AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, June 27, 2025. In the context of energy transition, marked by high regulatory and technological uncertainty, developers, investment funds and financial institutions need reliable tools to assess risks and make strategic decisions. Market price forecasts and specialised advisory services have become essential elements for ensuring the viability and profitability of renewable energy and storage projects.
In an unprecedented context of energy transformation, driven by the transition towards a cleaner and more decentralised model, making the right decisions in the development of renewable energy projects has become more complex and strategic than ever. For developers, investment funds and financial institutions, having access to robust forecasts and the support of a specialised advisor in the electricity market is no longer a value‑added service, it is a necessity.
More than just data: a structured vision of the future
A market advisor provides more than just data. They offer a structured vision of the future, based on qualitative and quantitative analysis that helps identify real opportunities and, above all, anticipate risks. This is even more relevant in the current environment, where technological developments, particularly in the field of energy storage, raise questions that only expert insight can help interpret correctly.
The role of forecasts in renewable energy and storage projects
Long‑term market price forecasts are essential for accurately estimating the profitability of a renewable energy project. In the case of hybrid systems or stand‑alone batteries, an additional layer of complexity arises: What revenues can be expected over different time horizons? How should storage be properly sized in hybrid systems? What regulatory, technological or price scenarios should be taken into account?
Modelling and qualitative analysis to support strategic decision‑making
Effective advisory services help address these key questions. Estimating future revenues from batteries cannot be done without detailed modelling that considers not only expected hourly prices but also the battery’s operational strategy and its interaction with the market. This involves accounting for factors such as daily cycles, degradation, replacement schedules, and the future evolution of the price spread between peak and off‑peak hours.
In addition, robust qualitative analysis is essential for assessing technological and strategic risks. These include dependence on certain emerging technologies, the evolution of regulation and growing market competition. A market advisor helps place these elements in context and supports decision‑making aligned with each stakeholder’s financial and sustainability objectives.
Tools to invest with confidence
Ultimately, investing in renewable energy and storage is no longer just a matter of having capital or land. It requires vision, information and expert analysis. This is why an increasing number of stakeholders in the sector are incorporating coherent long‑term price forecast reports into their processes. These reports, produced using scientific methodologies such as those provided by AleaGreen division, the long‑term forecasting division of AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, are standard tools in due diligence and financial modelling. For analysing volatility, operational risk or sensitivity to different scenarios, they also rely on short‑ and mid‑term forecasts, such as those developed by AleaBlue division. In the case of storage projects, revenue studies and optimal battery sizing in hybrid systems, offered by the AleaStorage division, are essential tools for justifying investment and estimating expected profitability. In a changing and increasingly competitive environment, having reliable forecasts and specialised advice is key to moving forward with confidence, minimising risks and maximising opportunities.
AleaSoft Energy Forecasting analysis of energy sector stakeholder profiles
This article is part of a series dedicated to the different groups of agents operating in the energy sector. Each edition examines the challenges, needs and specific tools that help these actors move forward in an environment shaped by the energy transition. So far, articles have been published on industry and large consumers, energy retailers, and generators (Utilities and IPP). Upcoming publications will focus on other groups such as control centres, transmission system operators (TSO), traders and stakeholders involved in renewable fuels, such as green hydrogen, methanol, ammonia and biofuels.
Source: AleaSoft Energy Forecasting.
