News on European electricity markets
Week 10/2025
(02/03/2026 –08/03/2026)
| NEWS |
March 4, 2026
From the day ahead market to the intraday market: what the comparison between PDVP and PHFC reveals in a solar thermal power plant
The evolution of electricity markets is reflected not only in hourly prices but also in the internal dynamics of the scheduling of generation units. In an environment characterised by greater volatility, increasing renewable energy penetration and continuous adjustments between markets, the difference between the Provisional Viable Daily Program (PDVP for its acronym in Spanish) and the Final Continuous Hourly Program (PHFC for its acronym in Spanish) becomes a relevant indicator of strategic behaviour. The analysis of data for the period 2023 to 2025 for a solar thermal power plant makes it possible to observe how the initial scheduling from the day-ahead market evolves after intraday trading, revealing adjustment patterns that provide valuable information about operational flexibility and economic optimisation.
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March 3, 2026
Gas and CO2 down and record renewable energy production drove price falls in European electricity markets in February
The growing penetration of renewable energies is transforming the temporal structure of electricity markets, increasing hourly variability and modifying system operating patterns. In this new environment, energy storage technologies, and pumped storage plants in particular, play an essential role by allowing energy to be shifted from periods of lower prices to hours of higher economic value. The analysis of matched trades in the day-ahead market shows how these facilities not only provide operational stability but also capture economic value by efficiently managing temporal price differences.
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March 2, 2026
Most European electricity market prices fall at the end of February while the Iran conflict shapes March prospects
In the last week of February, prices in most major European electricity markets fell compared to the previous week and remained mostly below €75/MWh. Photovoltaic energy production set records for a February day in the main European markets, while wind energy production declined and electricity demand decreased. On Friday, the 27th, Brent futures reached their highest settlement price since June 2025. Looking ahead to the first week of March, gas evolution, amid the escalation of the conflict in Iran, will play a key role in price evolution.
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February 27, 2026
The decline in gas-fired electricity generation in Spain at the start of 2026
The beginning of 2026 has brought a decline in production from gas-fired power plants compared to the same period last year, particularly during February. This article analyses the causes and immediate consequences of this evolution, as well as the signals it sends regarding the direction to be taken for long-term decision-making.
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| SOCIAL MEDIA |
February 27, 2026
Heavy rainfall in Spain boosts reservoir levels.
February 27, 2026
AleaGreen produces long-term...
| WEBINARS |
- Evolution of the European energy markets. Spring 2026
- Key milestones for 2026 in the energy sector
- Regulation and prospects for energy storage and capacity markets
- Financing of renewable energy and storage projects
- The importance of PPA and self-consumption
- Portfolio valuation: main considerations to take into account
- Marta Sánchez Álvarez, Partner, Energy Sector Leader at EY
- Antonio Hernández García, Partner of Regulated Sectors at EY
- Oriol Saltó i Bauzà, Associate Partner at AleaGreen
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- Evolution and prospects of European energy markets
- Insights from recent BESS transactions in Spain
- Key valuation drivers for standalone BESS projects in Spain
- Oriol Saltó i Bauzà, Associate Partner at AleaGreen
- Tomás García, Senior Director, Energy & Infrastructure Advisory at JLL
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| WORKSHOPS |
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These are the latest workshops held:
- Short term forecasting for agents that operate in the spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
- Mid-term forecasting with the stochasticity distributions for agents operating in the spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
- Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) for the compilation, visualisation and analysis of data related to the energy markets. Request recording >>
| HYBRID SYSTEMS OF RENEWABLE ENERGY AND BATTERIES |
Consult service of studies, analysis and reports for hybrid systems >>
| MARKETS FORECASTING REPORTS |
At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, long term forecasting reports are carried out for all European energy markets. In addition, new complementary services associated with these long term reports are offered.
Mid term European electricity markets prices forecasting reports are also available, which provide a vision of the prospects for the coming months and years, taking into account the most up to date scenarios for the evolution of the economy.
Consult AleaSoft Energy Forecasting’s mid term price forecasting service >>
| REPORTS FOR THE ENERGY SECTOR |
At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, studies and reports on the European energy markets are carried out to satisfy the needs of the companies in the sector or other indirectly related companies. Some examples of these reports are:
- Long-term analysis of the electricity sector in the European markets
- Optimisation strategies for hybrid systems of renewable energy and energy storage
- Impact of the 7% tax on the market prices
- Financing and PPA
- Renewable energy auctions
- CO2 prices
- Analysis of the emission factor transferred to the market at the long term
- Price captured by photovoltaic, solar thermal, wind and hydroelectric energy
- Valuation of the wind and solar resource of a facility
- Influence of anticipated nuclear power plants shutdowns in the electricity sector
- International interconnections
- Analysis of price cannibalisation and hourly price profiles in the future
- Future of the green hydrogen in the energy sector
- Self-consumption
- Analysis of future scenarios in the sector and simulations
- Repercussions of the NECP in the electricity market
- Monographs on the main European electricity markets
- Cogeneration
- Biomass
- National, regional electricity consumption or client portfolio
- Generation optimisation
- Fuels: consumption, prices and futures
Consult service of reports for the energy sector >>
| ALEA ENERGY DATABASE (ALEAAPP) |
At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, the Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) was developed, an online platform which compiles the data from the energy markets and the macroeconomic data from the main European markets, helping and facilitating the digitalisation of the companies. In this tool it is possible to visualise and analyse the data through comparative graphs of variables, calculation of the moving average, changes in the temporality of the series, among others.
Consult access service to the Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) >>
| ENERGY MARKETS OBSERVATORIES |
The energy markets observatories are available on the AleaSoft Energy Forecasting website, which allow analysing the evolution of the main European electricity markets in recent weeks. This tool includes hourly, daily and weekly graphs in which the information is updated daily.