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April 29, 2024

European electricity market prices continue to recover, while photovoltaic energy reaches all time highs in the Iberian Peninsula

In the fourth week of April, prices continued to recover in the main European electricity markets. Even so, most markets registered negative prices for a few hours, especially on Sunday, April 28. In the MIBEL market, weekly prices were again the lowest for the twelfth consecutive week. Portugal and Spain reached their all-time record photovoltaic energy production on April 23 and 24, respectively. Solar energy production increased in most markets, while wind energy production fell in most markets.

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April 22, 2024

Gas and CO2 price rises drive European electricity markets, but the Iberian market resists

In the third week of April, prices rose in most major European electricity markets. The exception was the Iberian market, which had the lowest prices for the eleventh consecutive week. Gas and CO2 futures rose to prices not seen since the first half of January. The increase in demand also favored price rises in the electricity markets. In the Iberian Peninsula, renewable energy production increased, helping to drive prices down. On April 19, Spain reached the highest photovoltaic energy production for an April month.

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April 15, 2024

Slight recovery in European electricity market prices in the second week of April, although they remain low

In the second week of April, prices in almost all major European electricity markets were higher than in the previous week, although in most of them the weekly average was below €50/MWh. The Iberian MIBEL market had the lowest prices for the tenth consecutive week. All markets, except Italy, registered negative hourly prices. The Spanish market had the highest number of hours with negative prices: 45. In Portugal and Italy, photovoltaic energy reached historical records. Gas and Co2 prices increased.

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April 8, 2024

April starts with new photovoltaic energy records and price declines in European energy markets

In the first week of April, prices fell in the main European electricity markets, with most of them below €50/MWh. Photovoltaic energy reached an all time production record in Portugal and the second highest value ever in Italy. In France, wind energy registered the second and third highest production for an April month. In addition to increases in solar energy in most markets and wind energy in some of them, lower demand and lower gas and CO2 prices contributed to the fall in electricity market prices.

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April 3, 2024

Analysis first quarter 2024
Prices and futures of European energy markets plummet in the first quarter of 2024

In the first quarter of 2024, prices in the main European electricity markets fell to their lowest levels since at least the second quarter of 2021 in most markets. Declines in gas and CO2 prices marked this evolution. The general increase in solar energy production combined with the increase in wind energy production in most markets also contributed to the price declines. Photovoltaic energy production was the highest ever registered in a first quarter in most markets, a record that wind energy production also reached in Italy.

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April 2, 2024

The Spanish electricity market registers negative prices for the first time and, together with Portugal, continues to have the lowest prices in Europe

In the last week of March, the Iberian MIBEL market registered the lowest prices in Europe for the eighth consecutive week and the Spanish market registered negative prices for the first time in its history on April 1. In most major European electricity markets, prices fell compared to the previous week. In several markets this was the week with the lowest average, or the second lowest average, in 2024 so far. Declining demand and increased renewable energy production favored these declines. Portugal and France registered wind energy production records for a March month on the 27th and 28th, respectively.

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April 26, 2024

We have added new forward curve observatories in Alea Energy DataBase, our online platform for the visualisation and analysis of data related to energy markets...

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April 25, 2024

Our Head of Data Analysis and Modelling, Oriol Salto i Bauza, will participate in the Solarplaza Summit Iberia organised by Solarplaza on June 5th in Madrid, analysing the PPAs in...

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April 24, 2024

Our long term hourly forecasts of the Chilean electricity market are useful to determine the viability and obtain financing for...

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April 12, 2024

In the first quarter of 2024, prices fell in the main European electricity markets...

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On May 9 at 10:00 CET, AleaSoft Energy Forecasting will organise the webinar "Prospects for energy markets in Europe. Vision of the future of the energy sector", where the following topics will be addressed:
  • Evolution and prospects of European energy markets
  • Vision of the future of the energy sector
The speakers will be:
  • Oriol Saltó i Bauzà, Associate Partner at AleaGreen

Request invitation to the webinar >>

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At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting we are experts in statistical models and forecasts related to the European energy markets, renewable energy, projects financing and PPA, and we hold workshops on topics of interest, with demonstrations and applications of techniques and tools for the professionals of the energy sector.
These are the latest workshops held:
  • Short term forecasting for agents that operate in the spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
  • Mid-term forecasting with the stochasticity distributions for agents operating in the spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
  • Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) for the compilation, visualisation and analysis of data related to the energy markets. Request recording >>

At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, studies, analyses and reports are carried out for hybrid systems, mainly of solar photovoltaic energy with batteries, but also of solar photovoltaic energy with wind energy, and of the three, solar photovoltaic energy, wind energy and batteries. The objective of these studies, analyses and reports is defining strategies for optimising the operation of hybrid systems to maximise their income. In addition, the estimation of future income is made taking into account the defined strategy and long term hourly market price forecasts.
Consult service of studies, analysis and reports for hybrid systems >>


At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, long term forecasting reports are carried out for all European energy markets. In addition, new complementary services associated with these long term reports are offered.

Mid term European electricity markets prices forecasting reports are also available, which provide a vision of the prospects for the coming months and years, taking into account the most up to date scenarios for the evolution of the economy.
Consult AleaSoft Energy Forecasting’s mid term price forecasting service >>


At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, studies and reports on the European energy markets are carried out to satisfy the needs of the companies in the sector or other indirectly related companies. Some examples of these reports are:

  • Long-term analysis of the electricity sector in the European markets
  • Optimisation strategies for hybrid systems of renewable energy and energy storage
  • Impact of the 7% tax on the market prices
  • Financing and PPA
  • Renewable energy auctions
  • CO2 prices
  • Analysis of the emission factor transferred to the market at the long term
  • Price captured by photovoltaic, solar thermal, wind and hydroelectric energy
  • Valuation of the wind and solar resource of a facility
  • Influence of anticipated nuclear power plants shutdowns in the electricity sector
  • International interconnections
  • Analysis of price cannibalisation and hourly price profiles in the future
  • Future of the green hydrogen in the energy sector
  • Self-consumption
  • Analysis of future scenarios in the sector and simulations
  • Repercussions of the NECP in the electricity market
  • Monographs on the main European electricity markets
  • Cogeneration
  • Biomass
  • National, regional electricity consumption or client portfolio
  • Generation optimisation
  • Fuels: consumption, prices and futures

Consult service of reports for the energy sector >>


At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, the Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) was developed, an online platform which compiles the data from the energy markets and the macroeconomic data from the main European markets, helping and facilitating the digitalisation of the companies. In this tool it is possible to visualise and analyse the data through comparative graphs of variables, calculation of the moving average, changes in the temporality of the series, among others.

Consult access service to the Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) >>


The energy markets observatories are available on the AleaSoft Energy Forecasting website, which allow analysing the evolution of the main European electricity markets in recent weeks. This tool includes hourly, daily and weekly graphs in which the information is updated daily.

Consult the observatories >>