News on European electricity markets
Week 11/2025
(09/03/2026 –15/03/2026)
| NEWS |
March 9, 2026
European energy market prices increased in the first week after the attack on Iran
In the first week of March, prices in most major European electricity markets increased compared to the previous week and most markets reached weekly averages above €80/MWh. Italy and the United Kingdom registered the highest daily price since February 2025. Higher gas prices, as a consequence of the conflict in Iran, supported these increases. TTF gas futures registered the highest settlement price since February 2025, while Brent futures reached their highest level since September 2023.
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March 6, 2026
Hybrid models: how to incorporate the real equilibrium of the electricity market into fundamental models
In electricity markets, many fundamental models fail not because of the physical operation of the system, but because they do not reproduce the real equilibrium that ultimately determines the price. A hybrid approach that combines a fundamental structure with statistical models, Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning makes it possible to capture temporal dynamics, non-linearities and regime changes, improving the price signal and its distribution for investment and hedging decisions.
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March 4, 2026
From the day ahead market to the intraday market: what the comparison between PDVP and PHFC reveals in a solar thermal power plant
The evolution of electricity markets is reflected not only in hourly prices but also in the internal dynamics of the scheduling of generation units. In an environment characterised by greater volatility, increasing renewable energy penetration and continuous adjustments between markets, the difference between the Provisional Viable Daily Program (PDVP for its acronym in Spanish) and the Final Continuous Hourly Program (PHFC for its acronym in Spanish) becomes a relevant indicator of strategic behaviour. The analysis of data for the period 2023 to 2025 for a solar thermal power plant makes it possible to observe how the initial scheduling from the day-ahead market evolves after intraday trading, revealing adjustment patterns that provide valuable information about operational flexibility and economic optimisation.
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March 3, 2026
Gas and CO2 down and record renewable energy production drove price falls in European electricity markets in February
In February, monthly prices declined in most major European electricity markets, with the exception of the Nordic market. Several markets registered their lowest monthly average in recent months, notably the Portuguese market, which reached the lowest price in its history within the Iberian MIBEL market. The fall in gas and CO2 prices, the latter registering their lowest monthly average since September, together with lower demand compared to January in most markets, supported this trend. In some cases, increased renewable energy production also contributed to the price drops. France, Italy and Portugal registered their highest-ever wind energy production for a month of February, as did Italy for photovoltaic energy production. Brent futures reached their highest monthly average since August.
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| SOCIAL MEDIA |
March 12, 2026
Due to the current geopolitical tensions, in Europe...
March 6, 2026
SRAD + self-consumption + behind-the-meter batteries: a new...
| WEBINARS |
- Evolution and prospects of European energy markets
- Energy storage: regulation, current situation and prospects
- Raúl García Posada, Partner, Director at ASEALEN
- Oriol Saltó i Bauzà, Associate Partner at AleaGreen
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- Evolution of the European energy markets. Spring 2026
- Key milestones for 2026 in the energy sector
- Regulation and prospects for energy storage and capacity markets
- Financing of renewable energy and storage projects
- The importance of PPA and self-consumption
- Portfolio valuation: main considerations to take into account
- Marta Sánchez Álvarez, Partner, Energy Sector Leader at EY
- Antonio Hernández García, Partner of Regulated Sectors at EY
- Oriol Saltó i Bauzà, Associate Partner at AleaGreen
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| WORKSHOPS |
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These are the latest workshops held:
- Short term forecasting for agents that operate in the spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
- Mid-term forecasting with the stochasticity distributions for agents operating in the spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
- Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) for the compilation, visualisation and analysis of data related to the energy markets. Request recording >>
| HYBRID SYSTEMS OF RENEWABLE ENERGY AND BATTERIES |
Consult service of studies, analysis and reports for hybrid systems >>
| MARKETS FORECASTING REPORTS |
At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, long term forecasting reports are carried out for all European energy markets. In addition, new complementary services associated with these long term reports are offered.
Mid term European electricity markets prices forecasting reports are also available, which provide a vision of the prospects for the coming months and years, taking into account the most up to date scenarios for the evolution of the economy.
Consult AleaSoft Energy Forecasting’s mid term price forecasting service >>
| REPORTS FOR THE ENERGY SECTOR |
At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, studies and reports on the European energy markets are carried out to satisfy the needs of the companies in the sector or other indirectly related companies. Some examples of these reports are:
- Long-term analysis of the electricity sector in the European markets
- Optimisation strategies for hybrid systems of renewable energy and energy storage
- Impact of the 7% tax on the market prices
- Financing and PPA
- Renewable energy auctions
- CO2 prices
- Analysis of the emission factor transferred to the market at the long term
- Price captured by photovoltaic, solar thermal, wind and hydroelectric energy
- Valuation of the wind and solar resource of a facility
- Influence of anticipated nuclear power plants shutdowns in the electricity sector
- International interconnections
- Analysis of price cannibalisation and hourly price profiles in the future
- Future of the green hydrogen in the energy sector
- Self-consumption
- Analysis of future scenarios in the sector and simulations
- Repercussions of the NECP in the electricity market
- Monographs on the main European electricity markets
- Cogeneration
- Biomass
- National, regional electricity consumption or client portfolio
- Generation optimisation
- Fuels: consumption, prices and futures
Consult service of reports for the energy sector >>
| ALEA ENERGY DATABASE (ALEAAPP) |
At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, the Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) was developed, an online platform which compiles the data from the energy markets and the macroeconomic data from the main European markets, helping and facilitating the digitalisation of the companies. In this tool it is possible to visualise and analyse the data through comparative graphs of variables, calculation of the moving average, changes in the temporality of the series, among others.
Consult access service to the Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) >>
| ENERGY MARKETS OBSERVATORIES |
The energy markets observatories are available on the AleaSoft Energy Forecasting website, which allow analysing the evolution of the main European electricity markets in recent weeks. This tool includes hourly, daily and weekly graphs in which the information is updated daily.