AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, April 13, 2026. In the second week of April, weekly average prices in most major European electricity markets declined compared to the previous week and were mostly below €75/MWh. Demand fell and solar energy production increased in several markets, while gas and CO₂ prices decreased. In the Iberian Peninsula, lower renewable energy production and rising demand pushed prices up. Germany and France registered photovoltaic energy production records for an April day.
Solar photovoltaic and wind energy production
During the week of April 6, solar photovoltaic energy production increased in most major European markets. The German market registered the largest increase, 32%, maintaining an upward trend for the second consecutive week. The Italian market followed with a 22% increase and the French market rose by 18%. In contrast, photovoltaic energy production reversed its trend in the Iberian Peninsula, declining by 6.1% in Spain and 12% in Portugal.
During the week, the main analyzed markets registered solar photovoltaic energy production records. On April 7, the Italian market registered its second‑highest production for an April day, 146 GWh. The German and French markets reached all‑time April highs on April 8 and 9, respectively, with 426 GWh in Germany and 136 GWh in France. Meanwhile, Iberian markets registered their second‑highest April daily energy production on April 10, with 200 GWh in Spain and 22 GWh in Portugal.
For the week of April 13, AleaSoft Energy Forecasting’s solar energy forecasts indicate an increase in photovoltaic energy production in the Italian and Spanish markets, while forecasts point to lower production in the German market.
Source: Prepared by AleaSoft Energy Forecasting using data from ENTSO-E, RTE, REN, REE and TERNA.
Source: Prepared by AleaSoft Energy Forecasting using data from ENTSO-E, RTE, REN, REE and TERNA.During the second week of April, wind energy production increased in the Portuguese market by 79% compared to the previous week, following declines in the two prior weeks. In contrast, Spain, Germany, France and Italy continued their downward trend for the second consecutive week. The Spanish market registered the smallest decrease, 20%, while the Italian market registered the largest drop, 60%. In Germany and France, wind energy production fell by 27% and 38%, respectively.
For the third week of April, AleaSoft Energy Forecasting’s wind energy forecasts anticipate a recovery in the Italian market. In contrast, forecasts point to declines in the remaining analyzed markets.
Source: Prepared by AleaSoft Energy Forecasting using data from ENTSO-E, RTE, REN, REE and TERNA.Electricity demand
In the second week of April, electricity demand decreased in most major European markets compared to the previous week. The French market registered the largest drop, with a 16% decline, while the German market registered the smallest decrease, 3.4%. The Belgian, Italian, and British markets registered declines of 6.9%, 8.2% and 8.5%, respectively. The Easter holiday, Easter Monday, observed on April 6, contributed to these decreases. In contrast, demand increased in Iberian markets compared to the previous week, rising by 5.4% in Spain and 6.3% in Portugal.
During the week, average temperatures increased in all analyzed markets. The Italian market registered the largest rise, 3.1 °C, while Portugal registered the smallest increase, 0.8 °C. In the remaining markets, average temperatures rose between 1.0 °C and 2.9 °C.
For the third week of April, AleaSoft Energy Forecasting’s demand forecasts anticipate a recovery in all analyzed markets.
Source: Prepared by AleaSoft Energy Forecasting using data from ENTSO-E, RTE, REN, REE, TERNA, National Grid and ELIA.European electricity markets
In the second week of April, daily prices in most major European electricity markets remained below those of the previous week. As a result, the weekly average price declined in most cases. Exceptions were the British, Portuguese and Spanish markets, with increases of 1.3%, 182% and 194%, respectively. In contrast, the French market registered the largest percentage price drop, 52%. In the remaining markets analyzed at AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, prices fell between 5.3% in the German market and 12% in the Italian market.
In the week of April 6, weekly averages were below €75/MWh in most major European electricity markets. Exceptions were the Dutch, British and Italian markets, with averages of €83.41/MWh, €86.03/MWh and €119.89/MWh, respectively. The French, Portuguese and Spanish markets registered the lowest weekly averages, €33.90/MWh, €35.64/MWh and €36.57/MWh, respectively. In the remaining markets analyzed at AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, prices ranged from €58.34/MWh in the Nordic market to €74.29/MWh in the Belgian market.
Regarding daily prices, the German market registered the lowest average of the week among analyzed markets, €3.04/MWh, on Monday, April 6. That day, the French and Nordic markets also registered daily prices below €10/MWh, €3.47/MWh and €9.03/MWh, respectively.
On the other hand, during the second week of April, daily prices remained above €100/MWh in the Italian market. In the British market, daily prices also exceeded €100/MWh in most sessions. Additionally, on Friday, April 10, prices exceeded €110/MWh in the German, Belgian and Dutch markets. That day, the Italian market registered the highest daily average of the week among the analyzed markets, €129.67/MWh.
In the week of April 6, declining gas and CO₂ emission allowance prices, lower demand and increased solar energy production exerted downward pressure on prices in most European electricity markets. However, in the Spanish and Portuguese markets, demand increased, while wind and solar energy production decreased in the Iberian Peninsula, leading to higher prices.
AleaSoft Energy Forecasting’s price forecasts indicate that, in the third week of April, prices will rise in the main European electricity markets, influenced by increased demand and lower wind energy production. Gas price behavior will also impact European electricity market prices.
Source: Prepared by AleaSoft Energy Forecasting using data from OMIE, RTE, Nord Pool and GME.Brent, fuels and CO2
Brent oil futures for the Front‑Month in the ICE market, on April 6, reached their weekly maximum settlement price, $109.77/bbl. In contrast, on April 8, they registered their weekly minimum settlement price, $94.75/bbl. In the last sessions of the week, prices were slightly higher, but remained below $100/bbl. On Friday, April 10, the settlement price was $95.20/bbl, which was 13% lower than the last session of the previous week, according to data analyzed at AleaSoft Energy Forecasting.
During the second week of April, the conflict in the Middle East continued to influence Brent oil futures prices. The ceasefire agreement between the United States and Iran contributed to prices falling below $100/bbl in the last three sessions of the week.
As for TTF gas futures in the ICE market for the Front‑Month, they registered their weekly maximum settlement price, on Tuesday, April 7, €53.20/MWh. During the rest of the week, prices remained below €50/MWh. On Friday, April 10, they registered their weekly minimum settlement price, €43.64/MWh. According to data analyzed at AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, this price was 13% lower than the last session of the previous week and the lowest since February 28.
For most sessions of the second week of April, settlement prices remained below €50/MWh following the ceasefire between the United States and Iran. Reduced demand due to rising temperatures also helped limit prices.
Regarding settlement prices of CO2 emission allowance futures in the EEX market for the reference contract of December 2026, they registered their weekly minimum settlement price, €71.53/t, on Tuesday, April 7. Prices then increased, reaching their weekly maximum settlement price, €73.72/t, on Thursday, April 9. On Friday, April 10, the settlement price was €72.84/t. According to data analyzed at AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, this price was still 1.6% higher than the last session of the previous week.
Source: Prepared by AleaSoft Energy Forecasting using data from ICE and EEX.AleaSoft Energy Forecasting’s analysis on the prospects for energy markets and storage in Europe
On Thursday, April 16, AleaSoft Energy Forecasting will hold the 65th edition of its monthly webinar series. The event will feature Raúl García Posada, Director of ASEALEN, the Spanish Energy Storage Association, participating for the fifth time in the monthly webinar series. This edition will analyze the evolution and prospects of European energy markets, as well as the regulation, current situation and prospects for energy storage.
Source: AleaSoft Energy Forecasting.