Market forecasts for PPAs and synergies

One of the most important aspects when defining a PPA is the value of the energy being bought or sold. AleaSoft offers reports on European electricity market forecasts with a 30-year horizon. In these reports, the price is broken down hourly, and the remaining variables that determine the market price are broken down with annual granularity. Annual confidence bands for the price forecast based on a probabilistic metric are also included, for example, those corresponding to percentiles P15 and P85. The reports also contain an explanatory document with a 30-year outlook for the electricity market including the incorporation of renewables and thermal unit shutdowns. These long-term forecast reports form the basis for consultancy on the entire process of risk identification, definition of agreements and termsheets, negotiation and closing of PPA. AleaSoft helps its clients define and execute the best financing strategy and search for synergies with other companies or market agents.

At AleaSoft, a team of experts in European electricity markets is prepared to meet your needs and help you find new opportunities:

  • Energy price forecasting for long-term PPAs with hourly detail and annual confidence bands.
  • Market forecasts for consultancy on the entire process of risk identification, definition of agreements and termsheets, negotiation and closing of PPAs.
  • Based on market forecasts, AleaSoft helps its clients define and execute the best financing strategy and search for synergies with other companies or market agents.
  • Based on the customer database of those using market forecasts, AleaSoft acts as a HUB of the renewable sector and connects financial entities, funds, producers and large clients to explore synergies and commercial opportunities.
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Market forecasts for PPAs and synergies

One of the most important aspects when defining a PPA is the value of the energy being bought or sold. AleaSoft offers reports on European electricity market forecasts with a 30-year horizon. In these reports, the price is broken down hourly, and the remaining variables that determine the market price are broken down with annual granularity. Annual confidence bands for the price forecast based on a probabilistic metric are also included, for example, those corresponding to percentiles P15 and P85. The reports also contain an explanatory document with a 30-year outlook for the electricity market including the incorporation of renewables and thermal unit shutdowns. These long-term forecast reports form the basis for consultancy on the entire process of risk identification, definition of agreements and termsheets, negotiation and closing of PPA. AleaSoft helps its clients define and execute the best financing strategy and search for synergies with other companies or market agents.

At AleaSoft, a team of experts in European electricity markets is prepared to meet your needs and help you find new opportunities:

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More connections to explore opportunities and synergies

in the energy markets

27 years of experience

27 years of experience as forecasting leaders in the energy sector

All European markets

We provide forecasts for all European markets

Scientific methodology

Hybrid forecasting model based on neural networks, regression and SARIMA model

Strategy

Strategic consulting for the purchase and sale of energy and energy assets

27 years providing quality forecasts

November 2010 forecast of Spanish electricity market prices. The graph shows the accuracy of the forecasts and confidence bands. An important point to note is that price oscillates around the expected value. This characteristic will continue in the future, which is why the quality of the forecasts and associated probabilities is important.

To make major decisions, it is important to have the most reliable information. And at AleaSoft, we can provide it to you.

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