News on European electricity markets
Week 7/2025
(09/02/2026 –15/02/2026)

NEWS

February 9, 2026

European electricity market prices fall at the start of February, despite remaining above €100/MWh, with the Iberian market decoupled

At the start of the first week of February, prices in most European electricity markets declined and, despite a slight recovery during the second half of the week in some cases, weekly averages fell compared to the previous week. Even so, prices remained above €100/MWh in most markets, with the exception of Portugal, Spain and France. The Iberian market decoupled again, with significantly lower prices throughout the week. Solar energy production increased in the main markets and wind energy production reached a record level for a February day in Italy, while electricity demand declined in most markets. CO2 futures registered their lowest level since October 2025.

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February 3, 2026

January combined prices above €100/MWh and record renewable energy production in European electricity markets

In January, prices rose in most major European electricity markets and stood above €100/MWh. In several markets, the monthly price was the highest since at least March 2025. By contrast, prices in the Iberian market fell and were around €71/MWh. Spain and Italy registered all-time monthly wind energy production records, while France and Portugal reached their highest wind energy production for a January month. Germany, Italy and France achieved their highest photovoltaic energy production for a January month. Electricity demand increased. TTF gas futures reached their highest average since July, Brent futures since October and CO2 futures at least since January 2024.

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WEBINARS
On March 12, at 10:00 CET, AleaSoft Energy Forecasting will organise the webinar "Prospects for energy markets in Europe. Spring 2026" where the following topics will be addressed:
  • Evolution of the European energy markets. Spring 2026
  • Key milestones for 2026 in the energy sector
  • Regulation and prospects for energy storage and capacity markets
  • Financing of renewable energy and storage projects
  • The importance of PPA and self-consumption
  • Portfolio valuation: main considerations to take into account
The speakers will be:
  • Marta Sánchez Álvarez, Partner, Energy Sector Leader at EY
  • Antonio Hernández García, Partner of Regulated Sectors at EY
  • Oriol Saltó i Bauzà, Associate Partner at AleaGreen

Request inivitation >>

On February 12 at 10:00 CET, AleaSoft Energy Forecasting organised the webinar "Prospects for energy markets in Europe. Market signals for battery storage" where the following topics will be addressed:
  • Evolution and prospects of European energy markets
  • Insights from recent BESS transactions in Spain
  • Key valuation drivers for standalone BESS projects in Spain
The speakers will be:
  • Oriol Saltó i Bauzà, Associate Partner at AleaGreen
  • Tomás García, Senior Director, Energy & Infrastructure Advisory at JLL

Request inivitation >>


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WORKSHOPS
At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting we are experts in statistical models and forecasts related to the European energy markets, renewable energy, projects financing and PPA, and we hold workshops on topics of interest, with demonstrations and applications of techniques and tools for the professionals of the energy sector.
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These are the latest workshops held:
  • Short term forecasting for agents that operate in the spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
  • Mid-term forecasting with the stochasticity distributions for agents operating in the spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
  • Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) for the compilation, visualisation and analysis of data related to the energy markets. Request recording >>

HYBRID SYSTEMS OF RENEWABLE ENERGY AND BATTERIES
At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, studies, analyses and reports are carried out for hybrid systems, mainly of solar photovoltaic energy with batteries, but also of solar photovoltaic energy with wind energy, and of the three, solar photovoltaic energy, wind energy and batteries. The objective of these studies, analyses and reports is defining strategies for optimising the operation of hybrid systems to maximise their income. In addition, the estimation of future income is made taking into account the defined strategy and long term hourly market price forecasts.
 
Consult service of studies, analysis and reports for hybrid systems >>

MARKETS FORECASTING REPORTS

At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, long term forecasting reports are carried out for all European energy markets. In addition, new complementary services associated with these long term reports are offered.




Mid term European electricity markets prices forecasting reports are also available, which provide a vision of the prospects for the coming months and years, taking into account the most up to date scenarios for the evolution of the economy.
 
Consult AleaSoft Energy Forecasting’s mid term price forecasting service >>


REPORTS FOR THE ENERGY SECTOR

At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, studies and reports on the European energy markets are carried out to satisfy the needs of the companies in the sector or other indirectly related companies. Some examples of these reports are:

  • Long-term analysis of the electricity sector in the European markets
  • Optimisation strategies for hybrid systems of renewable energy and energy storage
  • Impact of the 7% tax on the market prices
  • Financing and PPA
  • Renewable energy auctions
  • CO2 prices
  • Analysis of the emission factor transferred to the market at the long term
  • Price captured by photovoltaic, solar thermal, wind and hydroelectric energy
  • Valuation of the wind and solar resource of a facility
  • Influence of anticipated nuclear power plants shutdowns in the electricity sector
  • International interconnections
  • Analysis of price cannibalisation and hourly price profiles in the future
  • Future of the green hydrogen in the energy sector
  • Self-consumption
  • Analysis of future scenarios in the sector and simulations
  • Repercussions of the NECP in the electricity market
  • Monographs on the main European electricity markets
  • Cogeneration
  • Biomass
  • National, regional electricity consumption or client portfolio
  • Generation optimisation
  • Fuels: consumption, prices and futures

Consult service of reports for the energy sector >>


ALEA ENERGY DATABASE (ALEAAPP)

At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, the Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) was developed, an online platform which compiles the data from the energy markets and the macroeconomic data from the main European markets, helping and facilitating the digitalisation of the companies. In this tool it is possible to visualise and analyse the data through comparative graphs of variables, calculation of the moving average, changes in the temporality of the series, among others.

Consult access service to the Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) >>


ENERGY MARKETS OBSERVATORIES

The energy markets observatories are available on the AleaSoft Energy Forecasting website, which allow analysing the evolution of the main European electricity markets in recent weeks. This tool includes hourly, daily and weekly graphs in which the information is updated daily.

Consult the observatories >>


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