News on European electricity markets
Week 41/2026
(05/10/2026-09/10/2026)
| NEWS |
October 7, 2026
2027, a year of volatility: reserves, gas and LNG will set electricity prices in Europe
The global energy system may have enough energy in 2027 and, at the same time, go through episodes of high prices. With lower inventories, strategic reserves drawn down during the crisis and an uncertain geopolitical outlook, the margin to react to a new unexpected event has narrowed. Volatility, rather than the average price, will therefore probably be the key to understanding next year.
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October 6, 2026
Gas and CO2 drove European electricity market prices to multi-year highs in the third quarter of 2026
In the third quarter of 2026, prices rose in the main European electricity markets compared to the previous quarter and to the same period of 2025. The rise in gas and CO2 prices, higher demand and lower wind energy production drove this trend. Solar PV production reached quarterly historic highs in Spain, France, Italy and Portugal. Low European gas reserves and supply tensions pushed TTF gas to its highest quarterly average since 2023.
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October 5, 2026
European electricity market prices rose in the week of September 28, with Spain and Portugal reaching their highest levels since 2022
In the week of September 28, weekly prices increased in most European electricity markets, supported by lower solar energy production. Spain and Portugal reached their highest daily prices since December 2022. Although photovoltaic energy production declined over the week as a whole, Portugal and Italy set all-time records for an October day, while Portugal reached a record for wind energy production for a September day. TTF gas prices increased, driven by low European reserves and tensions in the Strait of Hormuz, which continued to limit LNG shipments from the Middle East.
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October 5, 2026
The new SRAD activation strengthens the value of batteries for large consumers
The new activation of the Active Demand Response Service (SRAD) highlights the growing need for flexibility in the electricity system. For large consumers, batteries turn this need into an opportunity. They make it easier to participate in the SRAD, providing flexibility without directly affecting production processes, and at the same time they increase the use of self-consumption and reduce electricity purchases from the grid.
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| RRSS |
October 8, 2026
Gas and CO2 drove European electricity market prices to multi-year highs in the third quarter of 2026
October 8, 2026
AleaSoft celebrates its 27th anniversary
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October 6, 2026
Prices in European electricity markets rose in the week of 28 September, reaching their highest levels since 2022 in Spain and Portugal
October 5, 2026
How AleaBlue helps make decisions in energy markets
October 2, 2026
Data that become answers for your business
| WEBINARS |
On October 15, 2026, at 10:00 CET, we will hold our 70th webinar, "European energy markets: prospects, renewable energy financing and storage", covering the following topics:
- European energy markets: recent evolution and prospects for winter 2026-2027
- Financing of renewable energy and storage projects
- Prospects for batteries and hybridisation
- The role of forecasts in financing, audits and portfolio valuation
- Oriol Saltó i Bauzà, Associate Partner at AleaSoft
- Jaume Pujol Benet, Partner, Financial Advisory at Deloitte
- Álvaro Antón Azcoiti, Director, Corporate Finance Energy at Deloitte
- Ricardo Benito Pascual, Director, Corporate Finance Energy at Deloitte
- Álvaro Osés Lainez, Manager, Treasury Advisory at Deloitte
| HOW WE HELP EACH PROFILE IN THE SECTOR |
Each player in the energy sector faces different decisions, but they all share the same challenge: making decisions in a context of high uncertainty, price volatility, and rapid market transformation.
At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, we help all stakeholders in the sector anticipate scenarios, assess risks, and make decisions with a solid market outlook.
- Developers of renewable energy and battery storage projects, investment funds, and banks: support in project evaluation, financing, due diligence, asset valuation, risk analysis, PPAs, and investment decisions.
- Industry, large consumers, and data centers: support in energy cost management, purchasing strategies, hedging, PPAs, self-consumption, energy storage, and process electrification.
- Generators (utilities and IPPs): support in portfolio optimisation, revenue assessment, risk management, hybridisation, repowering, market operations, and asset planning.
- Retailers: support in portfolio management, energy purchasing strategies, pricing, hedging, demand forecasting, PPAs, and market risk analysis.
- Control centres: support in daily operations, renewable generation forecasting, demand forecasting, imbalance reduction, market participation, and management of hybrid assets and batteries.
- TSOs and distribution system operators: support in grid planning and operation, demand analysis, renewable integration, flexibility, energy storage, and system stability.
- Traders, demand aggregators, and market representatives: support in market decision-making, arbitrage, risk management, scenario analysis, buying and selling strategies, and participation in spot, futures, and balancing markets.
- Renewable fuels, hydrogen, methanol, ammonia, and biofuels: support in project evaluation, energy cost analysis, design of electricity supply strategies, renewable integration, energy storage, and market scenarios.
The goal is for each company to have access to information tailored to its reality, decision horizon, and specific risks, from daily operations to strategic planning and long-term investment.
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| SOLUTIONS FOR MAKING BETTER DECISIONS IN ENERGY MARKETS |
The solutions from AleaSoft Energy Forecasting are designed to help companies reduce uncertainty, identify opportunities, and manage risks in increasingly complex energy markets.
- AleaStorage: helps assess the economic viability, revenues, sizing, and optimization of energy storage and hybridization projects.
- AleaGreen: helps make investment decisions, financing, asset valuation, PPAs, M&A, and due diligence with a long-term market perspective.
- AleaBlue: helps operate in markets, manage risks, define hedging strategies, and make short- and medium-term decisions.
- AleaHub: helps connect renewable sector players interested in opportunities related to PPAs, assets, and renewable and storage projects.
- AleaWhite: helps track and analyze energy market developments using the Alea Energy Database, an online data platform, and specialized market reports.
- AleaConsulting: helps develop customized analyses, market studies, audits, specialized reports, and strategic advisory to support investment decisions, operations, contracting, and risk management.
For more information on how AleaSoft Energy Forecasting can help your company with market decision-making, investment, financing, operations, contracting, or risk management, you can contact us at info@aleasoft.com.