News on European electricity markets
July/2026

NEWS

July 31, 2026

Electrification needs a stronger, more flexible and more interconnected electricity grid

The electrification of industry, transport and heating and cooling will be one of the main drivers of transformation of the electricity system. Its development will depend on the electricity grid, which often receives less attention than generation. The distribution grid, the transport grid and interconnections form three inseparable levels of the same transformation, and without coordinated investment in all three it will not be possible to integrate the full renewable potential.

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The future of electricity demand in Spain and Europe

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July 29, 2026

Electrifying is not just about consuming more, it is about consuming better

The electrification of transport, industry and buildings will be one of the main drivers of electricity demand growth in Europe over the coming decades. However, for this increase to help integrate more renewable generation and improve the efficiency of the system, consuming more electricity will not be enough. It will also have to be consumed more flexibly.

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July 28, 2026

Renewable hydrogen enters the industrial phase, building is only the first step

Over the past few years, the development of renewable hydrogen in Europe has been measured mainly through targets, investment announcements and projects at the planning stage. Signs are now starting to appear that the green hydrogen sector is entering a new phase, the construction of large facilities linked to specific industrial consumers.

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July 27, 2026

More wind energy and lower demand drive down European electricity market prices in the fourth week of July

In the fourth week of July, weekly prices fell in most European electricity markets, although most markets still averaged more than €105/MWh. Higher wind energy production and lower demand supported this trend. Italy and Great Britain bucked the trend. Italy’s greater exposure to gas prices allowed the rise in TTF prices to push electricity prices higher. The conflict in the Middle East drove up Brent oil and TTF gas futures, while Italy set a new daily wind energy production record for July.

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July 24, 2026

Electricity retailers and their new role as flexibility and risk managers

Growing renewable penetration, zero and negative prices, demand electrification and the development of energy storage are transforming the business of electricity retailers. Buying energy and passing it on to the consumer is no longer enough. Retailers will have to anticipate the market, manage risk and combine hedges, PPA and batteries to protect margins and offer competitive products.

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July 22, 2026

Heat, Hormuz and high electricity prices: summer reminds the market of the value of hedging

High temperatures, geopolitical risk in the Strait of Hormuz, low stored gas levels and heat-related power plant outages are shaping a demanding summer for the European electricity markets. In this context, high prices and market volatility again bring to the forefront the need for well-designed risk hedging strategies backed by reliable electricity market price forecasting.

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July 21, 2026

Bankability in volatile markets: forecast quality will be decisive for financing renewables and batteries

Low prices captured by renewables, hours with zero or negative prices, curtailment and growing volatility are changing the criteria for financing renewable projects. Bankability no longer depends solely on technology cost or the financial model. It depends, above all, on whether revenue forecasts reflect how the asset will perform throughout its useful life.

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July 20, 2026

Rising gas and CO2 prices drive up European electricity market prices in the third week of July

In the third week of July, weekly prices rose across the main European electricity markets and exceeded €110/MWh in most of them. Higher gas and CO2 prices, together with lower solar energy production, drove this trend. Lower wind energy production or higher demand also pushed prices up in some markets. Portugal and France set renewable energy production records, while Brent oil and TTF gas futures rebounded amid tensions between the United States and Iran.

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July 17, 2026

Artificial Intelligence: decades turning data into strategic decisions

Artificial Intelligence is often associated today with generative models, conversational assistants and large data centres. Its history, however, runs much deeper. Its conceptual roots trace back to classical logic, and its modern development has spent decades pursuing one essential goal, turning data into useful knowledge for better decision-making.

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July 16, 2026

Storage enters its decisive phase, from permits and spreads to financing

Battery storage is consolidating as one of the main drivers of transformation in the Spanish electricity system. Negative prices in solar hours and rising daily spreads are reinforcing its profitability, but the real turning point will come when projects secure financing and operate optimally across the different electricity markets.

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July 15, 2026

Volatility reinforces the role of hedging and storage for large industrial consumers

The volatility of energy markets and the weight of electricity costs are driving large consumers to adopt more active risk management strategies. Hedging, PPAs, demand flexibility, self-consumption and batteries are gaining relevance to improve the predictability and competitiveness of electro-intensive industry.

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July 13, 2026

The rebound in gas prices and lower wind energy production put upward pressure on European electricity market prices in the second week of July

In the second week of July, weekly average prices increased in most major European electricity markets, with Portugal and Spain registering the largest rises. Lower wind energy production in the Iberian Peninsula and Italy, together with higher gas prices, drove this trend. France, Spain and Italy set all‑time records for solar photovoltaic energy production, while Brent oil and TTF gas futures rebounded amid tensions between the United States and Iran.

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July 8, 2026

Gas and demand drive up European electricity market prices in the first half of 2026 despite renewable energy records

In the first half of 2026, prices rose in most major European electricity markets, driven by higher gas prices and increased demand. By contrast, greater solar photovoltaic and wind energy production helped bring prices down in Spain and Portugal. Solar photovoltaic energy production reached half‑year records in Germany, Spain, France and Italy, while wind energy production set records in France, Italy and Portugal. Brent oil and TTF gas reached their highest average prices since 2023, due to tensions between the United States and Iran and low gas storage levels.

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July 6, 2026

Wind energy slows European electricity market prices after the heat wave in the first week of July

In the first week of July, weekly average prices fell in the main European electricity markets after the previous week’s increases due to the heat wave. Lower electricity demand and higher wind energy production drove this trend. Portugal and Italy set all‑time records for solar photovoltaic energy production. Meanwhile, TTF gas and CO2 futures rose, while Brent futures stayed stable.

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July 2, 2026

European solar photovoltaic energy production broke records in June, while prices rose in most markets

In June 2026, solar photovoltaic energy production reached all-time highs in the main European electricity markets. Wind energy production also broke records for a month of June in France and Portugal. Monthly average prices rose in most markets, driven by higher summer demand and higher CO2 emission prices, despite the fall in TTF gas prices and Brent oil prices compared with May.

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SOCIAL MEDIA

July 31, 2026

How far could electricity demand grow in Europe by 2050 (VI)?

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July 30, 2026

How far could electricity demand grow in Spain by 2050 (VI)?

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July 30, 2026

Electricity market prices are not unpredictable: they are volatile, but they can be analysed and anticipated.

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July 29, 2026

In battery storage, the optimal size is not determined by ambition...

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July 28, 2026

The Los Guájares project will receive...

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July 29, 2026

How far could electricity demand grow in Europe by 2050 (V)?

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July 28, 2026

How far could electricity demand grow in Europe by 2050 (IV)?

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July 27, 2026

How far could electricity demand grow in Spain by 2050 (V)?

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July 23, 2026

How far could electricity demand grow in Spain by 2050 (IV)?

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August 3, 2026

How far could electricity demand grow in Europe by 2050 (III)?

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July 22, 2026

How far could electricity demand grow in Europe by 2050 (II)?

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July 20, 2026

How far could electricity demand grow in Spain by 2050 (III)?

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July 17, 2026

How far could electricity demand grow in Europe by 2050?

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July 16, 2026

How far could electricity demand grow in Spain by 2050 (II)?

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July 14, 2026

How far could electricity demand grow in Spain by 2050?

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WEBINARS
On September 17, 2026, at 10:00 CET, AleaSoft Energy Forecasting will organise the webinar "Energy markets in Europe: evolution, prospects and opportunities for storage and self-consumption", where the following topics will be addressed:
  • European energy markets: recent evolution and prospects
  • Current situation of energy storage, expected development and main challenges
  • Progress in self-consumption, challenges and opportunities
The speaker will be:
  • Oriol Saltó i Bauzà, Associate Partner at AleaSoft
  • Josefin Berg, Associate director of Renewables Markets at S&P Global Energy

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On July 9, AleaSoft Energy Forecasting organised the webinar "Energy markets in Europe: evolution, prospects and opportunities for PPA, financing and storage", where the following topics were addressed:
  • Evolution and prospects of European energy markets
  • Current situation and prospects of PPA
  • Financing of renewable energy and storage projects: current situation, challenges and opportunities, and the role of long-term forecasts and revenue projections
  • Prospects for energy storage and opportunities for hybridisation with renewable energy and self-consumption
The speaker was:
  • Oriol Saltó i Bauzà, Associate Partner at AleaSoft

Request recording to the webinar >>

HOW WE HELP EACH PROFILE IN THE SECTOR
Each agent in the energy sector faces different decisions, but they all share the same challenge: making decisions in an environment of high uncertainty, price volatility and accelerated market transformation. At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting we help all players in the sector to anticipate scenarios, assess risks and make decisions with a solid view of the market.
  • Renewable energy and battery developers, investment funds and banks: support in project evaluation, financing, due diligence, asset valuation, risk analysis, PPA and investment decisions. Discover the services >>
  • Industry, large consumers and data centres: support in energy cost management, purchasing strategies, hedging, PPA, self-consumption, energy storage and process electrification. Discover the services >>
  • Generators (Utilities and IPP): support in portfolio optimisation, revenue evaluation, risk management, hybridisation, repowering, market operation and asset planning. Discover the services >>
  • Retailers: support in portfolio management, energy purchasing strategies, pricing, hedging, demand forecasting, PPA and market risk analysis. Discover the services >>
  • Control centres: support in daily operation, renewable production forecasting, demand forecasting, deviation reduction, market participation and management of hybrid assets and batteries. Discover the services >>
  • TSO and distributors: support in electricity grid planning and operation, demand analysis, renewable energy integration, flexibility, energy storage and electricity system stability. Discover the services >>
  • Traders, demand aggregators and market representatives: support in market decision-making, arbitrage, risk management, scenario analysis, buying and selling strategies, and participation in spot, futures and balancing markets. Discover the services >>
  • Renewable fuels, H2, methanol, ammonia and biofuels: support in project evaluation, energy cost analysis, design of electricity supply strategies, renewable energy integration, energy storage and market scenarios. Discover the services >>
The goal is for each company to have information tailored to its reality, its decision horizon and its specific risks, from daily operation to strategic planning and long-term investment.

SOLUTIONS FOR MAKING BETTER DECISIONS IN ENERGY MARKETS
AleaSoft Energy Forecasting's solutions are aimed at helping companies reduce uncertainty, identify opportunities and manage risks in increasingly complex energy markets.
  • AleaStorage: helps to evaluate the economic viability, revenues, sizing and optimisation of energy storage and hybridisation projects. Discover AleaStorage >>
  • AleaGreen: helps to make investment, financing, asset valuation, PPA, M&A and due diligence decisions with a long-term view of the market. Discover AleaGreen >>
  • AleaBlue: helps to operate in markets, manage risks, define hedging strategies and make decisions on short- and medium-term horizons. Discover AleaBlue >>
  • AleaHub: helps to connect players in the renewable sector interested in opportunities related to PPA, assets and renewable energy and storage projects. Discover AleaHub >>
  • AleaWhite: helps to follow and analyse the evolution of the energy markets with Alea Energy Database, an online data platform, and specialised market reports. Discover AleaWhite >>
  • AleaConsulting: helps to develop tailored analyses, market studies, audits, specialised reports and strategic advice to support investment, operation, contracting and risk management decisions. Discover AleaConsulting >>

WORKSHOPS
At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, we organise workshops to help energy sector professionals analyse markets, interpret scenarios, and apply data and forecasts to their decision-making processes.

Access the recordings of our completed workshops:
  • Financing of renewables and storage projects: how to assess revenues, risks and viability. Request recording >>
  • Short-term forecasting for agents operating in spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
  • Medium-term forecasting and stochastic modeling for agents operating in spot and futures markets. Request recording >>
  • Alea Energy DataBase (AleaApp) for the compilation, visualization, and analysis of data related to energy markets. Request recording >>

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