Analysis first quarter
2026
European electricity market prices rise in a first quarter shaped by gas and renewable strength
2026
AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, April 2, 2026. In the first quarter of 2026, prices in most major European electricity markets increased compared to the previous quarter and exceeded €90/MWh in most cases. Rising gas prices and increased demand drove the increases, while higher renewable energy production contributed to lower prices in the Iberian market. The Nordic […]
European electricity market prices fall in the fourth week of March while photovoltaic energy sets records in Spain and Italy
AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, March 30, 2026. In the fourth week of March, weekly average prices in most major European electricity markets fell compared to the previous week and mostly stayed below €90/MWh. The Iberian market registered the lowest values, with daily prices below €10/MWh and a minimum in Spain not seen since 2013. Photovoltaic energy […]
Artificial Intelligence redefines the electricity system: impact on investment, demand and storage
AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, March 26, 2026. Artificial Intelligence is ceasing to be merely an operational tool and is becoming a structural factor within the electricity system. Its impact is not limited to improving forecasting or grid management; it is also reshaping demand patterns, the integration of renewable energy and, consequently, investment and financing decisions in […]
Renewable energy, demand and CO₂ contain price increases in European electricity markets in a context of rising gas prices
AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, March 23, 2026. During the third week of March, prices in most major European electricity markets registered an upward trend at the beginning of the week, although the weekly average fell compared to the previous week in most markets due to price declines at the end of the week. Photovoltaic energy production […]
Gas prices increase and renewable energy production accentuates the disparity in European electricity markets in the second week of March
AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, March 16, 2026. During the second week of March, prices in the main European electricity markets showed uneven performance, with increases in southern Europe and declines elsewhere. Most markets registered averages above €80/MWh, in a week marked by the highest settlement price of TTF gas futures since February 2025, the highest Brent […]
From rainfall to the power market, how Spain’s hydrological cycle strongly affects the electricity prices
AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, March 16, 2026. Heavy winter rainfall in Spain has significantly increased hydro reservoir levels in early 2026, placing them about 50% above the 10-year average. Because hydro reservoirs act as large-scale energy storage, abundant water allows hydro generation to cover more electricity demand, reducing reliance on fossil fuels. As a result, hydrological […]
European energy market prices increased in the first week after the attack on Iran
AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, March 9, 2026. In the first week of March, prices in most major European electricity markets increased compared to the previous week and most markets reached weekly averages above €80/MWh. Italy and the United Kingdom registered the highest daily price since February 2025. Higher gas prices, as a consequence of the conflict […]
From the day ahead market to the intraday market: what the comparison between PDVP and PHFC reveals in a solar thermal power plant
AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, March 4, 2026. The evolution of electricity markets is reflected not only in hourly prices but also in the internal dynamics of the scheduling of generation units. In an environment characterised by greater volatility, increasing renewable energy penetration and continuous adjustments between markets, the difference between the Provisional Viable Daily Program (PDVP […]
Analysis February 2026
Gas and CO2 down and record renewable energy production drove price falls in European electricity markets in February
AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, March 3, 2026. In February, monthly prices declined in most major European electricity markets, with the exception of the Nordic market. Several markets registered their lowest monthly average in recent months, notably the Portuguese market, which reached the lowest price in its history within the Iberian MIBEL market. The fall in gas […]
Most European electricity market prices fall at the end of February while the Iran conflict shapes March prospects
AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, March 2, 2026. In the last week of February, prices in most major European electricity markets fell compared to the previous week and remained mostly below €75/MWh. Photovoltaic energy production set records for a February day in the main European markets, while wind energy production declined and electricity demand decreased. On Friday, […]
The decline in gas‑fired electricity generation in Spain at the start of 2026
AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, February 27, 2026. The beginning of 2026 has brought a decline in production from gas‑fired power plants compared to the same period last year, particularly during February. This article analyses the causes and immediate consequences of this evolution, as well as the signals it sends regarding the direction to be taken for […]
Gas and CO2 down, Brent up and declines in European electricity markets in the third week of February
AleaSoft Energy Forecasting, February 23, 2026. In the third week of February, prices in most major European markets declined, except in the Iberian market where they recovered compared to the previous week, although they remained among the lowest in Europe. Most markets registered their lowest daily prices since the beginning of the year. Photovoltaic energy […]