Notizie sui mercati elettrici europei
Settimana 45/2025
(03/11/2025 –09/11/2025)

NEWS

November 5, 2025

The 2010 forecast reaches the end of its horizon with extraordinary accuracy

In October 2025, the long-term price forecast prepared by AleaSoft Energy Forecasting in November 2010 for the Iberian electricity market reached the end of its horizon. Fifteen years later, the result confirms the reliability of the company’s methodology and its ability to anticipate the evolution of energy markets over extended timeframes. The real average market price in October 2025 was €75.75/MWh, while the price forecast in 2010 was €76.63/MWh, representing a difference of 1.2% or €0.88/MWh. The real value also fell within the range forecast by AleaSoft, between €64.00/MWh and €86.07/MWh.

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November 4, 2025

European electricity market prices rise in October while photovoltaic and wind energy set records

Prices rose in October in most major European electricity markets, exceeding €75/MWh and remaining above September levels. In the Iberian market, the monthly price reached its highest level since March. The increase in electricity demand and the rise in CO2 prices, which registered their highest monthly average since December 2023, drove this upward trend. In contrast, gas and Brent oil futures fell to their lowest monthly averages since May 2024 and March 2021, respectively. Meanwhile, photovoltaic and wind energy reached production records for an October month in most markets.

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November 3, 2025

The drop in renewable energy generation drove the rise in European electricity market prices in the last week of October

In the last week of October, prices in the main European electricity markets recovered after the declines of the previous week, with most of them averaging above €60/MWh. The decrease in wind and solar energy production contributed to this recovery, despite lower electricity demand in almost all markets and falling gas prices, with gas futures reaching their lowest level since mid-August on October 30.

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SOCIAL MEDIA

October 31, 2025

AleaStorage provides forecasting reports for Energy Storage, which allow...

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WEBINARS
On November 13 at 10:00 CET, AleaSoft Energy Forecasting will organise the webinar "Prospects for energy markets in Europe. Batteries, hybridisation and energy storage" where the following topics will be addressed:
  • Evolution and prospects of European energy markets for the winter 2025-2026
  • Prospects for batteries, hybridisation and energy storage
  • Battery and hybridisation projects at AleaSoft
The speakers will be:
  • Oriol Saltó i Bauzà, Associate Partner at AleaGreen
  • Luis Marquina de Soto, President of AEPIBAL

Request inivitation >>


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WORKSHOPS
At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting we are experts in statistical models and forecasts related to the European energy markets, renewable energy, projects financing and PPA, and we hold workshops on topics of interest, with demonstrations and applications of techniques and tools for the professionals of the energy sector.
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These are the latest workshops held:
  • Short term forecasting for agents that operate in the spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
  • Mid-term forecasting with the stochasticity distributions for agents operating in the spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
  • Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) for the compilation, visualisation and analysis of data related to the energy markets. Request recording >>

HYBRID SYSTEMS OF RENEWABLE ENERGY AND BATTERIES
At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, studies, analyses and reports are carried out for hybrid systems, mainly of solar photovoltaic energy with batteries, but also of solar photovoltaic energy with wind energy, and of the three, solar photovoltaic energy, wind energy and batteries. The objective of these studies, analyses and reports is defining strategies for optimising the operation of hybrid systems to maximise their income. In addition, the estimation of future income is made taking into account the defined strategy and long term hourly market price forecasts.
 
Consult service of studies, analysis and reports for hybrid systems >>

MARKETS FORECASTING REPORTS

At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, long term forecasting reports are carried out for all European energy markets. In addition, new complementary services associated with these long term reports are offered.




Mid term European electricity markets prices forecasting reports are also available, which provide a vision of the prospects for the coming months and years, taking into account the most up to date scenarios for the evolution of the economy.
 
Consult AleaSoft Energy Forecasting’s mid term price forecasting service >>


REPORTS FOR THE ENERGY SECTOR

At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, studies and reports on the European energy markets are carried out to satisfy the needs of the companies in the sector or other indirectly related companies. Some examples of these reports are:

  • Long-term analysis of the electricity sector in the European markets
  • Optimisation strategies for hybrid systems of renewable energy and energy storage
  • Impact of the 7% tax on the market prices
  • Financing and PPA
  • Renewable energy auctions
  • CO2 prices
  • Analysis of the emission factor transferred to the market at the long term
  • Price captured by photovoltaic, solar thermal, wind and hydroelectric energy
  • Valuation of the wind and solar resource of a facility
  • Influence of anticipated nuclear power plants shutdowns in the electricity sector
  • International interconnections
  • Analysis of price cannibalisation and hourly price profiles in the future
  • Future of the green hydrogen in the energy sector
  • Self-consumption
  • Analysis of future scenarios in the sector and simulations
  • Repercussions of the NECP in the electricity market
  • Monographs on the main European electricity markets
  • Cogeneration
  • Biomass
  • National, regional electricity consumption or client portfolio
  • Generation optimisation
  • Fuels: consumption, prices and futures

Consult service of reports for the energy sector >>


ALEA ENERGY DATABASE (ALEAAPP)

At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, the Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) was developed, an online platform which compiles the data from the energy markets and the macroeconomic data from the main European markets, helping and facilitating the digitalisation of the companies. In this tool it is possible to visualise and analyse the data through comparative graphs of variables, calculation of the moving average, changes in the temporality of the series, among others.

Consult access service to the Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) >>


ENERGY MARKETS OBSERVATORIES

The energy markets observatories are available on the AleaSoft Energy Forecasting website, which allow analysing the evolution of the main European electricity markets in recent weeks. This tool includes hourly, daily and weekly graphs in which the information is updated daily.

Consult the observatories >>


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