Energy forecasting consulting and application cases

AleaSoft generates forecasts in the energy sector for the short, medium and long term horizons. Over the course of 26 years these forecasts of prices, demand, photovoltaic or wind production have been used as products or as services, constituting the fundamental input of a set of cases of applications, solutions or consultancies applied to various energy sectors such as utilities , traders, renewable developers, large consumers, traders, investment funds and banks.

One of the most important aspects when defining a PPA is the value of the energy that is bought or sold. AleaSoft offers a forecast report with a 30-year horizon. In this report the price is broken down on an hourly basis, and the rest of the variables that determine the market price are broken down with annual granularity. The report also contains an explanatory document with the vision of the 30-year electricity market with the incorporation of renewables and the shutdowns of thermal groups. This long-term forecast report is the basis for consulting on the entire process of risk identification, definition of agreements and termsheets, negotiation and closing of PPAs. Aleasoft helps its clients define and execute the best financing strategy and search for synergies with other companies or market agents.

When buying or selling energy in the futures markets or through a bilateral contract or a PPA, it is necessary to have the risk calculation of the portfolio at all times. Hedging is necessary to reduce portfolio risk. The medium and short-term forecast services with the associated probabilities are a fundamental input for risk assessment. This service is essential for all agents who buy or sell energy such as traders, utilities, retailers or large consumers.

One of the most important aspects when defining a PPA is the value of the energy that is bought or sold. AleaSoft offers a forecast report with a 30-year horizon. In this report the price is broken down on an hourly basis, and the rest of the variables that determine the market price are broken down with annual granularity. The report also contains an explanatory document with the vision of the 30-year electricity market with the incorporation of renewables and the shutdowns of thermal groups. This long-term forecast report is the basis for consulting on the entire process of risk identification, definition of agreements and termsheets, negotiation and closing of PPAs. Aleasoft helps its clients define and execute the best financing strategy and search for synergies with other companies or market agents.

When buying or selling energy in the futures markets or through a bilateral contract or a PPA, it is necessary to have the risk calculation of the portfolio at all times. Hedging is necessary to reduce portfolio risk. The medium and short-term forecast services with the associated probabilities are a fundamental input for risk assessment. This service is essential for all agents who buy or sell energy such as traders, utilities, retailers or large consumers.

Traders who buy or sell energy in the day-ahead or futures markets need a set of recommendations for making bids. Good market forecasting is a necessary input to establish the recommendations with which the best buy or sell offers can be made. Very short-term forecasts are also necessary to participate in intraday and imbalance markets.

 

Electro‑intensive industries and large consumers need to obtain their energy supply on the spot market, in the futures markets or through PPAs. To buy or settle products for future months, quarters or years it is necessary to have a good scientific‑based forecast.

Traders who buy or sell energy in the day-ahead or futures markets need a set of recommendations for making bids. Good market forecasting is a necessary input to establish the recommendations with which the best buy or sell offers can be made. Very short-term forecasts are also necessary to participate in intraday and imbalance markets.

 

Electro‑intensive industries and large consumers need to obtain their energy supply on the spot market, in the futures markets or through PPAs. To buy or settle products for future months, quarters or years it is necessary to have a good scientific‑based forecast.

Over the course of 26 years of history, AleaSoft has developed projects for the automatic optimisation of production management or efficient planning of electricity generation facilities.

One of the fundamental problems for future decision making in energy markets is given by the variability of future scenarios. The applications and services offered by AleaSoft are associated with the future forecasts of the fundamental variables, as well as their variability to calculate the probabilities of future prices and their variables such as demand and renewable energy productions. The outputs can be probability distribution graphs, percentile tables or massive simulations of the market price or associated variables.

Over the course of 26 years of history, AleaSoft has developed projects for the automatic optimisation of production management or efficient planning of electricity generation facilities.

One of the fundamental problems for future decision making in energy markets is given by the variability of future scenarios. The applications and services offered by AleaSoft are associated with the future forecasts of the fundamental variables, as well as their variability to calculate the probabilities of future prices and their variables such as demand and renewable energy productions. The outputs can be probability distribution graphs, percentile tables or massive simulations of the market price or associated variables.

The monitoring web application allows you to view the data that most influence the market price, such as demands, renewable productions and meteorological data. This type of service is necessary for decision making in short- and mid-term horizons. Traders and in general all agents who buy and sell in the market need these platforms for monitoring real past and present data, as well as the corresponding forecasts of prices, demands and renewable energy productions. This type of application is also useful for the monitoring of a Smart City by a TSO or a distribution company.

Do you intend to develop or participate in a solar photovoltaic or wind energy project in Chile? Do you need financing to make it a reality? At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, we can help you to obtain the resources you need to boost your renewable energy projects in Chile.

The monitoring web application allows you to view the data that most influence the market price, such as demands, renewable productions and meteorological data. This type of service is necessary for decision making in short- and mid-term horizons. Traders and in general all agents who buy and sell in the market need these platforms for monitoring real past and present data, as well as the corresponding forecasts of prices, demands and renewable energy productions. This type of application is also useful for the monitoring of a Smart City by a TSO or a distribution company.

Do you intend to develop or participate in a solar photovoltaic or wind energy project in Chile? Do you need financing to make it a reality? At AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, we can help you to obtain the resources you need to boost your renewable energy projects in Chile.

Webinars and training

At AleaSoft we are experts in the fields of statistical models and forecasts related to energy markets, renewable energy, project financing and PPA.

We can organize training in face-to-face, distance or webinar format according to your needs.

Products, services and divisions