AleaSoft developed an energy forecasting methodology that is unique, guaranteeing the highest degree of efficiency and accuracy. AleaSoft is leader in the field of energy demand forecasting, principally focusing on electricity and gas. AleaSoft´s energy demand forecast products are available at short, medium and long term. AleaSoft supplies a great number of European markets with energy demand forecasting, and its goal is to cater all European markets. Its products have satisfied the necessities of all actors involved in the European energy market, specifically Transmission System Operator, distributors and electricity companies. AleaSoft’s ambition is to expand its global outreach, by providing energy demand forecasts in the American and Asian markets. The AleaSoft team has developed an exclusive technology, merging statistical methodologies and artificial intelligence. AleaSoft´s energy forecasting models are unique, guaranteeing the highest degree of efficiency and accuracy. AleaSoft offers the following energy demand forecasting products and services:

Short term Demand Forecasting: AleaDemandShort obtains forecasts with a 10 day horizon, at the desired interval

Product-AleaDemandShort

AleaDemandShort is a solution generating short term energy demand forecasts. It offers automatic forecasts with a 10 day horizon, at the desired interval: per hour, half-hour, quarter of an hour or per minute. The AleaDemandShort solution is customised to your needs. AleaDemandShort offers a variety of energy demand forecasts: national level, regional level, specific to the type of consumer (domestic, industrial), etc. Additionally, the data can be aggregated or disaggregated, and all solutions are compatible with long series, of unlimited length. Once the forecast models have been developed by our specialists and included in AleaDemandShort, the solution works automatically:

  • An adaptive scheme updates the model parameters on an ongoing basis, allowing a user with no statistical knowledge to operate the solution.
  • The solution is automatically updated with demand and weather data. Additionally, the solution can be set to automatically update data and develop forecasts at a fixed time every day.

AleaDemandShort includes functions programmed to analyze variability, which are key for decision making:

  • Temperature scenarios.
  • Confidence interval information, providing you with information about complementary forecasts to consider in the decision making process.

The AleaDemandShort solution provides you with valuable information:

  • A visualisation of data utilized in the forecasting process, allowing for a better understanding of the process.
  • A report function, providing information on the results of forecasts.
  • A monitoring of the impact of temperature forecasts upon demand forecasting, AleaDemandShort allows you to carry out projections over previous dates, with both real and forecasted temperatures.

Automatisation: a custom-made installation allows an automatic operation. The system can be configured to automatically update data, generate forecasts and distribute the results, at a certain hour.

Implementation

Modelling: The forecasting models are developed by AleaSoft specialists. The model selection is done using AleaSoft own modelling tools, based on Genetic Algorithms, Neural Networks and Statistics. The modelling process includes the selection and analysis of the suitable explanatory variables. Adaptability: The solution is flexible and can easily be adapted to the user needs:

  • New functionalities
  • New modules
  • Reports
  • Inputs and outputs

Integration:

  • Data feeding and access to input data from internal or external sources.
  • A complete integration with other tools.
  • Output on Excel, Access, Oracle…
  • A customisation reflecting the desired level of automatisation.

Maintenance and support: We offer various support options specific to your particular needs: basic support for the solution, remote maintenance of models and reporting services.

Mid term Demand Forecasting: AleaDemandMid is a solution for hourly forecasting with a 3 year horizon

Previsiones de demanda de la energía a medio plazo

AleaDemandMid is an energy demand forecast solution, providing hourly forecasting with a 3 year horizon. AleaDemandMid offers mid term hourly demand forecasts up to three years ahead of time (26,280 hours). The AleaDemandMid solution is customised to your needs. AleaDemandMid offers a variety of energy demand forecasts: national level, regional level, specific to the type of consumer (domestic, industrial), etc. Additionally, the data can be aggregated or disaggregated. The explanatory variables included in the AleaDemandMid are: calendar days, weather conditions, temperature thresholds and the socio-economic evolution. Once the forecast models have been developed by our specialists and included in AleaDemandMid, the solution works automatically:

  • An adaptive scheme updates the model parameters on an ongoing basis, allowing a user with no statistical knowledge to operate the solution.
  • The solution is automatically updated with demand and weather data. Additionally, the solution can be set to automatically update data and develop forecasts at a fixed time every day.

AleaDemandMid includes functionalities to analyse forecast variability, useful for decision making:

  • Temperature and socioeconomic scenarios.
  • Confidence interval information, providing you with information about complementary forecasts to consider in the decision making process.

The AleaDemandMid solution provides you with valuable information:

  • A visualisation of data utilized in the forecasting process, allowing for a better understanding of the process.
  • A report function, providing information on the results of forecasts.
  • A monitoring of the impact of temperature forecasts upon demand forecasting, AleaDemandMid allows you to carry out projections over previous dates, with both real and forecasted temperatures.

Automatisation: a custom-made installation allows an automatic operation. The system can be configured to automatically update data, generate forecasts and distribute the results, at a certain hour.

Implementation

Modelling: The forecasting models are developed by AleaSoft specialists. The model selection is done using AleaSoft own modelling tools, based on Genetic Algorithms, Neural Networks and Statistics. The modelling process includes the selection and analysis of the suitable explanatory variables. Adaptability: The solution is flexible and can easily be adapted to the user needs:

  • New functionalities
  • New modules
  • Reports
  • Inputs and outputs

Integration:

  • Data feeding and access to input data from internal or external sources.
  • A complete integration with other tools.
  • Output on Excel, Access, Oracle…
  • A customisation reflecting the desired level of automatisation.

Maintenance and support: We offer various support options specific to your particular needs: basic support for the solution, remote maintenance of models and reporting services.

Long term Demand Forecasting: AleaDemandLong obtains monthly demand forecasting with a 15 year horizon

Previsiones de la demanda de energía a largo plazo

AleaDemandLong is a solution generating long term energy demand forecasting. It offers automatic long term demand forecasts up to 15 years ahead. The AleaDemandLong solution is able to obtain different kind of forecasts and is customized to your needs:

  • Monthly demand.
  • Monthly maximum and minimum hour power.

AleaDemandLong offers a variety of energy demand forecasts: national level, regional level, specific to the type of consumer (domestic, industrial), etc. Additionally, the data can be aggregated or disaggregated, and all solutions are compatible with long series, of unlimited length. The explanatory variables considered in the AleaDemandLong modelling process are related to: sectorial tendency, socioeconomic indicators, climatology and seasonal nature. AleaDemandLong will be customised to adapt your needs before the installation. Once the forecast models have been developed by AleaSoft specialists and included in AleaDemandLong, the solution works automatically:

  • The solution is automatically updated with relevant data.
  • An adaptive scheme updates the model parameters on an ongoing basis, allowing a user with no statistical knowledge to operate the solution.

AleaDemandLong includes functions programmed to analyze variability, which are key for decision making:

  • Temperature and socioeconomic scenarios.
  • Confidence interval information, providing you with information about complementary forecasts to consider in the decision making process.
  • Sensitivity analysis tools of the energy demand, related to the temperature and economy evolution.

The AleaDemandLong solution provides you with valuable information:

  • A visualisation of data utilized in the forecasting process, allowing for a better understanding of the process.
  • A report function, providing information on the results of forecasts.
  • A monitoring of the impact of temperature forecasts upon demand forecasting, AleaDemandLong allows you to carry out projections over previous dates, with both real and forecasted temperatures.

Automatisation: a custom-made installation allows an automatic operation. The system can be configured to automatically update data, generate forecasts and distribute the results, at a certain hour.

Implementation

Modelling: The forecasting models are developed by AleaSoft specialists. The model selection is done using AleaSoft own modelling tools, based on Genetic Algorithms, Neural Networks and Statistics. The modelling process includes the selection and analysis of the suitable explanatory variables. Adaptability: The solution is flexible and can easily be adapted to the user needs:

  • New functionalities
  • New modules
  • Reports
  • Inputs and outputs

Integration:

  • Data feeding and access to input data from internal or external sources.
  • A complete integration with other tools.
  • Output on Excel, Access, Oracle…
  • A customisation reflecting the desired level of automatisation.

Maintenance and support: We offer various support options specific to your particular needs: basic support for the solution, remote maintenance of models and reporting services.

Retail Demand Forecasting: AleaDemandRetail is a solution for automatic forecasting specific for portfolio consumption

Previsiones de la demanda de energía de comercializadoraAleaDemandRetail is a solution of AleaSoft, catering to your portfolio of customers´ retail energy needs. Short, mid and long term demand forecasts of their customers can be obtained. The Implementation of this solution is based on the particular needs of the customer and the available data for the project. Top and bottom level forecasting: The forecasting is comprehensive, offering forecasting from the total portfolio, of specific groups of customers, or individual customer forecasting. Consistency between top and bottom level is always maintained. The AleaDemandRetail solution considers the changing nature of the portfolio, taking into account the dynamic of both new and lost customers. Historical data is automatically completed, generating non-measured data, and filling gaps for data which is not available at the moment of forecasting. Forecasts can be generated from the current-date on, even when registered data is delayed or not available. New customers are automatically detected by the solution when reading data, and are automatically included into their corresponding group and onto the portfolio. A forecasting method is automatically assigned so that they are immediately ready for forecast generation. The Forecasting method and its parameters can be modified for a single customer or for several customers at once. The accuracy of a customer’s forecast can be automatically tested in a given period to ensure efficiency. The functionalities of the scenarios can be used in mid and long term forecasting, providing a different forecasting based on alternative values for temperature or economic evolution. AleaDemandRetail´s forecasting methods are based on AleaSoft´s AleaModels: a unique model based on Neural Networks, SARIMA and regression. Including profile information and similar-day based methodology.

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