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News on European electricity markets
Week 45/2023
(06/11/2023 – 12/11/2023)


October 24, 2023

Interview of Revista Energética with Antonio Delgado Rigal, PhD in Artificial Intelligence and CEO of AleaSoft Energy Forecasting

What is the role of technology and data analysis in the development of AleaSoft’s energy price forecasts?
Technology and data analysis are the pillars of the Alea methodology. Our methodology combines recurrent neural networks, which belong to the field of Artificial Intelligence, with the Box-Jenkins methodology and classical statistical techniques. Artificial Intelligence is currently in vogue, but at AleaSoft we have been using it since our inception 24 years ago.

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October 23, 2023

Record wind energy production in Portugal and Spain in the third week of October

In the third week of October, European electricity market prices remained generally stable, with an upward trend in most cases compared to the previous week. However, in the MIBEL market prices fell due to high wind energy production, which reached an all time record in Portugal and the highest value so far in 2023 in Spain. Gas prices averaged higher than the previous week, electricity demand rose and solar energy production fell.

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October 20, 2023

Pricing structures in PPA: impact on leverage and the IRR

Most lenders require long-term contracts, PPA, to finance renewable energy projects. The pricing structure of the PPA, whether fixed or with a guaranteed minimum, affects the amount of debt and the IRR. Market volatility influences the negotiation of PPA prices, so it is necessary to have reliable and stable price curves forecasts that provide a clear view of prices over the life of the contract.

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October 26, 2023

If you are interested in the valuation of renewable assets for PPA, such as photovoltaic, solar thermal or wind energy plants, we can help you...

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October 26, 2023

For producers of renewable energy, such as solar or wind energy...

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On November 16, AleaSoft Energy Forecasting we organised the webinar "Prospects for energy markets in Europe. Vision of the Future: Batteries and Storage", where the following topics were addressed:
  • Evolution and prospects of European energy markets for the winter 2023-2024
  • Vision of the future: Batteries and energy storage
The speakers will be:
  • Oriol Saltó i Bauzà, Associate Partner at AleaGreen
  • Luis Marquina de Soto, is Director of Institutional Relations

Request invitation to the webinar >>

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At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting we are experts in statistical models and forecasts related to the European energy markets, renewable energy, projects financing and PPA, and we hold workshops on topics of interest, with demonstrations and applications of techniques and tools for the professionals of the energy sector.
These are the latest workshops held:
  • Short term forecasting for agents that operate in the spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
  • Mid-term forecasting with the stochasticity distributions for agents operating in the spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
  • Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) for the compilation, visualisation and analysis of data related to the energy markets. Request recording >>

At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, studies, analyses and reports are carried out for hybrid systems, mainly of solar photovoltaic energy with batteries, but also of solar photovoltaic energy with wind energy, and of the three, solar photovoltaic energy, wind energy and batteries. The objective of these studies, analyses and reports is defining strategies for optimising the operation of hybrid systems to maximise their income. In addition, the estimation of future income is made taking into account the defined strategy and long term hourly market price forecasts.
Consult service of studies, analysis and reports for hybrid systems >>


At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, long term forecasting reports are carried out for all European energy markets. In addition, new complementary services associated with these long term reports are offered.

Mid term European electricity markets prices forecasting reports are also available, which provide a vision of the prospects for the coming months and years, taking into account the most up to date scenarios for the evolution of the economy.
Consult AleaSoft Energy Forecasting’s mid term price forecasting service >>


At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, studies and reports on the European energy markets are carried out to satisfy the needs of the companies in the sector or other indirectly related companies. Some examples of these reports are:

  • Long-term analysis of the electricity sector in the European markets
  • Optimisation strategies for hybrid systems of renewable energy and energy storage
  • Impact of the 7% tax on the market prices
  • Financing and PPA
  • Renewable energy auctions
  • CO2 prices
  • Analysis of the emission factor transferred to the market at the long term
  • Price captured by photovoltaic, solar thermal, wind and hydroelectric energy
  • Valuation of the wind and solar resource of a facility
  • Influence of anticipated nuclear power plants shutdowns in the electricity sector
  • International interconnections
  • Analysis of price cannibalisation and hourly price profiles in the future
  • Future of the green hydrogen in the energy sector
  • Self-consumption
  • Analysis of future scenarios in the sector and simulations
  • Repercussions of the NECP in the electricity market
  • Monographs on the main European electricity markets
  • Cogeneration
  • Biomass
  • National, regional electricity consumption or client portfolio
  • Generation optimisation
  • Fuels: consumption, prices and futures

Consult service of reports for the energy sector >>


At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, the Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) was developed, an online platform which compiles the data from the energy markets and the macroeconomic data from the main European markets, helping and facilitating the digitalisation of the companies. In this tool it is possible to visualise and analyse the data through comparative graphs of variables, calculation of the moving average, changes in the temporality of the series, among others.

Consult access service to the Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) >>


The energy markets observatories are available on the AleaSoft Energy Forecasting website, which allow analysing the evolution of the main European electricity markets in recent weeks. This tool includes hourly, daily and weekly graphs in which the information is updated daily.

Consult the observatories >>

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