Notizie sui mercati elettrici europei
Marzo/2026
| NEWS |
March 30, 2026
European electricity market prices fall in the fourth week of March while photovoltaic energy sets records in Spain and Italy
In the fourth week of March, weekly average prices in most major European electricity markets fell compared to the previous week and mostly stayed below €90/MWh. The Iberian market registered the lowest values, with daily prices below €10/MWh and a minimum in Spain not seen since 2013. Photovoltaic energy production set records for a March day in Spain and Italy, while wind energy production and demand increased, TTF gas futures declined and Brent futures reached their highest level since July 2022.
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March 30, 2026
Interview of El Periódico de la Energía with Antonio Delgado Rigal, PhD in Artificial Intelligence and CEO of AleaSoft Energy Forecasting
Interview by Ramón Roca, director of El Periódico de la Energía, with Antonio Delgado Rigal, PhD in Artificial Intelligence, founder and CEO of AleaSoft Energy Forecasting.
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March 26, 2026
Artificial Intelligence redefines the electricity system: impact on investment, demand and storage
Artificial Intelligence is ceasing to be merely an operational tool and is becoming a structural factor within the electricity system. Its impact is not limited to improving forecasting or grid management; it is also reshaping demand patterns, the integration of renewable energy and, consequently, investment and financing decisions in the energy sector.
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March 23, 2026
Renewable energy, demand and CO2 contain price increases in European electricity markets in a context of rising gas prices
During the third week of March, prices in most major European electricity markets registered an upward trend at the beginning of the week, although the weekly average fell compared to the previous week in most markets due to price declines at the end of the week. Photovoltaic energy production increased and wind energy production grew in the Iberian Peninsula and Italy, while electricity demand declined. Brent futures reached their highest level since July 2022 and TTF gas futures since January 2023, while CO2 futures registered their lowest price since April 2025.
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March 20, 2026
Interview of pv magazine with Antonio Delgado Rigal, PhD in Artificial Intelligence and CEO of AleaSoft Energy Forecasting
Interview by Sergio Matalucci of pv magazine, with Antonio Delgado Rigal, PhD in Artificial Intelligence, founder and CEO of AleaSoft Energy Forecasting.
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March 16, 2026
Gas prices increase and renewable energy production accentuates the disparity in European electricity markets in the second week of March
During the second week of March, prices in the main European electricity markets showed uneven performance, with increases in southern Europe and declines elsewhere. Most markets registered averages above €80/MWh, in a week marked by the highest settlement price of TTF gas futures since February 2025, the highest Brent price since August 2022 and the lowest CO2 price since May, as well as by higher demand and higher renewable energy production, with increases in wind energy production in some markets and records for solar photovoltaic energy production for a March day in the Iberian Peninsula.
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March 16, 2026
From rainfall to the power market, how Spains hydrological cycle strongly affects the electricity prices
Heavy winter rainfall in Spain has significantly increased hydro reservoir levels in early 2026, placing them about 50% above the 10-year average. Because hydro reservoirs act as large-scale energy storage, abundant water allows hydro generation to cover more electricity demand, reducing reliance on fossil fuels. As a result, hydrological conditions strongly influence electricity price formation and its dynamic, affecting dispatch decisions and storage strategies.
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March 9, 2026
European energy market prices increased in the first week after the attack on Iran
In the first week of March, prices in most major European electricity markets increased compared to the previous week and most markets reached weekly averages above €80/MWh. Italy and the United Kingdom registered the highest daily price since February 2025. Higher gas prices, as a consequence of the conflict in Iran, supported these increases. TTF gas futures registered the highest settlement price since February 2025, while Brent futures reached their highest level since September 2023.
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March 6, 2026
Hybrid models: how to incorporate the real equilibrium of the electricity market into fundamental models
In electricity markets, many fundamental models fail not because of the physical operation of the system, but because they do not reproduce the real equilibrium that ultimately determines the price. A hybrid approach that combines a fundamental structure with statistical models, Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning makes it possible to capture temporal dynamics, non-linearities and regime changes, improving the price signal and its distribution for investment and hedging decisions.
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March 4, 2026
From the day ahead market to the intraday market: what the comparison between PDVP and PHFC reveals in a solar thermal power plant
The evolution of electricity markets is reflected not only in hourly prices but also in the internal dynamics of the scheduling of generation units. In an environment characterised by greater volatility, increasing renewable energy penetration and continuous adjustments between markets, the difference between the Provisional Viable Daily Program (PDVP for its acronym in Spanish) and the Final Continuous Hourly Program (PHFC for its acronym in Spanish) becomes a relevant indicator of strategic behaviour. The analysis of data for the period 2023 to 2025 for a solar thermal power plant makes it possible to observe how the initial scheduling from the day-ahead market evolves after intraday trading, revealing adjustment patterns that provide valuable information about operational flexibility and economic optimisation.
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March 3, 2026
Gas and CO2 down and record renewable energy production drove price falls in European electricity markets in February
In February, monthly prices declined in most major European electricity markets, with the exception of the Nordic market. Several markets registered their lowest monthly average in recent months, notably the Portuguese market, which reached the lowest price in its history within the Iberian MIBEL market. The fall in gas and CO2 prices, the latter registering their lowest monthly average since September, together with lower demand compared to January in most markets, supported this trend. In some cases, increased renewable energy production also contributed to the price drops. France, Italy and Portugal registered their highest-ever wind energy production for a month of February, as did Italy for photovoltaic energy production. Brent futures reached their highest monthly average since August.
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March 2, 2026
Most European electricity market prices fall at the end of February while the Iran conflict shapes March prospects
In the last week of February, prices in most major European electricity markets fell compared to the previous week and remained mostly below €75/MWh. Photovoltaic energy production set records for a February day in the main European markets, while wind energy production declined and electricity demand decreased. On Friday, the 27th, Brent futures reached their highest settlement price since June 2025. Looking ahead to the first week of March, gas evolution, amid the escalation of the conflict in Iran, will play a key role in price evolution.
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| SOCIAL MEDIA |
March 23, 2026
Our solutions for industry, large consumers and data centers include:
March 20, 2026
AleaGreen produces coherent, high-quality bankable long-term forecasts for...
March 12, 2026
Due to the current geopolitical tensions, in Europe...
March 6, 2026
SRAD + self-consumption + behind-the-meter batteries: a new...
| WEBINARS |
- Evolution and prospects of European energy markets
- Energy storage: regulation, current situation and prospects
- Raúl García Posada, Partner, Director at ASEALEN
- Oriol Saltó i Bauzà, Associate Partner at AleaGreen
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- Evolution of the European energy markets. Spring 2026
- Key milestones for 2026 in the energy sector
- Regulation and prospects for energy storage and capacity markets
- Financing of renewable energy and storage projects
- The importance of PPA and self-consumption
- Portfolio valuation: main considerations to take into account
- Marta Sánchez Álvarez, Partner, Energy Sector Leader at EY
- Antonio Hernández García, Partner of Regulated Sectors at EY
- Oriol Saltó i Bauzà, Associate Partner at AleaGreen
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| WORKSHOPS |
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These are the latest workshops held:
- Short term forecasting for agents that operate in the spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
- Mid-term forecasting with the stochasticity distributions for agents operating in the spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
- Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) for the compilation, visualisation and analysis of data related to the energy markets. Request recording >>
| HYBRID SYSTEMS OF RENEWABLE ENERGY AND BATTERIES |
Consult service of studies, analysis and reports for hybrid systems >>
| MARKETS FORECASTING REPORTS |
At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, long term forecasting reports are carried out for all European energy markets. In addition, new complementary services associated with these long term reports are offered.
Mid term European electricity markets prices forecasting reports are also available, which provide a vision of the prospects for the coming months and years, taking into account the most up to date scenarios for the evolution of the economy.
Consult AleaSoft Energy Forecasting’s mid term price forecasting service >>
| REPORTS FOR THE ENERGY SECTOR |
At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, studies and reports on the European energy markets are carried out to satisfy the needs of the companies in the sector or other indirectly related companies. Some examples of these reports are:
- Long-term analysis of the electricity sector in the European markets
- Optimisation strategies for hybrid systems of renewable energy and energy storage
- Impact of the 7% tax on the market prices
- Financing and PPA
- Renewable energy auctions
- CO2 prices
- Analysis of the emission factor transferred to the market at the long term
- Price captured by photovoltaic, solar thermal, wind and hydroelectric energy
- Valuation of the wind and solar resource of a facility
- Influence of anticipated nuclear power plants shutdowns in the electricity sector
- International interconnections
- Analysis of price cannibalisation and hourly price profiles in the future
- Future of the green hydrogen in the energy sector
- Self-consumption
- Analysis of future scenarios in the sector and simulations
- Repercussions of the NECP in the electricity market
- Monographs on the main European electricity markets
- Cogeneration
- Biomass
- National, regional electricity consumption or client portfolio
- Generation optimisation
- Fuels: consumption, prices and futures
Consult service of reports for the energy sector >>
| ALEA ENERGY DATABASE (ALEAAPP) |
At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, the Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) was developed, an online platform which compiles the data from the energy markets and the macroeconomic data from the main European markets, helping and facilitating the digitalisation of the companies. In this tool it is possible to visualise and analyse the data through comparative graphs of variables, calculation of the moving average, changes in the temporality of the series, among others.
Consult access service to the Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) >>
| ENERGY MARKETS OBSERVATORIES |
The energy markets observatories are available on the AleaSoft Energy Forecasting website, which allow analysing the evolution of the main European electricity markets in recent weeks. This tool includes hourly, daily and weekly graphs in which the information is updated daily.