Market forecasting for PPA and synergies

One of the most important aspects when defining a PPA is the value of the energy that is bought or sold. AleaSoft offers forecast reports for European electricity markets with a 30‑year horizon. In these reports the price is broken down on an hourly basis, and the rest of the variables that determine the market price are broken down with annual granularity. The annual confidence bands of the price forecasting based on a probabilistic metric are also included, for example, those corresponding to the P15 and P85 percentiles. The reports also contain an explanatory document with the 30‑year vision of the electricity market with the incorporation of the renewable energies and the shutdowns of thermal groups. These long‑term forecast reports are the basis for consulting on the entire process of risk identification, definition of agreements and termsheets, negotiation and closing of PPA. AleaSoft helps its clients define and execute the best financing strategy and search for synergies with other companies or market agents.

At AleaSoft, a team of experts in the European electricity markets is ready to meet your needs and help you get new opportunities:

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in energy markets

22 years of experience

22 years of experience as forecasting leaders in the energy sector

All European markets

We offer forecasts for all European markets

Scientific methodology

Hybrid forecasting model based on neural networks, regression and SARIMA model

Strategy

Strategic consulting for the purchase and sale of energy and energy assets

22 years making quality forecasts

Forecast made in November 2010 of the prices of the electricity market in Spain. The graph shows the success of the forecasts and the confidence bands. An important aspect to consider is that price ranges around the expected value. This feature will continue to be maintained in the future, so the importance of the quality of the forecasts and the associated probabilities.

To make significant decisions it is important to have the most reliable information. And at AleaSoft we can provide it.

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