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News on European electricity markets


December 18, 2023

Gas, CO2 and European electricity market prices fall for second week in a row

In the second week of December, prices in most markets were lower than in the previous week. A mostly lower electricity demand combined with a second consecutive week of lower gas and CO2 futures prices, and increased solar energy production in most of the major European electricity markets led to the downward trend.

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December 11, 2023

Decreases in gas, CO2 and European electricity market prices mark first week of December

In the first week of December, gas prices declined, approaching levels seen in early October, before the Hamas attack on Israel. CO2 futures also declined. On December 8, they registered the lowest settlement price since October 2022. Wind energy production increased in most major European electricity markets. In this context, and with electricity demand generally lower, prices in almost all markets decreased compared to the previous week’s prices.

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December 7, 2023

There is still capacity to export more renewable energy avoiding curtailments and price cannibalization

The profile of electricity exchanges between the Iberian Peninsula and France shows interesting results. The Iberian exception represented a profound disruption in the pattern of exchanges between the Iberian and French markets. The analysis of exchanges by months of the year shows that there is still capacity to export more photovoltaic energy to France in the summer months, which removes the fear of a recurrent situation of curtailments and price cannibalization in the coming years.

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December 5, 2023

Wind and solar energy production continued to break records in Europe in November

In November, wind energy production reached record highs in France and Italy and was the highest for a November month in Germany. Solar energy production also broke records for a November month in Spain, Portugal, France and Italy. In this context, prices in the main European electricity markets remained stable, with prices rising in Nord Pool, where they were almost three times the October average, and falling in MIBEL, where they were the lowest.

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December 4, 2023

The drop in temperatures boosted European electricity market prices in the last week of November

In the last week of November, prices in the main European electricity markets rose compared to the previous week. This increase was due to the drop in temperatures, which in most markets was more than 3°C, and which boosted electricity demand. In addition, renewable energy production was lower than the previous week. On November 30, CO2 futures reached their lowest settlement price since October 2022. Gas futures decreased.

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December 1, 2023

Is the 2023 duck curve a concern?

The growth of renewable energies, especially solar photovoltaic energy, is transforming the price profile of the electricity market in Spain. The clear influence of solar energy stands out, with prices falling during the hours of maximum solar radiation from 2021. Although wind energy also has an impact on prices, its variability makes it less evident in the average hourly profile.

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December 29, 2023

For producers of renewable energy, such as wind or solar...

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December 28, 2023

Interested in following the evolution of the energy markets?...

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December 21, 2023

Interested in developing a wind or solar energy project in Chile?...

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December 20, 2023

If you are interested in the valuation of renewable assets for PPA...

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On January 18, AleaSoft Energy Forecasting will organise the webinar "Prospects for energy markets in Europe from 2024", where the following topics will be addressed:
  • Evolution of European energy markets and prospects from 2024
  • Vision of the PPA market for the consumer in the current context
The speakers will be:
  • Oriol Saltó i Bauzà, Associate Partner at AleaGreen
  • Alberto Martín, Energy Sector Consulting Principal at PwC
  • Roxana Fernández Rabuñal, Energy Sector Consulting Manager at PwC

Request invitation to the webinar >>

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At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting we are experts in statistical models and forecasts related to the European energy markets, renewable energy, projects financing and PPA, and we hold workshops on topics of interest, with demonstrations and applications of techniques and tools for the professionals of the energy sector.
These are the latest workshops held:
  • Short term forecasting for agents that operate in the spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
  • Mid-term forecasting with the stochasticity distributions for agents operating in the spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
  • Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) for the compilation, visualisation and analysis of data related to the energy markets. Request recording >>

At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, studies, analyses and reports are carried out for hybrid systems, mainly of solar photovoltaic energy with batteries, but also of solar photovoltaic energy with wind energy, and of the three, solar photovoltaic energy, wind energy and batteries. The objective of these studies, analyses and reports is defining strategies for optimising the operation of hybrid systems to maximise their income. In addition, the estimation of future income is made taking into account the defined strategy and long term hourly market price forecasts.
Consult service of studies, analysis and reports for hybrid systems >>


At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, long term forecasting reports are carried out for all European energy markets. In addition, new complementary services associated with these long term reports are offered.

Mid term European electricity markets prices forecasting reports are also available, which provide a vision of the prospects for the coming months and years, taking into account the most up to date scenarios for the evolution of the economy.
Consult AleaSoft Energy Forecasting’s mid term price forecasting service >>


At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, studies and reports on the European energy markets are carried out to satisfy the needs of the companies in the sector or other indirectly related companies. Some examples of these reports are:

  • Long-term analysis of the electricity sector in the European markets
  • Optimisation strategies for hybrid systems of renewable energy and energy storage
  • Impact of the 7% tax on the market prices
  • Financing and PPA
  • Renewable energy auctions
  • CO2 prices
  • Analysis of the emission factor transferred to the market at the long term
  • Price captured by photovoltaic, solar thermal, wind and hydroelectric energy
  • Valuation of the wind and solar resource of a facility
  • Influence of anticipated nuclear power plants shutdowns in the electricity sector
  • International interconnections
  • Analysis of price cannibalisation and hourly price profiles in the future
  • Future of the green hydrogen in the energy sector
  • Self-consumption
  • Analysis of future scenarios in the sector and simulations
  • Repercussions of the NECP in the electricity market
  • Monographs on the main European electricity markets
  • Cogeneration
  • Biomass
  • National, regional electricity consumption or client portfolio
  • Generation optimisation
  • Fuels: consumption, prices and futures

Consult service of reports for the energy sector >>


At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, the Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) was developed, an online platform which compiles the data from the energy markets and the macroeconomic data from the main European markets, helping and facilitating the digitalisation of the companies. In this tool it is possible to visualise and analyse the data through comparative graphs of variables, calculation of the moving average, changes in the temporality of the series, among others.

Consult access service to the Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) >>


The energy markets observatories are available on the AleaSoft Energy Forecasting website, which allow analysing the evolution of the main European electricity markets in recent weeks. This tool includes hourly, daily and weekly graphs in which the information is updated daily.

Consult the observatories >>

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