AleaSoft, January 8, 2021. The beginning of 2021 coincided with the escalation of the third wave of the COVID‑19 pandemic. The year, which had to be that of the economic recovery, begins more uncertain than ever. Faced with such a scenario, the promoters of the renewable energy projects need tools such as the PPAs to manage and mitigate risks and be able to obtain financing. But not only that, the PPA can be a source of savings for the large consumers and the key to a commitment to corporate social responsibility.
Once the period of the Christmas festivities and holidays passed, the recovery scenario from the economic crisis that is beginning is less stable and secure. The new outbreaks of the COVID‑19 pandemic that began in early December put many European governments on the ropes, which were forced to impose new restrictions on mobility, meetings and economic activities, at a time of the year which is characterised basically by that, by travel, family gatherings and gift shopping.
The evolution of the energy markets in Europe
The second part of the webinar organised by AleaSoft on “Prospects for the energy markets in Europe from 2021”, which will be held on January 14, arrives at this crucial moment for the energy markets in Europe. The third wave of the pandemic seems to be on the rise as vaccinations, which should return the society to something similar to that old normality, begin.
But it seems clear that the vaccines will not prevent or stop this third wave of the pandemic and that we will have to live with it, at least, until the summer. With this outlook, the energy markets continue their uncertain evolution, waiting for the evolution of the economy and the recovery of the electricity, gas and oil demand.
The vision of the PPA market
Faced with such an uncertain situation regarding the evolution of the electricity markets prices, the PPAs are a tool for the risk management that can be a source of savings while allowing the large consumers to carry out a commitment of corporate social responsibility.
But the PPAs are complex contracts that go far beyond a simple energy purchase price agreement. There are several types of PPA contracts and it is necessary to analyse them according to the risks to mitigate, the fiscal and accounting impacts, and the impact on the buyer and seller operations.
In order to analyse any offer or PPA proposal, it is necessary to have long‑term electricity market prices estimates. We are talking about hourly prices forecasting for the entire duration of the contract, and ideally beyond, to be able to estimate the captured price of the renewable energy project or that of the consumption profile of the offtaker to understand and correctly quantify the mitigation of the market prices.
Long term price forecast made in November 2010.Source: AleaSoft.
To comment on all these aspects of the current market of PPA contracts for large consumers in Europe, the webinar organised by AleaSoft will feature the participation of two speakers from the consulting firm PwC Spain: Alberto Martín, Energy Sector Consulting Principal at PwC Spain and Reyes Gomez, Energy Sector Legal Services Principal at PwC Spain, in addition to Oriol Saltó i Bauzà, Manager of Data Analysis and Modelling at AleaSoft. Antonio Delgado Rigal, CEO of AleaSoft, Óscar Barrero, Partner responsible for Energy Sector Consulting at PwC Spain and Ivan Sanchez Saugar, Financing partner of PwC Spain, will join the analysis table after the presentations.
The evolution of the energy markets and the financing of the renewable energy projects in Europe in 2021
At AleaSoft the third part of this series of webinars “Prospects for the energy markets in Europe from 2021 (III)” is already being organised, which will be held on February 18, and that this time will have the collaboration of ENGIE, to analyse the prospects for the energy markets and the financing of the renewable energy projects from this 2021.
In addition to the public webinars, AleaSoft has a wide variety of reports for the energy sector, which include detailed analysis on the evolution of the energy markets in Europe and all the aspects that had or may have influence on their prices and demands. The objective of these reports is to provide a clear vision of the future of the European energy system by providing knowledge, intelligence and opportunities.
The monitoring of the escalation of prices and demand in the energy markets in Europe can be followed daily in the energy markets observatories of the AleaSoft’s website. A section of the website that aroused the interest of both professionals of the sector and curious observers of the markets.
Source: AleaSoft Energy Forecasting.
