News on European electricity markets
Week 35/2026
(24/08/2026-28/08/2026)
| NEWS |
August 26, 2026
Battery de-rating in the capacity mechanism: what the residual demand data show
With the first capacity mechanism auction on the horizon, one discussion carries a direct impact on storage revenues, the batteries’ de-rating coefficient. The extension of Almaraz to 2030 also requires a review of the analyses underpinning the mechanism. Data on Spain’s mainland residual demand from 2021 to 2025 show that stress episodes are becoming increasingly shorter.
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August 25, 2026
Gas, futures and hedging: when waiting is also a risk decision
The rebound in TTF gas and its impact on electricity market prices puts the spotlight once again on the purchasing strategies of large consumers. In a highly volatile environment, deciding when and how much to hedge requires analysing not only market prices, but also the risks and outlook for their evolution. Medium-term forecasts help underpin these decisions and better manage exposure to the price of electricity.
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August 24, 2026
TTF gas at its highest since January 2023 drives up European electricity market prices in the third week of August
In the third week of August, weekly average prices rose in most of the main European electricity markets. The increase in TTF gas and CO2 and the fall in solar energy production drove this trend. In Spain, Portugal and Italy, higher wind energy production and lower demand favored the fall in prices. Brent oil and TTF gas futures rose because of the tensions in the Strait of Hormuz. TTF reached its highest settlement price since January 23, 2023.
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August 21, 2026
Extreme heat tests Europe’s electricity systems: demand, generation and prices under pressure
This summer’s heatwaves are simultaneously affecting different European electricity systems, though through different channels. They increase cooling-related electricity demand, constrain generation availability and raise price volatility. The episodes recorded in Spain, France, Italy, Romania and Hungary show why anticipating these risks requires a view across the whole of Europe’s electricity markets.
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| RRSS |
August 27, 2026
Artificial intelligence to understand and anticipate energy
Part 7. The importance of explanatory variables
August 27, 2026
Almaraz operating until 2030
August 26, 2026
Europe and Asia are competing for US LNG.
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August 26, 2026
How does growing solar capacity affect the value of photovoltaic production?
August 26, 2026
Artificial intelligence to understand and anticipate energy
Part 6. AleaModel: artificial intelligence and statistics working together
August 26, 2026
Would you like to know how AleaSoft Energy Forecasting can help with your next energy project?
August 25, 2026
It is not enough for an energy-sector project to be profitable on paper.
August 25, 2026
Artificial intelligence to understand and anticipate energy
Part 5. Why is a neural network not enough?
August 25, 2026
Renewables are already at the heart of electricity markets.
August 25, 2026
The six divisions of AleaSoft
Part 6. AleaConsulting: applying forecasts and data to specific decisions.
August 24, 2026
A price forecast without a demand forecast is only half the decision.
August 24, 2026
Artificial intelligence to understand and anticipate energy
Part 4. Forecasting is not guessing.
August 24, 2026
The six divisions of AleaSoft
Part 5. AleaWhite: data and information to understand the markets.
August 22, 2026
Climate change? The summer of 2026 is showing us what the climate of the future will look like
August 21, 2026
Modernising a renewable asset can create new value without using more land
August 21, 2026
Artificial intelligence to understand and anticipate energy
Part 3. How does a neural network learn?
August 21, 2026
The six divisions of AleaSoft
Part 4. AleaHub: connecting projects, capital and opportunities
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| WEBINARS |
On September 17, 2026 at 10:00 CET, AleaSoft Energy Forecasting will organise the webinar "Energy markets in Europe: evolution, prospects and opportunities for storage and self‑consumption" where the following topics will be addressed:
- * European energy markets: recent evolution and prospects
- * Current situation of energy storage, expected development and main challenges
- * Progress in self‑consumption, challenges and opportunities
- * Oriol Saltó i Bauzà, Associate Partner at AleaSoft
- * Josefin Berg, Associate director of Renewables Markets at S&P Global Energy
| HOW WE HELP EACH PROFILE IN THE SECTOR |
Each player in the energy sector faces different decisions, but they all share the same challenge: making decisions in a context of high uncertainty, price volatility, and rapid market transformation.
At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, we help all stakeholders in the sector anticipate scenarios, assess risks, and make decisions with a solid market outlook.
- * Developers of renewable energy and battery storage projects, investment funds, and banks: support in project evaluation, financing, due diligence, asset valuation, risk analysis, PPAs, and investment decisions.
- * Industry, large consumers, and data centers: support in energy cost management, purchasing strategies, hedging, PPAs, self-consumption, energy storage, and process electrification.
- * Generators (utilities and IPPs): support in portfolio optimisation, revenue assessment, risk management, hybridisation, repowering, market operations, and asset planning.
- * Retailers: support in portfolio management, energy purchasing strategies, pricing, hedging, demand forecasting, PPAs, and market risk analysis.
- * Control centres: support in daily operations, renewable generation forecasting, demand forecasting, imbalance reduction, market participation, and management of hybrid assets and batteries.
- * TSOs and distribution system operators: support in grid planning and operation, demand analysis, renewable integration, flexibility, energy storage, and system stability.
- * Traders, demand aggregators, and market representatives: support in market decision-making, arbitrage, risk management, scenario analysis, buying and selling strategies, and participation in spot, futures, and balancing markets.
- * Renewable fuels, hydrogen, methanol, ammonia, and biofuels: support in project evaluation, energy cost analysis, design of electricity supply strategies, renewable integration, energy storage, and market scenarios.
The goal is for each company to have access to information tailored to its reality, decision horizon, and specific risks, from daily operations to strategic planning and long-term investment.
| SOLUTIONS FOR MAKING BETTER DECISIONS IN ENERGY MARKETS |
The solutions from AleaSoft Energy Forecasting are designed to help companies reduce uncertainty, identify opportunities, and manage risks in increasingly complex energy markets.
- * AleaStorage: helps assess the economic viability, revenues, sizing, and optimization of energy storage and hybridization projects.
- * AleaGreen: helps make investment decisions, financing, asset valuation, PPAs, M&A, and due diligence with a long-term market perspective.
- * AleaBlue: helps operate in markets, manage risks, define hedging strategies, and make short- and medium-term decisions.
- * AleaHub: helps connect renewable sector players interested in opportunities related to PPAs, assets, and renewable and storage projects.
- * AleaWhite: helps track and analyze energy market developments using the Alea Energy Database, an online data platform, and specialized market reports.
- * AleaConsulting: helps develop customized analyses, market studies, audits, specialized reports, and strategic advisory to support investment decisions, operations, contracting, and risk management.