News on European electricity markets
September/2025
| NEWS |
October 1, 2025
Photovoltaic energy records in the third quarter of 2025 and rising prices in European electricity markets
Prices in most major European electricity markets rose in the third quarter of 2025 and exceeded €65/MWh. Higher demand and lower wind energy production compared to the second quarter of the year in most markets, as well as the increase in CO2 prices, favoured this trend. In the Spanish, French and Portuguese markets, quarterly photovoltaic energy production reached all-time highs. The average price of TTF gas futures during the quarter was the lowest since the third quarter of 2024.
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September 29, 2025
The arrival of autumn, with higher demand and lower renewable energy production, brings higher prices in European electricity markets
In the fourth week of September, weekly prices rose in most major European electricity markets, with almost all surpassing €60/MWh. The arrival of autumn brought cooler temperatures that drove up demand in many markets, in addition to a decline in photovoltaic energy production. Wind energy generation also fell in several markets. In contrast, wind energy production increased in the Iberian Peninsula, and demand declined in Spain, Portugal and Italy, which led to price decreases in these markets.
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September 25, 2025
Interview of Revista Energética with Antonio Delgado Rigal, PhD in Artificial Intelligence and CEO of AleaSoft Energy Forecasting
Interview by Víctor Delgado, from Revista Energética, with Antonio Delgado Rigal, PhD in Artificial Intelligence, founder and CEO of AleaSoft Energy Forecasting.
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September 25, 2025
The electricity system in evolution: overview of the energy paradigm shift
The electricity system is undergoing an unprecedented transformation. This change is reflected at all levels: in generation, marked by decarbonisation and the energy transition, in demand, driven by electrification and self-consumption, and in the electricity grids, with the massive integration of renewable energy. This publication is the first in a series dedicated to analysing the historical changes that the electricity system has undergone, as well as assessing its future prospects.
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September 22, 2025
Prices fall below €60/MWh in most European electricity markets in the third week of September
In the third week of September, most major European electricity markets registered declines in their weekly prices, which in many cases fell below €60/MWh, favored by increased solar energy production, the recovery of wind energy production in Germany and Italy, and a slight decline in gas prices. However, Spain, Portugal and France broke the trend with increases, while Italy remained above €100/MWh for most of the week. During this period, Spain, Portugal and France set new historical records for solar photovoltaic energy production for a day in September. Germany and Portugal also stood out for increases in wind energy generation. On September 18, CO2 futures reached their highest settlement price since mid-February, €77.82/t.
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September 19, 2025
Energy trading: the art of anticipating the market and surviving its volatility
Energy trading is now essential for managing risks, optimising assets and providing stability in a volatile market. It is no longer the exclusive domain of banks or large corporations, it also involves retailers, renewable energy producers, industrial consumers or battery operators. Its effectiveness depends on having reliable forecasts to anticipate prices, demand, renewable energy generation or weather conditions. Trading is the tool that turns market uncertainty into opportunities and resilience.
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September 15, 2025
Demand and rising gas and CO2 prices drive European electricity market prices in the second week of September
In the second week of September, prices in most major European electricity markets increased, although the weekly average remained below €75/MWh. Several exceeded €100/MWh on some days, with Germany leading as it registered its highest daily price since February, €142.45/MWh, on September 9. That market also exceeded €400/MWh in one hour on September 8. The increase in demand and in gas and CO2 prices drove the markets, with CO2 futures registering their highest settlement price since February. Spain and Portugal registered all-time highs in photovoltaic energy production for a day in September.
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September 8, 2025
European electricity markets start September with price declines and photovoltaic energy generation records
In the first week of September, weekly prices in the main European electricity markets fell compared to the previous week, with most markets below €75/MWh. On some days, most markets registered daily prices below €30/MWh, although prices in Italy and Germany exceeded €100/MWh. Wind and photovoltaic energy production increased in most markets, as did electricity demand. Photovoltaic energy reached the highest production for a day in September in the main European markets. On September 5, CO2 futures reached their highest settlement price since mid-February.
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September 2, 2025
August brings lower prices in European electricity markets thanks to lower demand and gas at annual lows
In August, prices in the main European electricity markets fell compared to July, with most monthly averages dropping below €75/MWh. The fall in electricity demand, together with TTF gas prices reaching their lowest monthly level since August 2024, contributed to these declines. Solar photovoltaic energy production, although generally lower than in July, was the second highest in their history in Germany and Portugal, while wind energy production also decreased compared to July.
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September 1, 2025
Last week of August with contrasts in the evolution of European electricity markets, but with prices below €85/MWh
In the fourth week of August, weekly prices in most major European electricity markets were below €85/MWh. During the week, the markets showed mixed performance. The British and French markets registered daily prices below €20/MWh, while in Germany and Italy they exceeded €100/MWh. Demand grew, photovoltaic energy production fell and wind energy production increased, in a context where TTF gas showed a downward trend, although on average it increased compared to the previous week, CO2 remained stable and Brent settled slightly higher.
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| SOCIAL MEDIA |
October 1, 2025
With the entry into operation of quarter-hourly products in European...
September 10, 2025
We provide information, forecasting and consulting services for the...
September 5, 2025
AleaWhite provides Alea Energy DataBase, an online platform for the...
| WEBINARS |
- Evolution and prospects of European energy markets for the winter 2025–2026
- Financing of renewable energy and storage projects
- Prospects for battery storage and hybrid systems
- The role of forecasting in audits and portfolio valuation
- Oriol Saltó i Bauzà, Associate Partner at AleaGreen
- Carlos Milans del Bosch, Partner, Corporate Finance Energy at Deloitte
- Álvaro Antón Azcoiti, Director, Corporate Finance Energy at Deloitte
- Ricardo Benito Pascual, Director, Corporate Finance Energy at Deloitte
Request inivitation >>
| WORKSHOPS |
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These are the latest workshops held:
- Short term forecasting for agents that operate in the spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
- Mid-term forecasting with the stochasticity distributions for agents operating in the spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
- Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) for the compilation, visualisation and analysis of data related to the energy markets. Request recording >>
| HYBRID SYSTEMS OF RENEWABLE ENERGY AND BATTERIES |
Consult service of studies, analysis and reports for hybrid systems >>
| MARKETS FORECASTING REPORTS |
At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, long term forecasting reports are carried out for all European energy markets. In addition, new complementary services associated with these long term reports are offered.
Mid term European electricity markets prices forecasting reports are also available, which provide a vision of the prospects for the coming months and years, taking into account the most up to date scenarios for the evolution of the economy.
Consult AleaSoft Energy Forecasting’s mid term price forecasting service >>
| REPORTS FOR THE ENERGY SECTOR |
At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, studies and reports on the European energy markets are carried out to satisfy the needs of the companies in the sector or other indirectly related companies. Some examples of these reports are:
- Long-term analysis of the electricity sector in the European markets
- Optimisation strategies for hybrid systems of renewable energy and energy storage
- Impact of the 7% tax on the market prices
- Financing and PPA
- Renewable energy auctions
- CO2 prices
- Analysis of the emission factor transferred to the market at the long term
- Price captured by photovoltaic, solar thermal, wind and hydroelectric energy
- Valuation of the wind and solar resource of a facility
- Influence of anticipated nuclear power plants shutdowns in the electricity sector
- International interconnections
- Analysis of price cannibalisation and hourly price profiles in the future
- Future of the green hydrogen in the energy sector
- Self-consumption
- Analysis of future scenarios in the sector and simulations
- Repercussions of the NECP in the electricity market
- Monographs on the main European electricity markets
- Cogeneration
- Biomass
- National, regional electricity consumption or client portfolio
- Generation optimisation
- Fuels: consumption, prices and futures
Consult service of reports for the energy sector >>
| ALEA ENERGY DATABASE (ALEAAPP) |
At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, the Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) was developed, an online platform which compiles the data from the energy markets and the macroeconomic data from the main European markets, helping and facilitating the digitalisation of the companies. In this tool it is possible to visualise and analyse the data through comparative graphs of variables, calculation of the moving average, changes in the temporality of the series, among others.
Consult access service to the Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) >>
| ENERGY MARKETS OBSERVATORIES |
The energy markets observatories are available on the AleaSoft Energy Forecasting website, which allow analysing the evolution of the main European electricity markets in recent weeks. This tool includes hourly, daily and weekly graphs in which the information is updated daily.