Actualités sur les marchés électriques européens
Novembre/2025
| NEWS |
December 1, 2025
Black Friday does not apply to European electricity markets, which keep prices high in the last week of November
In the last week of November, weekly prices remained above €95/MWh in most major European electricity markets, with exceptions in the Iberian, French and Nordic markets. In addition, several markets reached the highest daily levels of recent months. Wind energy production increased in most markets, while photovoltaic energy production declined. On November 28, TTF gas futures reached the lowest settlement price since May 2024 and CO2 futures reached the highest since early February.
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November 26, 2025
The electricity system in evolution: The importance of forecasts as a vision of the future
The electricity system is undergoing a profound transformation, with a high penetration of renewable energy, large-scale electrification, and the emergence of new agents and technologies. In this context, energy forecasts become an essential strategic tool, enabling informed decision-making, reducing risks and anticipating market changes. This article explores the role of forecasts in the market and its future.
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November 24, 2025
Low temperatures drive up demand and prices in European electricity markets in the third week of November
In the third week of November, prices in the main European electricity markets increased, driven by higher demand associated with falling temperatures and by lower renewable energy production in several markets. Most markets exceeded €95/MWh in weekly average prices and on Friday, November 21, daily prices reached their highest levels since at least July. On November 20, photovoltaic energy production set a record for a November day in Portugal and, on November 21, TTF gas futures fell to €30.20/MWh, their lowest level since May 2024.
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November 21, 2025
Storage sets the pace for the new stage of the European electricity system
The role of energy storage and the growing need for flexibility in an electricity system with a high share of renewable energy were the central themes of the 60th edition of the AleaSoft Energy Forecasting webinars. The session analysed trends in the European electricity market ahead of winter 2025-2026, the impact of intraday variability on prices and the increasingly strategic importance of batteries and hybridisation for the stability and efficiency of the system.
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November 20, 2025
The electricity system in evolution: decarbonisation
Climate change and the urgency to reduce greenhouse gas emissions have led Europe to set ambitious climate targets. These targets define the direction of the electricity system towards a 100% renewable energy model, with new technologies, greater electrification and a more flexible and intelligent management of energy.
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November 17, 2025
European electricity market prices fall with higher wind energy production and lower gas prices in the second week of November
In the second week of November, prices fell in most major European electricity markets compared to the previous week, driven by an increase in wind energy production and a decline in gas prices. On November 13, TTF gas futures registered their lowest settlement price since May 2024, €30.46/MWh. Electricity demand rose in most major European markets, while solar photovoltaic energy production declined.
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November 14, 2025
The electricity system in evolution: the arrival of renewable energy
One of the most significant transformations in the electricity sector in recent decades has been the emergence of renewable energy. These clean sources have reshaped the way electricity is generated, modifying the energy mix and forcing both the market and the electricity grid to adapt.
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November 11, 2025
Interview of Energías Renovables with Antonio Delgado Rigal, PhD in Artificial Intelligence and CEO of AleaSoft Energy Forecasting
There was a time when it almost sounded like science fiction, but today AI is all the rage. AleaSoft, however, has been working with it for more than a quarter of a century. “We are experts-says its slogan-in energy market intelligence solutions powered by Artificial Intelligence”. Is AleaSoft the pioneer, the Nikola Tesla, of AI for the markets?
Curiously, I completed my PhD in AI in 1998, one year before we founded AleaSoft. I have always been convinced that AI is the future.
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November 10, 2025
November starts with price increases in most European markets with CO2 at the highest levels since February and higher demand
In the first week of November, the increase in electricity demand, the decrease in wind energy production in some markets and the rise in CO2 prices, whose futures reached their highest settlement price since mid-February, above €82/t, led to higher prices in most major European electricity markets. However, the increase in wind energy production in the Iberian Peninsula contributed to lower prices in the MIBEL market. In addition, photovoltaic energy production reached record levels for a November day in the main European markets.
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November 7, 2025
The 7% electricity generation tax: regulatory evolution and energy sector prospects
The Tax on the Value of the Production of Electrical Energy (IVPEE for its Spanish acronym), known as the 7% tax, has been one of the most significant fiscal measures in the Spanish electricity system over the past decade. Since its creation in 2012, its application has gone through several phases of suspension and reactivation, reflecting the evolution of the energy and economic context of the country.
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November 5, 2025
The 2010 forecast reaches the end of its horizon with extraordinary accuracy
In October 2025, the long-term price forecast prepared by AleaSoft Energy Forecasting in November 2010 for the Iberian electricity market reached the end of its horizon. Fifteen years later, the result confirms the reliability of the company’s methodology and its ability to anticipate the evolution of energy markets over extended timeframes. The real average market price in October 2025 was €75.75/MWh, while the price forecast in 2010 was €76.63/MWh, representing a difference of 1.2% or €0.88/MWh. The real value also fell within the range forecast by AleaSoft, between €64.00/MWh and €86.07/MWh.
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November 4, 2025
European electricity market prices rise in October while photovoltaic and wind energy set records
Prices rose in October in most major European electricity markets, exceeding €75/MWh and remaining above September levels. In the Iberian market, the monthly price reached its highest level since March. The increase in electricity demand and the rise in CO2 prices, which registered their highest monthly average since December 2023, drove this upward trend. In contrast, gas and Brent oil futures fell to their lowest monthly averages since May 2024 and March 2021, respectively. Meanwhile, photovoltaic and wind energy reached production records for an October month in most markets.
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November 3, 2025
The drop in renewable energy generation drove the rise in European electricity market prices in the last week of October
In the last week of October, prices in the main European electricity markets recovered after the declines of the previous week, with most of them averaging above €60/MWh. The decrease in wind and solar energy production contributed to this recovery, despite lower electricity demand in almost all markets and falling gas prices, with gas futures reaching their lowest level since mid-August on October 30.
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| SOCIAL MEDIA |
November 4, 2025
The forecast that,15 years later,is still right...
| WEBINARS |
- Evolution and prospects of European energy markets for the winter 2025-2026
- Prospects for batteries, hybridisation and energy storage
- Battery and hybridisation projects at AleaSoft
- Oriol Saltó i Bauzà, Associate Partner at AleaGreen
- Luis Marquina de Soto, President of AEPIBAL
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| WORKSHOPS |
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These are the latest workshops held:
- Short term forecasting for agents that operate in the spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
- Mid-term forecasting with the stochasticity distributions for agents operating in the spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
- Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) for the compilation, visualisation and analysis of data related to the energy markets. Request recording >>
| HYBRID SYSTEMS OF RENEWABLE ENERGY AND BATTERIES |
Consult service of studies, analysis and reports for hybrid systems >>
| MARKETS FORECASTING REPORTS |
At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, long term forecasting reports are carried out for all European energy markets. In addition, new complementary services associated with these long term reports are offered.
Mid term European electricity markets prices forecasting reports are also available, which provide a vision of the prospects for the coming months and years, taking into account the most up to date scenarios for the evolution of the economy.
Consult AleaSoft Energy Forecasting’s mid term price forecasting service >>
| REPORTS FOR THE ENERGY SECTOR |
At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, studies and reports on the European energy markets are carried out to satisfy the needs of the companies in the sector or other indirectly related companies. Some examples of these reports are:
- Long-term analysis of the electricity sector in the European markets
- Optimisation strategies for hybrid systems of renewable energy and energy storage
- Impact of the 7% tax on the market prices
- Financing and PPA
- Renewable energy auctions
- CO2 prices
- Analysis of the emission factor transferred to the market at the long term
- Price captured by photovoltaic, solar thermal, wind and hydroelectric energy
- Valuation of the wind and solar resource of a facility
- Influence of anticipated nuclear power plants shutdowns in the electricity sector
- International interconnections
- Analysis of price cannibalisation and hourly price profiles in the future
- Future of the green hydrogen in the energy sector
- Self-consumption
- Analysis of future scenarios in the sector and simulations
- Repercussions of the NECP in the electricity market
- Monographs on the main European electricity markets
- Cogeneration
- Biomass
- National, regional electricity consumption or client portfolio
- Generation optimisation
- Fuels: consumption, prices and futures
Consult service of reports for the energy sector >>
| ALEA ENERGY DATABASE (ALEAAPP) |
At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, the Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) was developed, an online platform which compiles the data from the energy markets and the macroeconomic data from the main European markets, helping and facilitating the digitalisation of the companies. In this tool it is possible to visualise and analyse the data through comparative graphs of variables, calculation of the moving average, changes in the temporality of the series, among others.
Consult access service to the Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) >>
| ENERGY MARKETS OBSERVATORIES |
The energy markets observatories are available on the AleaSoft Energy Forecasting website, which allow analysing the evolution of the main European electricity markets in recent weeks. This tool includes hourly, daily and weekly graphs in which the information is updated daily.