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News on European electricity markets
Week 3/2025
(12/01/2026 –18/01/2026)

NEWS

January 12, 2026

European market prices continue to rise in 2026 driven by demand and CO2, while Spain and Italy set renewable energy records

In the second week of January, prices increased in most major European electricity markets compared to the previous week, driven by demand growth, the rise in CO2 prices, whose futures reached their highest settlement price at least since December 2023, and lower renewable energy production in some markets. By contrast, the Iberian market registered the lowest prices for most of the week thanks to the increase in wind energy production, which reached a historic daily record, as well as solar energy production. Italy also registered historic records for wind and photovoltaic energy production for a January day.

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January 7, 2026

European electricity market prices rose in 2025, although they were the second lowest since 2021, in a year of photovoltaic records

In 2025, prices in the main European electricity markets rose until February, fell in spring and stabilised in the second half of the year, with an annual average price above €60/MWh in most markets. Prices increased compared to 2024 due to higher gas and CO2 prices, as well as rising demand and lower wind energy production in some markets. Even so, 2025 prices were the second lowest since 2021. Photovoltaic energy production reached record levels in the main European markets, as did wind energy production in France.

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January 5, 2026

Low temperatures and gas drive European electricity market prices at the start of 2026

In the first week of 2026, prices in the main European electricity markets rebounded after falling on January 1, driven by higher demand and gas prices, together with lower wind energy availability in some markets. At the same time, photovoltaic energy production set new all-time highs for a December day in France and Portugal, and the New Year’s holiday and falling temperatures affected demand in most markets.

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SOCIAL MEDIA

January 9, 2026

At AleaSoft we develop Energy Markets forecasts and analyses for:

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WEBINARS
On February 12, at 10:00 CET, AleaSoft Energy Forecasting will organise the webinar "Prospects for energy markets in Europe. Market signals for battery storage" where the following topics will be addressed:
  • Evolution and prospects of European energy markets
  • Insights from recent BESS transactions in Spain
  • Key valuation drivers for standalone BESS projects in Spain
The speakers will be:
  • Oriol Saltó i Bauzà, Associate Partner at AleaGreen
  • Tomás García, Senior Director, Energy & Infrastructure Advisory at JLL

Request inivitation >>
On January 15, at 10:00 CET, AleaSoft Energy Forecasting organised the webinar "Prospects for energy markets in Europe from 2026 onwards" where the following topics will be addressed:
  • Evolution of European energy markets and prospects from 2026 onwards
  • Prospects for energy storage and hybridisation
  • Electricity demand: Data Centers and industry electrification
  • Current state of regulation on PPA and renewable energy
  • Virtual PPA and FPA (Flexibility Purchase Agreements)
The speakers will be:
  • Oriol Saltó i Bauzà, Associate Partner at AleaGreen
  • Oscar Barrero Gil, Partner responsible for Energy Sector at PwC Spain
  • Alberto Martín, Energy Sector Consulting Partner at PwC Spain
  • Roxana Fernández, Rabuñal Energy Consulting Senior Manager at PwC Spain

Request inivitation >>

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WORKSHOPS
At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting we are experts in statistical models and forecasts related to the European energy markets, renewable energy, projects financing and PPA, and we hold workshops on topics of interest, with demonstrations and applications of techniques and tools for the professionals of the energy sector.
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These are the latest workshops held:
  • Short term forecasting for agents that operate in the spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
  • Mid-term forecasting with the stochasticity distributions for agents operating in the spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
  • Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) for the compilation, visualisation and analysis of data related to the energy markets. Request recording >>

HYBRID SYSTEMS OF RENEWABLE ENERGY AND BATTERIES
At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, studies, analyses and reports are carried out for hybrid systems, mainly of solar photovoltaic energy with batteries, but also of solar photovoltaic energy with wind energy, and of the three, solar photovoltaic energy, wind energy and batteries. The objective of these studies, analyses and reports is defining strategies for optimising the operation of hybrid systems to maximise their income. In addition, the estimation of future income is made taking into account the defined strategy and long term hourly market price forecasts.
 
Consult service of studies, analysis and reports for hybrid systems >>

MARKETS FORECASTING REPORTS

At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, long term forecasting reports are carried out for all European energy markets. In addition, new complementary services associated with these long term reports are offered.



Mid term European electricity markets prices forecasting reports are also available, which provide a vision of the prospects for the coming months and years, taking into account the most up to date scenarios for the evolution of the economy.
 
Consult AleaSoft Energy Forecasting’s mid term price forecasting service >>


REPORTS FOR THE ENERGY SECTOR

At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, studies and reports on the European energy markets are carried out to satisfy the needs of the companies in the sector or other indirectly related companies. Some examples of these reports are:

  • Long-term analysis of the electricity sector in the European markets
  • Optimisation strategies for hybrid systems of renewable energy and energy storage
  • Impact of the 7% tax on the market prices
  • Financing and PPA
  • Renewable energy auctions
  • CO2 prices
  • Analysis of the emission factor transferred to the market at the long term
  • Price captured by photovoltaic, solar thermal, wind and hydroelectric energy
  • Valuation of the wind and solar resource of a facility
  • Influence of anticipated nuclear power plants shutdowns in the electricity sector
  • International interconnections
  • Analysis of price cannibalisation and hourly price profiles in the future
  • Future of the green hydrogen in the energy sector
  • Self-consumption
  • Analysis of future scenarios in the sector and simulations
  • Repercussions of the NECP in the electricity market
  • Monographs on the main European electricity markets
  • Cogeneration
  • Biomass
  • National, regional electricity consumption or client portfolio
  • Generation optimisation
  • Fuels: consumption, prices and futures

Consult service of reports for the energy sector >>


ALEA ENERGY DATABASE (ALEAAPP)

At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, the Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) was developed, an online platform which compiles the data from the energy markets and the macroeconomic data from the main European markets, helping and facilitating the digitalisation of the companies. In this tool it is possible to visualise and analyse the data through comparative graphs of variables, calculation of the moving average, changes in the temporality of the series, among others.

Consult access service to the Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) >>


ENERGY MARKETS OBSERVATORIES

The energy markets observatories are available on the AleaSoft Energy Forecasting website, which allow analysing the evolution of the main European electricity markets in recent weeks. This tool includes hourly, daily and weekly graphs in which the information is updated daily.

Consult the observatories >>


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