set records for a June day.
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June 19, 2026
Batteries and hybrid PPA: a competitive advantage for the energy sector
Renewable energy growth, volatility and the increasing frequency of low, zero or negative prices are transforming energy management. Competitive advantage no longer lies solely in procuring renewable energy, but in having access to flexible and optimised energy. Batteries and hybrid PPA help reduce risks, improve the profile of the energy supplied and create more competitive products.
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June 16, 2026
More than 50 years of Artificial Intelligence applied to decision-making under uncertainty
Artificial Intelligence is now commonly associated with generative models, conversational assistants and the growth in electricity demand linked to data centres. However, several decades before these technologies emerged, Artificial Intelligence had already begun to demonstrate its ability to solve complex problems with a real economic impact. One of the most notable examples was PROSPECTOR, an expert system developed in the 1970s to support mineral exploration. Its success made it one of the first documented cases in which Artificial Intelligence contributed to decision-making under uncertainty and generated tangible economic value.
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June 15, 2026
More wind energy and falling oil and gas prices keep European electricity markets on a downward trend
In the second week of June, weekly prices fell in most European electricity markets. Higher wind energy production supported this trend despite rising demand. Spain and Portugal registered the largest declines, while prices rose in France. Brent oil and TTF gas futures fell at the end of the week as the United States and Iran made progress in peace negotiations.
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June 12, 2026
Industrial decarbonisation: electrification, storage and risk management in markets
Decarbonising industry requires more than replacing fossil fuels with electricity. Process electrification, battery and thermal storage, hedging strategies and price forecasts will be key to reducing emissions without compromising competitiveness. In this new landscape, risk management and flexibility are becoming decisive factors in industrial decision-making.
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June 8, 2026
Wind energy and lower demand drive price drops in European electricity markets in the first week of June
In the first week of June, weekly average prices fell in most major European electricity markets and generally stood below €95/MWh. Higher wind energy production, lower demand across much of Europe and slightly lower CO2 futures prices drove this trend. Spain and Portugal set photovoltaic energy production records for a June day, while France reached a wind energy production record for this month.
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June 5, 2026
The capacity market: a new piece in the bankability of batteries, but not the definitive solution
The European Commission's approval of the capacity market in Spain introduces a new signal for energy storage, in a context in which batteries are gaining prominence for providing firmness and flexibility to the electricity system. For BESS projects, both standalone and hybridised with renewables, this mechanism opens up new possibilities, but it does not remove the need for prudent, long-term financial analysis.
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June 2, 2026
Renewables set records in Europe in May while electricity market prices rise due to gas prices
In May 2026, monthly average prices increased in most major European electricity markets. Higher gas and CO2 prices, together with lower wind energy production in several markets, contributed to this trend. Germany reached an all-time record for solar photovoltaic energy production, while Spain, France, Italy and Portugal registered their highest solar energy production for a month of May, and Italy achieved a May record for wind energy production. Brent futures registered their highest monthly average since August 2022.
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June 1, 2026
Historic photovoltaic energy production records across Europe in the last week of May and falling market prices
In the fourth week of May, weekly average prices in most major European electricity markets fell compared to the previous week and generally remained below €95/MWh. Higher solar photovoltaic energy production and lower gas prices supported this trend, although declining wind energy production and stronger electricity demand pushed prices higher in France, Italy and the Iberian Peninsula. Major European markets set new all-time records for solar photovoltaic energy production, while CO2 futures reached their highest settlement price since February 10.
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| SOCIAL MEDIA |
June 23, 2026
Are we ready for the closure of Almaraz in 2027?
June 22, 2026
Staying ahead of the market helps you...
June 22, 2026
As renewables continue to grow, flexibility...
June 22, 2026
Energy is no longer bought: it is managed
June 19, 2026
Batteries, AI and bankability: the importance of forecasting the future accurately
June 19, 2026
Europe has already warmed...
June 17, 2026
Valuing a renewable energy portfolio requires...
June 17, 2026
Spain's capacity market could create an additional revenue stream for...
June 16, 2026
In Energy Markets, price volatility, demand variability...
June 15, 2026
The EU will mobilise up to €25 billion by 2035 to...
June 12, 2026
Europe ended May with records for...
June 12, 2026
Electro-intensive industries...
June 10, 2026
Renewable integration is becoming the...
June 8, 2026
Identifying the right counterparty remains...
June 5, 2026
The profitability of renewable fuels starts with...
June 5, 2026
Market uncertainty increases the value...
June 3, 2026
Battery energy storage in Europe grew by 45% in 2025. Following this trend, Spain has just inaugurated the country's largest...
June 2, 2026
Spreads don't wait for those who react too late...
June 2, 2026
At AleaSoft, we develop AI-based energy forecasts...
June 1, 2026
During the week of May 18, wind energy generation fell by 57% in...
| WEBINARS |
- Evolution and prospects of European energy markets
- Current situation and prospects of PPA
- Financing of renewable energy and storage projects: current situation, challenges and opportunities, and the role of long-term forecasts and revenue projections
- Prospects for energy storage and opportunities for hybridisation with renewable energy and self-consumption
- Oriol Saltó i Bauzà, Associate Partner at AleaSoft
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- Recent evolution of European energy markets and prospects for the second half of 2026
- Opportunities and challenges for the growth of the renewable energy sector
- Current situation and trends in the PPA market in Spain
- Prospects for battery energy storage and hybridisation with photovoltaic energy
- Daniel Fernández Alonso, Strategy, Regulatory Affairs and Communications Director at Engie Spain
- Oriol Saltó i Bauzà, Associate Partner at AleaSoft
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| HOW WE HELP EACH PROFILE IN THE SECTOR |
At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, we help all stakeholders in the sector anticipate scenarios, assess risks, and make decisions with a solid market outlook.
- Developers of renewable energy and battery storage projects, investment funds, and banks: support in project evaluation, financing, due diligence, asset valuation, risk analysis, PPAs, and investment decisions. Learn about our services >>
- Industry, large consumers, and data centers: support in energy cost management, purchasing strategies, hedging, PPAs, self-consumption, energy storage, and process electrification. Learn about our services >>
- Generators (utilities and IPPs): support in portfolio optimisation, revenue assessment, risk management, hybridisation, repowering, market operations, and asset planning. Learn about our services >>
- Retailers: support in portfolio management, energy purchasing strategies, pricing, hedging, demand forecasting, PPAs, and market risk analysis. Learn about our services >>
- Control centres: support in daily operations, renewable generation forecasting, demand forecasting, imbalance reduction, market participation, and management of hybrid assets and batteries. Learn about our services >>
- TSOs and distribution system operators: support in grid planning and operation, demand analysis, renewable integration, flexibility, energy storage, and system stability. Learn about our services >>
- Traders, demand aggregators, and market representatives: support in market decision-making, arbitrage, risk management, scenario analysis, buying and selling strategies, and participation in spot, futures, and balancing markets. Learn about our services >>
- Renewable fuels, hydrogen, methanol, ammonia, and biofuels: support in project evaluation, energy cost analysis, design of electricity supply strategies, renewable integration, energy storage, and market scenarios. Learn about our services >>
| SOLUTIONS FOR MAKING BETTER DECISIONS IN ENERGY MARKETS |
- AleaStorage: helps assess the economic viability, revenues, sizing, and optimization of energy storage and hybridization projects. Learn about AleaStorage >>
- AleaGreen: helps make investment decisions, financing, asset valuation, PPAs, M&A, and due diligence with a long-term market perspective. Learn about AleaGreen >>
- AleaBlue: helps operate in markets, manage risks, define hedging strategies, and make short- and medium-term decisions. Learn about AleaBlue >>
- AleaHub: helps connect renewable sector players interested in opportunities related to PPAs, assets, and renewable and storage projects. Learn about AleaHub >>
- AleaWhite: helps track and analyze energy market developments using the Alea Energy Database, an online data platform, and specialized market reports. Learn about AleaWhite >>
- AleaConsulting: helps develop customized analyses, market studies, audits, specialized reports, and strategic advisory to support investment decisions, operations, contracting, and risk management. Learn about AleaConsulting >>
| WORKSHOPS |
These are the workshops delivered:
- Short-term forecasting for agents operating in spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
- Medium-term forecasting and stochastic modeling for agents operating in spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
- Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) for the compilation, visualization, and analysis of data related to energy markets. Request recording >>