Renewable Fuels Group

This emerging group is made up of projects for the production of renewable fuels from electricity (power‑to‑X), such as green hydrogen and its derivatives: methanol, ammonia and biofuels. Their role will be crucial in the decarbonisation of the industry, heavy transport and sectors that are difficult to electrify.

The competitiveness of these projects depends on having reliable forecasts of electricity and gas prices, multisectoral demand scenarios, and tools that make it possible to optimise the operation of electrolysers, analyse risks and assess market opportunities.

At AleaSoft, we provide quarter‑hourly and long‑term forecasts that enable project sizing, revenue simulation and investment justification. We also offer cost and risk analyses, including the impact of zero or negative prices and the value of Guarantees of Origin, as well as studies on integration with renewables, storage and grids.

Our solutions include:

• AleaGreen, providing long‑term price scenarios with quarter‑hourly granularity, essential for project planning, CAPEX evaluation, supply contract structuring and financing processes.
• AleaBlue, offering short‑ and medium‑ term forecasts of prices and demand, fundamental for identifying optimal electrolyser operating windows, reducing costs and improving operational efficiency.
• AleaStorage, enabling modelling of the role of electricity and hydrogen storage to increase industrial process flexibility, manage imbalances and maximise revenues through revenue‑stacking strategies.
• AleaConsulting, delivering strategic support in defining business models and competitiveness analyses compared to fossil fuels.
• AleaWhite, providing data, reports and analyses on the energy and renewable fuels sectors to support decision‑making by investors, developers and institutions.
• AleaHub, as a marketplace for PPA and renewable energy projects, supporting the structuring of long‑term electricity supply contracts for hydrogen and derivative projects.

With these tools, developers and promoters of hydrogen, methanol, ammonia and biofuel projects can anticipate energy market evolution, reduce financial and regulatory risks, and ensure the viability of their investments in the global energy transition.